Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction, odds & betting tips 22/08/2025
Bayern Munich will hope to start the new season with a win against RB Leipzig (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 3.5 goals

Bayern scored 99 goals in 34 league games last term, but they also conceded twice in three of their final seven games of 2024-25.

Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich have the privilege of kicking off the new German top-flight season on Friday night at Allianz Arena against travelling opponents RB Leipzig.

Head coach Vincent Kompany managed to guide his side to a first-placed finish last term, as well as the German Super Cup on August 16 when they beat Stuttgart 2-1, whereas Leipzig finished seventh and failed to qualify for any European competition for the first time in any of the past nine Bundesliga campaigns,

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction: Bayern's goalscoring brilliance 

Key stats

  • Bayern Munich scored 99 goals in the Bundesliga in 2024-25, the joint second most they have ever netted in a season since 1972-73.
  • RB Leipzig's return of 53 league goals was their worst ever tally in their top-flight history, while their record of 48 conceded was their second worst.
  • The hosts netted at least twice in each of their final seven games of 2024-25, but they also conceded at least twice three times in that period.

Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

While the opening matchday of any season in Europe can spring surprises, Bayern have been Germany's most dominant team for some time, and anything other than a home victory on Friday would be a shock considering the hosts boast an exceptional frontline.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern predicted to win by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.5) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 9/1 (10) – 10%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 80%, and the bookmakers believe that RB Leipzig have little chance of escaping Allianz Arena with any points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Bayern dominate recent meetings

Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig have frequently faced off against each other, but it is the hosts that have dominated in recent encounters, winning two and drawing two of their past four clashes.

A total of 19 goals were scored in those four matches, with the clubs settling for a point when they last faced off on May 3, drawing 3-3 in the Bundesliga.

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 20/12/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

5
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 24/02/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/09/23

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Super Cup 12/08/23

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

0
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Bayern Munich preview: Champions win the Super Cup

Bayern managed to claim the German Super Cup after beating Stuttgart, but they were fortunate that their opponents did not convert a number of good opportunities.

Winger Luis Diaz scored for Bayern against Stuttgart, and the newcomer can be pencilled into the starting XI on the left side of attack on Friday.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanisic, Kimmich, Goretzka, Gnabry, Olise, Diaz & Kane

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Mainz

Mainz

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

W

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

4

UEFA Champions League 16/04/25

D

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

RB Leipzig preview: Disastrous end to the season

RB Leipzig failed to achieve wins any of their final five outings in 2024-25, losing twice, conceding at least three goals three times and scoring on six occasions.

Die Roten Bullen boss Ole Werner did oversee a 4-2 win against Sandhausen in the first round of the DFB-Pokal on August 16, with creative hub Xavi Simons netting in the 96th minute.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Baku, Orban, Lukeba, Raum, Seiwald, Schlager, Bakayoko, Xavi, Nusa & Openda

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

0

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

4

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/04/25

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Player to watch: Luis Diaz

Bayern signed Luis Diaz, who was bought from Liverpool for a fee in the region of £65m, and he played a key role in the English club's Premier League title win.

Can Luis Diaz score for Bayern Munich against RB Leipzig? – Image by IMAGO

The Colombian scored on his competitive debut for the Bavarians against Stuttgart, and he netted four times in his final nine games for Liverpool while also providing one assist.


An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.