Bayer Leverkusen will be looking to boost their top-four ambitions when they host St Pauli at the BayArena this Saturday afternoon.
Can the hosts enhance their Champions League qualifying hopes, or will the visitors help their survival plans? Read our Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Bundesliga predictions here.
Contents
- 1 Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli prediction: High stakes for both teams
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing the home team
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Leverkusen domination
- 4 Bayer Leverkusen preview: Champions League hunt continues
- 5 St Pauli preview: Fight for Bundesliga survival continues
- 6 Player to watch: Patrik Schick
Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli prediction: High stakes for both teams
Key Stats
- None of Bayer Leverkusen’s previous nine games have been goalless at the break.
- Bayer Leverkusen have won four of their last five matches at home.
- St Pauli have only managed one win from 11 away games this season.
- St. Pauli opened the scoring in three of 11 league away matches this season.
Correct score prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Unbeaten in five games, Bayer Leverkusen are in the midst of great form across all competitions.
Three of their last four games have seen Die Werkself score three goals, with the one exception being their most recent 1-1 draw away at Borussia Monchengladbach.
Leverkusen will be determined to continue their unbeaten run as they push for a top four finish and next season’s Champions League qualification.
St Pauli, on the other hand, are full of beans after picking up a rare win over Stuttgart last weekend.
Their fourth Bundesliga victory of the season has pushed the Kiezkickers to the brink of safety, with the club sitting just two points adrift of 15th-placed Wolfsburg.
Winning away at Leverkusen will not be easy, with St Pauli boasting one of the worst defensive records in the competition – one win and five points from 11 such games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing the home team
HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at those Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli odds, it is clear that the bookmakers are putting their trust in the hosts.
If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Leverkusen domination
Bayer Leverkusen has dominated this fixture in recent times, winning five of the previous six encounters.
The last head-to-head clash took place less than two weeks ago, with Leverkusen powering to a 3-0 victory in the quarter-final of the DFB Pokal.
Germany DFB Pokal 03/02/26
Bayer Leverkusen
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 27/09/25
St Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
St Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany Bundesliga I 07/12/24
Bayer Leverkusen
St Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen preview: Champions League hunt continues
Entering the weekend three points adrift of the top four, Bayer Leverkusen could certainly do with a victory this Saturday.
In terms of injuries, forward Eliesse Ben Seghir has an ankle issue and is expected to remain on the sidelines. Nathan Tella is out with a foot problem, while Ibrahim Maza is a doubt after just recovering from an injury.
Goalkeeper Janis Blaswich will keep his spot in the starting lineup as Mark Flekken remains in the physio room.
Predicted lineup: Blaswich (GK), Quansah, Andrich, Tapsoba, Arthur, Palacios, Garcia, Grimaldo, Tillman, Poku, Schick
Last five matches
07/02/26: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
03/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 St. Pauli (DFB Pokal)
31/01/26: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
28/01/26: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Villarreal (Champions League)
24/01/26: Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
St Pauli preview: Fight for Bundesliga survival continues
Picking up three points against Stuttgart has greatly enhanced St Pauli’s survival hopes, but the job is far from over.
The big problem for the visitors is trying to continue their newly-found momentum while also dealing with their long injury list.
Englishman Ricky-Jade Jones, for instance, recently picked up an ankle injury and joined a list which includes forward Connor Metcalfe, David Nemeth and Andreas Hountondji.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Dzwigala, Ando, Mets, Saliakas, Sands, Irvine, Pyrka, Sinani, Rasmussen, Kaars
Last five matches
07/02/26: FC St. Pauli 2-1 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
03/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 FC St. Pauli (DFB Pokal)
31/01/26: FC Augsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
27/01/26: FC St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
23/01/26: FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hamburger SV (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Patrik Schick

Bayer Leverkusen forward Patrik Schick will be looking to boost his goal tally this Saturday afternoon.
The Czechia international has two goal contributions to his name from his last four outings – this includes a goal against St Pauli in their DFB Pokal clash a fortnight ago.