Estadio Pina Monique will host Casa Pia vs Benfica on Saturday, 25 January 2025, as both teams battle for three valuable points. View our free predictions for this Liga Portugal match below.
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Casa Pia vs Benfica predictions: A high-scoring game
Key stats
- Four of Casa Pia's last five matches went above the 2.5-goal line.
- At least three goals were scored in five of Benfica’s last six games.
- Benfica opened the scoring in each of their last six meetings with Casa Pia.
- Each of Casa Pia's last five games, and three of Benfica's last four matches featured goals at both ends.
Correct score prediction: Casa Pia 1-3 Benfica
Although Casa Pia have put in some solid performances in recent weeks, they have a poor track record against Benfica, losing five of the last six meetings between these outfits. On that note, we are backing the visitors to claim all the spoils.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are bookies’ favourites
- HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Casa Pia have strung together a six-match unbeaten run in the Portuguese top flight, with four wins and two draws. They are sixth, four places behind second-placed Benfica, with a 7-6-5 win-draw-loss record.
Ahead of this clash, Benfica are the expected winners at 4/11 (1.36). Teams with these odds generally have a 73.3% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Casa Pia vs Benfica predictions.
Moreover, Benfica drew first blood in four of their last five matches, and in each of their last six encounters with Casa Pia. Considering they also led at the half-time break in three of their last five games, HT Benfica to win has an appealing look at 9/10 (1.90). That one has a 52.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Benfica?
This will be the seventh encounter between these teams in the last decade. Benfica are undefeated in their previous six clashes, with five wins and a draw.
Portugal Primeira Liga 17/08/24
Benfica
Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 17/03/24
Casa Pia
Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga 28/10/23
Benfica
Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/02/23
Benfica
Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 13/08/22
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia preview: No new absentees
Casa Pia will remain without forwards Claudio Mendes and Kike in this weekend’s clash due to injuries.
Predicted lineup: Sequeira (GK), Tchamba, Fonte, Goulart, Larrazabal, Mukendi, Kraev, Lelo, Moreira, Cassiano & Livolant.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
W
Braga
1
Casa Pia
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25
D
Arouca
0
Casa Pia
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/25
L
Estoril
3
Casa Pia
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
D
AVS
1
Casa Pia
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
L
FC Porto
1
Casa Pia
0
Benfica preview: Sights set on the top spot
Midfielder Renato Sanches and forward Tiago Gouveia will be the only absentees for Benfica this weekend because of injuries.
Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Araujo, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras, Aursnes, Luis, Kokcu, Akturkoglu, Pavlidis & Di Maria.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Sporting
1
Benfica
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Estoril
1
Benfica
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
AVS
0
Benfica
6
Portugal Cup 23/04/25
W
FC Tirsense
0
Benfica
4
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
W
Guimaraes
0
Benfica
3
Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis
Vangelis Pavlidis is coming off arguably his best performance of the season, as he scored a hat-trick in the first half of Benfica's 4-5 defeat at the hands of Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League. The Greek player opened the scoring in the reverse fixture of this clash and will fancy his chances against Casa Pia once again.