Bayern Munich have an opportunity to extend their lead at the top of the Bundesliga when they welcome Mainz 05 to the Allianz Arena this Sunday.
Can the hosts prevail in Sunday's clash, or will Mainz shock the world with a victory in Bavaria? Read our Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction and preview to find out, but don't forget to also check out some of our other Bundesliga predictions.
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Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction: Hosts eye latest home win
Key Stats
- Bayern have scored two or more goals in 21 successive Bundesliga matches, setting a competition record.
- Five of the last six head-to-heads at the Allianz Arena saw both teams score.
- Mainz have conceded six times in the opening 15 minutes this season.
- Mainz are without a clean sheet in 24 successive Bundesliga games – a club record.
Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 4-0 Mainz
Newly appointed Mainz manager Urs Fischer is getting ready for a baptism of fire as his team take on the current league leaders and arguably the most dominant team in world football at this moment, Bayern Munich.
The Bavarians have only lost one game this season, going on a four-match winning run since then and scoring three or more goals in all those games – including five against Stuttgart. With that in mind, Bayern will be expected to win big against Mainz.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern backed to dominate
- HOME: 1/10 (1.10) – 90.90%
- DRAW: 10/1 (11.0) – 9.10%
- AWAY: 18/1 (19.00) – 5.30%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Bayern Munich vs Mainz odds that the bookies expect a win for the home team.
Nevertheless, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz can cause Bayern problems
Bayern Munich beating Mainz seven times across their last 10 meetings is not a shocking stat. However, one fact that may surprise you is that Mainz have also picked up three wins over the Bavarians during this time.
The last meeting between these teams took place in April when Bayern on 3-0. The reverse fixture was won by Mainz, who powered to a 2-1 victory last December.
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
Bayern Munich
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 14/12/24
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Germany DFB Pokal 30/10/24
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Germany Bundesliga I 09/03/24
Bayern Munich
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 21/10/23
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich preview: Bavarians back on winning run
Bayern do not tend to experience many hiccups, but drawing with Union Berlin and losing to Arsenal towards the end of November certainly marked a tiny slip up. Since then, Vincent Kompany's men have won four straight games, scoring 14 goals along the way.
When it comes to this weekend, Colombian forward Luis Diaz is suspended after reaching the yellow card limit. Jamal Musiala continues his recovery from a broken calfbone, while French defender Sacha Boey is a doubt due to illness.
Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Laimer, Tah, Kim, Bischof, Kimmich, Goretzka, Olise, Karl, Gnabry & Kane
Last five matches
- FC Union Berlin 2-3 Bayern Munich (DFB-Pokal)
- VfB Stuttgart 0-5 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
- Bayern Munich 3-1 Sporting CP (UEFA Champions League)
- Bayern Munich 3-1 FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
- Arsenal 3-1 Bayern Munich (UEFA Champions League)
Mainz preview: New era under new manager
Urs Fischer is back in management after taking on arguably the toughest job in the Bundesliga. Mainz are rock bottom of the table and find themselves six points from safety. On top of that, they have a European campaign to think about.
In terms of injuries, Anthony Caci, Maxim Dal, Phillipp Mwene and Robin Zentner are out with injuries. Midfielders Dominik Kohr and Paul Nebel, meanwhile, are both suspended.
Predicted lineup: Batz (GK), Hanche-Olsen, Maloney, Leitsch, Da Costa, Sano, Amiri, Veratschnig, Weiper, Lee & Hollerbach
Last five matches
- Lech Poznan 1-1 Mainz (UEFA Conference League)
- Mainz 0-1 Borussia Monchengladbach (Bundesliga)
- SC Freiburg 4-0 Mainz (Bundesliga)
- CS Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Mainz (UEFA Conference League)
- Mainz 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Harry Kane
Bayern’s immense 49-goal haul at this stage of the season is largely down to Harry Kane’s exploits, with the England international rattling the net 17 times in the league.
Three of those goals came last weekend against Stuttgart as Kane came off the bench to bag his 10th career hat-trick in the Bundesliga.