Fresh off the back of securing Europa League qualification, Benfica return to action in the Portuguese Primeira Liga when they play host to Estoril Praia at the Estadio da Luz on Monday. Having lost each of their last five meetings, Estoril will head into this one desperate to end their poor two-year streak against the hosts and finally get off the mark in the new season.
Read our Benfica vs Estoril Praia preview, prediction and betting tips below, while you can also find more of our expert predictions on today's betting tips page.
Benfica vs Estoril Praia key stats
- Benfica have won their last five games against Estoril Praia, scoring 14 goals and conceding four since losing on penalties in their Taca da Liga semi-final clash back in January 2024.
- Estoril Praia have failed to win their last 11 Primeira Liga games, losing eight and claiming three draws since a 1-0 victory over Nacional on March 15.
- Benfica are on a run of 10 consecutive home victories across all competitions, picking up seven wins and three draws since February’s 1-0 loss against Real Madrid in the Champions League.
- Benfica have opened the scoring in their last five games against Estoril, with As Aguias also leading at half time in each of their five meetings.
Benfica vs Estoril Praia: Can the Canarinhos end 12-year Estadio da Luz hoodoo with first Primeira Liga win since March?
Benfica vs Estoril Praia — Tale of the Tape
| Benfica | vs | Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Position | 17th |
| 4 | Points | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 2 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 10th | Home / Away Rank | 15th |
Benfica made light work of AGF in the Europa League qualifying playoff, picking up a 3-1 second-leg victory on Thursday to seal their return to Europe’s second-tier club competition for the first time since the 2020-21 campaign.
Having knocked out St. Gallen and Hearts to reach the playoff round, As Aguias secured a 3-1 first-leg victory at the Estadio da Luz on August 20, before strikes from Gianluca Prestianni on either side of Rafa Silva’s 56th-minute goal saw them defeat the Danish outfit 3-1 in the return leg at the Randers Stadion on Thursday to complete a commanding 6-2 aggregate win.
Benfica now turn their focus to the Primeira Liga, where they bounced back from a disappointing opening-day 2-2 stalemate with Academico Viseu on August 9 with an emphatic 7-0 victory over Casa Pia eight days later.
Having netted 22 goals to finish second in the 2025-26 Golden Boot race, Vangelis Pavlidis turned in a spectacular individual display at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, netting a hat-trick and providing one assist to fire Marco Silva’s men to their first win of the league campaign.
Benfica, who are closing in on a fourth consecutive victory in all competitions, will be backing themselves to continue their impressive European form on Monday when they take on an opposing side who have lost 10 of their 11 meetings in all competitions since March 2022.
Having failed to win their final eight games in a difficult end to the 2025-26 campaign (2D 6L), Estoril Praia have stumbled into the new season, picking up just one point from their first three matches.
A 1-1 stalemate against Famalicao at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota on the opening weekend was followed by a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Nacional on August 16, before Vasco Matos’s men lost to Rio Ave by the same scoreline last Saturday.
Making their second home outing of the campaign, Estoril Praia were guilty of a lack of cutting edge at the attacking end of the pitch last Saturday, with Jalen Blesa and Tamble Monteiro netting on either side of the half-time break to fire Rio Ave to their first win of the campaign.
Having penned a one-year contract to take charge this summer, it has been a challenging start to head coach Vasco Matos’s stint with the Canarinhos, but victory on Monday could provide the perfect catalyst for a turnaround and change the mood surrounding his reign.
However, Estoril Praia will make the trip to the Estadio da Luz, where they have lost each of their last 10 visits in the Primeira Liga since playing out a 1-1 stalemate back in May 2013.
Benfica vs Estoril Praia form guide & betting tips
| Benfica | vs | Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
DW |
Primeira Liga Form | DLL |
| 4 | Points | 1 |
| 16 | Goals For | 2 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
DDWWW |
Form (All Comps) | DDDLL |
Whispers’ prediction: Benfica 3-1 Estoril Praia
The bookmakers have Benfica down as firm favourites on Monday, as indicated by their 13/100 (1.13) win probability, and given their contrasting form to start the campaign, we expect As Aguias to extend their dominance in this fixture.
Estoril Praia have trailed at half time in each of their last five games against Benfica, and our first pick of the game is 1/1, which sits at 53/100 (1.53), while over 2.5 goals is currently priced at 2/5 (1.40).
Vangelis Pavlidis has racked up 10 goals in the opening eight games across all competitions this season, and odds of the Greek international finding the back of the net is currently priced at 1/2 (1.50), which is another tempting punt.
Both teams have scored in five of their last six encounters, and Benfica to win + BTTS – Yes at 7/4 (2.75) is our value bet on Monday, while a correct score of 3-1 is our outsider pick at 10/1 (11.00).
> Pavlidis to score – Yes at 1/2 (1.50) | Likelihood: Possible
> Benfica to win + BTTS – Yes at 7/4 (2.75) | Likelihood: Possible
> Correct score: 3-1 at 10/1 (11.00) | Likelihood: Outside