Sparks will fly as two Lisbon-based teams battle for the Portuguese Super Cup title at Estadio Algarve on Thursday, 31 July 2025.
View our free Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica predictions below.
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Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in nine of the last 10 clashes between these teams.
- Seven of Benfica's last nine matches produced goals at both ends.
- Sporting Lisbon opened the scoring in eight of their last 10 encounters with Benfica.
Correct score prediction: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Benfica
Benfica and Sporting Lisbon have met thrice in 2025 across three different competitions (League Cup, Liga Portugal & Taca de Portugal). All three encounters ended 1-1 after regulation time, with two of those going into extra time.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are slightly favoured
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Portuguese Super Cup usually pits the winner of the Liga Portugal against the winner of the Taca de Portugal every year. However, Sporting Lisbon won the league and cup double last season, with Benfica finishing as runners-up in both competitions.
Ahead of this mouthwatering clash, Benfica are the expected winners at 7/5 (2.40). Teams with these odds usually have a 41.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica predictions.
We have also established that Sporting Lisbon opened the scoring in eight of their last 10 meetings with Benfica. On that note, Sporting Lisbon to score first has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A fairly one-sided contest
Benfica have had a poor track record against Sporting Lisbon in recent years, as they have won only one of the last seven meetings between these sides. However, the last three Lisbon derbies were tied at the end of regulation time.
Portugal Cup 25/05/25
Benfica
Sporting
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
Benfica
Sporting
Portugal League Cup 11/01/25
Sporting
Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga 29/12/24
Sporting
Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/24
Sporting
Benfica
Sporting Lisbon preview: No Gyokeres, no problem?
Sporting CP will begin life without star man Viktor Gyokeres, who made a big-money move to Arsenal this summer. Still riding on the success of last season, the Lions will have a tough time replacing the Swede, whose goals and overall play contributed significantly to their success last campaign.
However, Sporting have made forays into the market, bringing in Luis Javier Suarez, Joao Virginia, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Rui Silva and Alisson Santos to Jose Alvalade this window, but only time will tell how much impact these signings will make in the goals department.
With the Super Cup up for grabs, the Lions will be riding on their luck over Benfica in recent months, after snatching both the Portuguese league and Cup from them last season.
Central midfielders Daniel Braganca and Joao Simoes have cruciate ligament and metatarsal fracture injuries respectively, ruling them out of this encounter.
Coach Rui Borges will have to decide which goalkeeper to start. Summer signing Joao Virginia and Rui Silva, who returned from loan last month, each made one start in the team’s last two friendlies.
Predicted lineup: Virginia (GK), Fresneda, Ignacio, Diomande, Catamo, Morita, Hjulmand, Reis, Trincao, Harder & Goncalves.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Benfica
1
Sporting
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25
W
Gil Vicente
1
Sporting
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Boavista
0
Sporting
5
Portugal Cup 22/04/25
W
Rio Ave
1
Sporting
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Moreirense
1
Sporting
3
Benfica preview: Injury woes continue
Benfica have held their own in regulation time in their three most recent battles with eternal rivals Sporting. They will have vengeance in mind after losing the Portuguese Cup from a winning position a little over two months ago. Success in this first trophy on offer could define a good campaign ahead for the club.
Looking to regain supremacy over Sporting CP, the Eagles have strengthened their ranks off the proceeds from the sale of Alvaro Carreras, Joao Moutinho and Casper Tengstedt, as they acquired Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea, Amar Dedic, Samuel Dahl and Rafael Obrador this summer.
While things have gone well in the transfer window, the injury front continues to bite the Estadio da Luz outfit. Winger Gouveia Bruma is set to face a long time on the sidelines after rupturing his Achilles tendon in the friendly win against Fenerbahce last Saturday. This adds another layer of concern to the team's injury woes, as holding midfielder Manu Silva and right-back Alexander Bah are still nursing cruciate ligament tears sustained last season.
Ever-present Anatoliy Trubin is set to begin in goal. Antonio Silva and Nicolas Otamendi will most likely start at the heart of the defence, while Kerem Akturkoglu and Vangelis Pavlidis unleash the attacking threats.
Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Dedic, Silva, Otamendi, Dahl, Rios, Aursnes, Barrenechea, Kokcu, Akturkoglu & Pavlidis.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Sporting
1
Benfica
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Estoril
1
Benfica
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
AVS
0
Benfica
6
Portugal Cup 23/04/25
W
FC Tirsense
0
Benfica
4
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
W
Guimaraes
0
Benfica
3
Player to watch: Luis Javier Suarez
Sporting Lisbon signed Luis Javier Suarez from Almeria a couple of days ago as a replacement for Viktor Gyokeres. The 27-year-old had 35 direct goal involvements in 41 league assignments and was the top scorer in La Liga 2 last season. Should he make his debut for Sporting on Thursday night, it will be interesting to see how Suarez fares against Benfica.