Relegation candidates St Pauli will host the reigning champions Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday, 20 April, in the next round of the Bundesliga.
With the season winding down, every point can be crucial for these two teams and their respective goals, but who will get the points from this match? Find out from our St Pauli vs Leverkusen prediction and preview.
Contents
St Pauli vs Leverkusen predictions: Champions to get the win
Key Stats
- Both teams have scored in 71% of Leverkusen's away matches in Bundesliga this season.
- St Pauli have only won three of their 14 home matches in the league.
- Leverkusen are undefeated away from home in Bundesliga this season (9W, 5D).
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 1-3 Leverkusen
While St Pauli have been solid lately, they are a class below the defending champions Leverkusen, who need these points to stay in the race for the title in Bundesliga. So, we can't see any other outcome in this game other than a win for the guests.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leverkusen have the favourites tag
- HOME: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.00%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
- AWAY: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.80%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these St Pauli vs Leverkusen odds that the guests are the expected winners and that makes sense considering that Leverkusen are in much better form.
Furthermore, Leverkusen are the defending champions, while St Pauli are candidates for relegation, and the guests are 34 points ahead of the hosts in the Bundesliga standings.
Mark sure to read more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: No wins for St Pauli lately
These two teams haven't met in a while before their first duel this season, which Leverkusen won, and they also won three of the last five meetings with St Pauli, along with two draws. Meanwhile, the two teams are tied when it comes to their overall H2H record: 8-7-8.
Germany Bundesliga I 07/12/24
Bayer Leverkusen
St Pauli
Club Friendly List 04/09/14
Bayer Leverkusen
St Pauli
St Pauli preview: On pace to salvation
With seven points more than the first team in the relegation zone, and with only five games left in the season, it seems that St Pauli will be playing in the Bundesliga next season. Of course, they're not out of the woods yet, but they've been playing well lately with just one loss in their last five matches, which bodes well for their chances of survival.
That being said, St Pauli have a long injury list at the moment, including Karol Mets, Sascha Burchert, James Sands, Scott Banks, Noah Weisshaupt, Jackson Irvine, Robert Wagner, Simon Zoller, Elias Saad, and Johannes Eggestein.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Nemeth, Wahl, Van der Heyden, Saliakas, Smith, Metcalfe, Treu, Sinani, Afolayan & Guilavogui
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
St Pauli
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
L
VfB Stuttgart
1
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Werder Bremen
0
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
D
Bayer Leverkusen
1
St Pauli
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Holstein Kiel
1
St Pauli
2
Leverkusen preview: Title slipping out of their hands
The defending champions had a good chance to cut the deficit in the title race with Bayern Munich last weekend, when the Bavarians split the points with Dortmund, but Leverkusen couldn't capitalise on this since they failed to beat Union Berlin. So, Bayern remain six points ahead of Leverkusen and with only five games left in the season, it's hard seeing Leverkusen lifting the Bundesliga trophy again.
Meanwhile, Martin Terrier, Jeanuel Belocian, Nathan Tella, and Mario Hermoso are out with injuries ahead of this game.
Predicted lineup: Hradecky (GK), Tapsoba, Tah, Hincapie, Frimpong, Xhaka, Garcia, Grimaldo, Adli, Wirtz & Schick
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
L
Borussia Dortmund
4
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
SC Freiburg
2
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
Augsburg
0
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
D
St Pauli
1
Bayer Leverkusen
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
D
Union Berlin
0
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Player to watch: Patrik Schick
With 17 goals in the league this season, Schick is only behind Harry Kane when it comes to the top scorers in Bundesliga and the Czech forward will hope to add to his goalscoring tally against St Pauli.
That being said, Schick has not scored in his last four appearances, so it remains to be seen whether he can get back to scoring ways this weekend.