The League One leaders Birmingham City play host to Champions League-chasing Newcastle in the Fourth Round of the FA Cup on Saturday and we have compiled our top tips for the game.
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Birmingham vs Newcastle prediction: Goals at both ends of the pitch?
Key Stats
- Both teams have scored in three of the last five meetings between Birmingham and Newcastle.
- Three of Birmingham's last six matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Over 3.5 goals have been produced in three of Newcastle's last six outings.
Correct score prediction: Birmingham 1-3 Newcastle
Newcastle have scored at least three goals in four of their last six matches but have only managed to keep two clean sheets during that period, which is why we're backing the visitors to claim a 3-1 victory in the Midlands.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle the overwhelming favourite
- HOME: 51/10 (6.10) – 16.4%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Newcastle are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 67.7% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this one.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: The Magpies dominate
Newcastle have won three and drawn two of their last five encounters with Birmingham with the pair playing out a goalless draw when they last met back in 2017.
England Championship 18/03/17
Birmingham
Newcastle
England FA Cup 18/01/17
Newcastle
Birmingham
England FA Cup 07/01/17
Birmingham
Newcastle
England Championship 10/12/16
Newcastle
Birmingham
Birmingham preview: Top of League One
Birmingham left it late away at Stevenage in midweek in the EFL Trophy but managed to come away with a 1-0 victory.
Top goalscorer Jay Stansfield came off the bench to score the game's only goal in the 83rd minute, booking Birmingham's place in the semi-finals. Birmingham currently sit top of the League One table by four points and with two games in hand on their nearest rivals.
Predicted lineup: Peacock-Farrell (GK), Hanley, Bielik, Cochrane, Klarer, Dowell, Leonard, Harris, Jutkiewicz, May & Wright
England EFL Trophy 13/04/25
L
Peterborough
2
Birmingham
0
England League 1 08/04/25
W
Peterborough
1
Birmingham
2
England League 1 05/04/25
W
Barnsley
2
Birmingham
6
England League 1 01/04/25
W
Bristol Rovers
1
Birmingham
2
England League 1 29/03/25
W
Shrewsbury
1
Birmingham
4
Newcastle preview: Already in one final
Newcastle have made it through to the EFL Cup final once again after they secured a well-deserved 2-0 win over Arsenal on Wednesday night, making the aggregate scoreline 4-0 to the Magpies.
Jacob Murphy put into an empty net after Alexander Isak's shot rebounded right into his path in the 19th minute and early in the second 45, Anthony Gordon capitalised on some poor defending to make it 2-0.
Jamaal Lascelles, Harvey Barnes and Joelinton are all expected to miss out this weekend through injury.
Predicted lineup: Pope (GK), Livramento, Schar, Burn, Botman, Hall, Murphy, Miley, Longstaff, Wilson & Gordon
England Premier League 13/04/25
W
Man Utd
1
Newcastle
4
England Premier League 07/04/25
W
Leicester
0
Newcastle
3
England Premier League 02/04/25
W
Brentford
1
Newcastle
2
England EFL Cup 16/03/25
W
Liverpool
1
Newcastle
2
England Premier League 10/03/25
W
West Ham
0
Newcastle
1
Player to watch: Anthony Gordon
Anthony Gordon has been in great form for Newcastle of late and helped guide the Magpies into the EFL Cup final in midweek.
Gordon has six goals and five assists in the Premier League so far this season as well as one goal in the FA Cup and two in the EFL Cup.
Flash Gordon!
Eddie Howe rested a lot of his star players in the last round against Bromley and had to call upon them in the second half in order to progress, so we're expecting his big names to feature against Birmingham on Saturday.