Birmingham City will take on Middlesbrough on Monday, 2 March, in a huge match in the race for promotion.
As things stand, the hosts are still with a small chance of reaching the playoffs but will need an impressive run to end the campaign.
Middlesbrough, meanwhile, are desperate for the points as they look to fend off Millwall and Ipswich in third and fourth respectively.
As part of this week's round of Championship betting tips, check out our Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction below.
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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction: Hosts to blow promotion race wide open
Key Stats
- Birmingham haven’t lost a home league match since October 2025.
- Middlesbrough have failed to win each of their last three matches.
- Both teams have scored in three of Middlesbrough’s last four matches.
Correct score prediction: Birmingham 2-1 Middlesbrough
Birmingham City have been like Jekyll and Hyde this season in terms of their home/away form, so they will be a formidable opponent for Boro on Monday. The visitors have hit a brick wall in recent weeks and this isn’t a place you want to visit out of form.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Tough to call
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 11/7 (2.57) – 38.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Birmingham vs Middlesbrough odds suggest that we are in for a tight affair on Monday night. Ladbrokes have given Birmingham a 41.7% chance of winning the match, while Middlesbrough have been given a 38.9% chance of walking away with all three points.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Boro domination
Middlesbrough have a formidable recent record in matches between these two clubs, winning each of the last six encounters. If Birmingham can win on Monday, it will be their first over Boro since October 2021.
England Championship 28/02/26
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
England Championship 08/11/25
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
England Championship 12/03/24
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
England Championship 27/01/24
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
England Championship 21/10/23
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Birmingham preview: Fresh concerns
Chris Davies has his fair share of problems ahead of this one, which won’t make his task of winning any easier. Jhon Solis is suspended following his red card last week, while Kai Wagner, Paik Seung-Ho, Kyogo, Alex Cochrane and Lee Buchanan are injured.
Predicted lineup: Beadle (GK), Osayi-Samuel, Klarer, Panzo, Laird, Iwata, Doyle, Vicente, Stansfield, Gray, Ducksch
Last five results
- 25/02/26: Millwall 3-0 Birmingham (Championship)
- 21/02/26: Norwich 1-2 Birmingham (Championship)
- 15/02/26: Birmingham 1-2 Leeds (p) (FA Cup)
- 10/02/26: Birmingham 0-0 West Brom (Championship)
- 07/02/26: Birmingham 2-1 Leicester (Championship)
Middlesbrough preview: A healthy squad
Kim Hellberg is blessed with a much fresher squad than his opposite number on Monday. With no new concerns, Hellberg is working with the same group that he had for the Leicester clash. Alex Bangura, Darragh Lenihan and Alfie Jones remain injured.
Predicted lineup: Brynn (GK), Brittain, Fry, Malanda, Targett, Morris, Whittaker, Hackney, Browne, McGree, Conway
Last five results
- 24/02/26: Middlesbrough 1-1 Leicester (Championship)
- 21/02/26: Middlesbrough 0-0 Oxford United (Championship)
- 16/02/26: Coventry 3-1 Middlesbrough (Championship)
- 09/02/26: Sheffield United 1-2 Middlesbrough (Championship )
- 31/01/26: Middlesbrough 1-0 Norwich (Championship)
Player to watch: Marvin Ducksch
Marvin Ducksch has had a decent enough debut season at Birmingham City, but there is still a feeling that he could do more. The 31-year-old striker has scored nine goals in all appearances for the Blues this season, and will want to break the double-digit barrier sooner rather than later.