Estrela Amadora vs Benfica predictions
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

At least three goals were scored in five of Benfica's last six matches

Estadio Pina Monique will host Casa Pia vs Benfica on Saturday, 25 January 2025, as both teams battle for three valuable points. View our free predictions for this Liga Portugal match below.

Casa Pia vs Benfica predictions: A high-scoring game

Key stats

  • Four of Casa Pia's last five matches went above the 2.5-goal line.
  • At least three goals were scored in five of Benfica’s last six games.
  • Benfica opened the scoring in each of their last six meetings with Casa Pia.
  • Each of Casa Pia's last five games, and three of Benfica's last four matches featured goals at both ends.

Correct score prediction: Casa Pia 1-3 Benfica

Although Casa Pia have put in some solid performances in recent weeks, they have a poor track record against Benfica, losing five of the last six meetings between these outfits. On that note, we are backing the visitors to claim all the spoils.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are bookies’ favourites

  • HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Casa Pia have strung together a six-match unbeaten run in the Portuguese top flight, with four wins and two draws. They are sixth, four places behind second-placed Benfica, with a 7-6-5 win-draw-loss record.

Ahead of this clash, Benfica are the expected winners at 4/11 (1.36). Teams with these odds generally have a 73.3% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Casa Pia vs Benfica predictions.

Moreover, Benfica drew first blood in four of their last five matches, and in each of their last six encounters with Casa Pia. Considering they also led at the half-time break in three of their last five games, HT Benfica to win has an appealing look at 9/10 (1.90). That one has a 52.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Benfica?

This will be the seventh encounter between these teams in the last decade. Benfica are undefeated in their previous six clashes, with five wins and a draw.

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/08/24

Benfica

Benfica

3
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/03/24

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0
Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/10/23

Benfica

Benfica

1
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/02/23

Benfica

Benfica

3
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/08/22

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0
Benfica

Benfica

1

Casa Pia preview: No new absentees

Casa Pia will remain without forwards Claudio Mendes and Kike in this weekend’s clash due to injuries.

Predicted lineup: Sequeira (GK), Tchamba, Fonte, Goulart, Larrazabal, Mukendi, Kraev, Lelo, Moreira, Cassiano & Livolant.

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

W

Braga

Braga

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

D

Arouca

Arouca

0

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/25

L

Estoril

Estoril

3

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

D

AVS

AVS

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

L

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Benfica preview: Sights set on the top spot

Midfielder Renato Sanches and forward Tiago Gouveia will be the only absentees for Benfica this weekend because of injuries.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Araujo, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras, Aursnes, Luis, Kokcu, Akturkoglu, Pavlidis & Di Maria.

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Sporting

Sporting

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

W

Estoril

Estoril

1

Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

AVS

AVS

0

Benfica

Benfica

6

Portugal Cup 23/04/25

W

FC Tirsense

FC Tirsense

0

Benfica

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Benfica

Benfica

3

Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis

Vangelis Pavlidis player to watch
Photo by IMAGO

Vangelis Pavlidis is coming off arguably his best performance of the season, as he scored a hat-trick in the first half of Benfica's 4-5 defeat at the hands of Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League. The Greek player opened the scoring in the reverse fixture of this clash and will fancy his chances against Casa Pia once again.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives