Marseille vs Benfica prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/04/2024

Marseille
18/04/24 - 20:00

Finished

1

-

0

Benfica

Marseille - Benfica

UEFA Europa League - Orange Velodrome

3rd Round

marseille vs benfica prediction
Benfica won the first leg 2-1 in Lisbon – Photo by Icon Sport

Marseille and Benfica meet for the second leg of a finely poised UEFA Europa League quarter final on Thursday. Our Marseille vs Benfica prediction looks at whether the hosts can overturn a 2-1 deficit from the first leg in Portugal.

Marseille vs Benfica prediction: Hosts to win with both teams on the scoresheet

Marseille vs Benfica predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Marseille draw no bet

⚽ Correct score prediction

Marseille 2-1 Benfica

💥 Both teams to score

Yes

Key Stats

  • Our Marseille vs Benfica betting tips take into account the French side having scored in all but one of their 11 Europa League fixtures this term.
  • Marseille have only lost one of their 20 competitive home games this season.
  • Benfica have won just two of their last seven away games in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille slight favourites on the night

  • HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Marseille vs Benfica odds with an implied probability of 43.5% that they win the game, although the visitors remain favourites to progress overall.

Marseille haven’t played since last week’s first leg which saw Benfica go two up through Rafa Silva and Angel Di Maria before Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang grabbed a potentially key goal for the French side. Benfica were in action at the weekend, winning 3-0 at home to Moreirense in Liga Portugal.

For more of the best picks, today’s betting tips will guide you through the rest of the European action this week.

Last three H2Hs: Games tend to be tight

UEFA Europa League 11/04/24

Benfica

Benfica

2
Marseille

Marseille

1

Europe Friendlies 25/07/21

Benfica

Benfica

1
Marseille

Marseille

1

World Club Friendlies 23/07/14

Marseille

Marseille

2
Benfica

Benfica

1

Our Marseille vs Benfica prediction suggests there’ll again only be one goal to separate the teams. The sides also met in the knockout stage of the 2009/10 Europa League with Benfica winning the second leg 2-1 in France to seal a 3-2 aggregate win.

Marseille Preview: Lengthy injury list a factor in poor form

Marseille will be without a number of players again to injury with Quentin Merlin, Jonathan Clauss, Valentin Rongier and Ismaila Sarr all potentially missing here.

Predicted Lineup: Lopez (GK), Mbemba, Gigot, Balerdi, Ndiaye, Kondogbia, Veretout, Ounahi, Harit, Moumbagna, Aubameyang

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

W

Le Havre

Le Havre

1

Marseille

Marseille

2

France Ligue 1 15/05/24

L

Reims

Reims

1

Marseille

Marseille

0

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

W

Lorient

Lorient

1

Marseille

Marseille

3

UEFA Europa League 09/05/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

3

Marseille

Marseille

0

UEFA Europa League 02/05/24

D

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Marseille

Marseille

1

Benfica Preview: Bernat a doubt for visitors

Benfica are doing better on the selection front but could be missing Juan Bernat to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Trubin (GK), Aursnes, Otamendi, Silva, Bah, Neves, Florentino Luis, Neres, Rafa, Di Maria, Tengstedt

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/05/24

D

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24

W

Arouca

Arouca

0

Benfica

Benfica

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/24

L

Famalicao

Famalicao

2

Benfica

Benfica

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/24

W

Braga

Braga

1

Benfica

Benfica

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 22/04/24

W

SC Farense

SC Farense

1

Benfica

Benfica

3

Player to watch – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored Marseille’s goal last week and the hosts may need a big performance from the forward if they’re to turn this one around. The former Arsenal man has scored 24 times in all competitions this term, with half of those goals coming in Europe.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in action for Marseille – Photo by Icon Sport

A threat on the break

Even at 34, Aubameyang is still quick and three of his 12 European goals this term have been counter attacking strikes. That includes his goal in Lisbon last week and his second strike in the 4-0 win over Villarreal in the last round.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.