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Marseille - Benfica
UEFA Europa League - Orange Velodrome
3rd Round
Marseille and Benfica meet for the second leg of a finely poised UEFA Europa League quarter final on Thursday. Our Marseille vs Benfica prediction looks at whether the hosts can overturn a 2-1 deficit from the first leg in Portugal.
Contents
Marseille vs Benfica prediction: Hosts to win with both teams on the scoresheet
🔥Hot tip Marseille draw no bet ⚽ Correct score prediction Marseille 2-1 Benfica Yes💥 Both teams to score
Key Stats
- Our Marseille vs Benfica betting tips take into account the French side having scored in all but one of their 11 Europa League fixtures this term.
- Marseille have only lost one of their 20 competitive home games this season.
- Benfica have won just two of their last seven away games in all competitions.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille slight favourites on the night
- HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Marseille vs Benfica odds with an implied probability of 43.5% that they win the game, although the visitors remain favourites to progress overall.
Marseille haven’t played since last week’s first leg which saw Benfica go two up through Rafa Silva and Angel Di Maria before Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang grabbed a potentially key goal for the French side. Benfica were in action at the weekend, winning 3-0 at home to Moreirense in Liga Portugal.
For more of the best picks, today’s betting tips will guide you through the rest of the European action this week.
Last three H2Hs: Games tend to be tight
UEFA Europa League 11/04/24 Benfica Marseille Europe Friendlies 25/07/21 Benfica Marseille World Club Friendlies 23/07/14 Marseille Benfica
Our Marseille vs Benfica prediction suggests there’ll again only be one goal to separate the teams. The sides also met in the knockout stage of the 2009/10 Europa League with Benfica winning the second leg 2-1 in France to seal a 3-2 aggregate win.
Marseille Preview: Lengthy injury list a factor in poor form
Marseille will be without a number of players again to injury with Quentin Merlin, Jonathan Clauss, Valentin Rongier and Ismaila Sarr all potentially missing here.
Predicted Lineup: Lopez (GK), Mbemba, Gigot, Balerdi, Ndiaye, Kondogbia, Veretout, Ounahi, Harit, Moumbagna, Aubameyang
France Ligue 1 12/04/25 L Monaco 3 Marseille 0 France Ligue 1 06/04/25 W Toulouse 2 Marseille 3 France Ligue 1 29/03/25 L Reims 3 Marseille 1 France Ligue 1 16/03/25 L PSG 3 Marseille 1 France Ligue 1 08/03/25 L Lens 1 Marseille 0
Benfica Preview: Bernat a doubt for visitors
Benfica are doing better on the selection front but could be missing Juan Bernat to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Trubin (GK), Aursnes, Otamendi, Silva, Bah, Neves, Florentino Luis, Neres, Rafa, Di Maria, Tengstedt
Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25 D Arouca 2 Benfica 2 Portugal Cup 09/04/25 W FC Tirsense 0 Benfica 5 Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/25 W FC Porto 1 Benfica 4 Portugal Primeira Liga 02/04/25 W SC Farense 2 Benfica 3 Portugal Primeira Liga 28/03/25 W Gil Vicente 0 Benfica 3
Player to watch – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored Marseille’s goal last week and the hosts may need a big performance from the forward if they’re to turn this one around. The former Arsenal man has scored 24 times in all competitions this term, with half of those goals coming in Europe.
A threat on the break
Even at 34, Aubameyang is still quick and three of his 12 European goals this term have been counter attacking strikes. That includes his goal in Lisbon last week and his second strike in the 4-0 win over Villarreal in the last round.
