Toulouse vs Benfica prediction, odds & betting tips – 22/02/2024

Toulouse
22/02/24 - 17:45

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Benfica

Toulouse - Benfica

UEFA Europa League - Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Benfica prediction
Benfica won the first leg 2-1 – Photo by Icon Sport

Toulouse are set to take on Benfica in the second leg of their Europa League playoff on Thursday, 22 February with the tie firmly in the balance after a 2-1 for Benfica in leg one. Check out our Toulouse vs Benfica prediction below.

Toulouse vs Benfica: Could a huge shock be on the cards in France?

Toulouse vs Benfica predictions
Our pick

⚽Match result prediction

Benfica to win

⚽ Both teams to score prediction 

Yes

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Rafa Silva

Both teams will fancy their chances of qualifying from the current position. Benfica have a one-goal advantage from the first leg and are currently top of the Portuguese top flight. Meanwhile, Toulouse have home advantage for the second leg which has proven to be invaluable in European competitions over the years.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are backed to qualify

  • HOME: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Toulouse vs Benfica odds suggest that the Portuguese side shouldn't have too much to worry about on Thursday night.

Although Toulouse gave a good account of themselves in the reverse leg, Benfica should have too much firepower for the French side. Toulouse are floundering in Ligue 1 and are currently closer to relegation than qualifying for Europe again next season while Benfica are top of their league. Although it may be a mismatch on paper, anything can happen in the Europa League.

Last five H2Hs: Advantage Benfica

UEFA Europa League 15/02/24

Benfica

Benfica

2
Toulouse

Toulouse

1

The meeting in Portugal last week was the first time that Benfica and Toulouse have faced each other in competitive action. Benfica won the match 2-1 but they needed two penalties to come through the match. Can they score their first-ever goal from open play against Toulouse in the away leg?

Team news and form guide

Toulouse: Can Europe be a happy distraction from dismal league form?

Toulouse have had a season to forget in Ligue 1 and their only hope of playing in Europe next season is by winning the Europa League. For Thursday's match, they are without Zakaria Aboukhal and Christian Mawissa Elebi.

Predicted lineup: Restes, Costa, Nicolaisen, Diarra, Desler, Spierings, Sierro, Suazo, Donnum, Dallinga & Gboho

France Ligue 1 25/02/24

W

Lille

Lille

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

3

UEFA Europa League 22/02/24

D

Benfica

Benfica

0

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 18/02/24

W

Monaco

Monaco

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

2

UEFA Europa League 15/02/24

L

Benfica

Benfica

2

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 11/02/24

L

Nantes

Nantes

2

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

Benfica: Would a European exit help them win the league?

Benfica may be tempted to rest a few players for this match given they are embroiled in a thrilling title race in Portugal. Their only absentee for this one is full-back, Juan Bernat.

Predicted lineup: Trubin, Aursnes, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras, Neves, Kokcu, Di Maria, Rafa, Neres & Cabral

Portugal Cup 29/02/24

L

Sporting

Sporting

2

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/02/24

W

Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Benfica

Benfica

4

UEFA Europa League 22/02/24

D

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

Benfica

Benfica

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/02/24

W

Vizela

Vizela

1

Benfica

Benfica

6

UEFA Europa League 15/02/24

W

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

Benfica

Benfica

2

Our free expert picks: Benfica to win and Rafa Silva to score

Our Toulouse vs Benfica betting tips suggest that Benfica will sail through to the next round of the Europa League with minimal fuss. For more free betting tips, there are some other markets that you should consider. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 8/11 (1.73) while a double chance of Benfica or draw is priced at 2/9 (1.44). If you are interested in the first goalscorer market then Angel di Maria is priced at 13/2 (7.50).

Hot tip – BTTS

  • Both teams have scored in five of Toulouse's last six matches.
  • Both teams got on the scoresheet in the first leg last week.

Other tips

Benfica to win

  • Benfica have won 12 more matches than Toulouse in their respective leagues this season.
  • Benfica have won five of their last six matches in all competitions.

Rafa Silva to score anytime

  • Rafa Silva is Benfica's top scorer this season with 12 goals to his name in all competitions.
  • The Portuguese forward has scored four goals in his last six matches.

Player to watch: Angel di Maria

Angel di Maria
Angel di Maria could be key for Benfica – Photo by Icon sport

Despite being 36 years old, Angel di Maria has thrived at Benfica this season in what has been an emotional homecoming for both him and the club's supporters.

Di Maria's experience could be the difference

Di Maria has a fantastic pedigree when it comes to European competition and that could be the difference on Thursday night. He won the Champions League in 2014 with Real Madrid and has played 139 matches in the Champions League and Europa League combined.


Avatar of Andy Delaney
Andy Delaney

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.