Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabag prediction, odds and betting tips 14/03/2024

14/03/24 - 20:00

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Bayer Leverkusen - FK Qarabag

UEFA Europa League - BayArena

4th Round

Qarabag were in dreamland for the majority of their first-leg clash against Bayer Leverkusen with goals from Juninho and Yassine Benzia putting them two goals ahead. However, Leverkusen fought back and managed to level things up for this second-leg.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Qarabah prediction: German giants hoping to avoid an upset

Key stats

• Bayer Leverkusen have not lost a game all season
• Leverkusen scored eight goals against Qarabag in the group stages
• Qarabag have scored eight away goals in the Europa League this campaign

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayer Leverkusen expected to make amends for last week

Home: 1/6 (1.17) – 85.7%

Draw: 13/2 (7.5) – 13.3%

Away: 12/1 (13.0) – 7.7%

Given how favoured Bayer Leverkusen are in this home clash, you may see it as pointless betting on an outright winner, so be sure to check out some of our other fire-free betting tips for this game.

While the German side are huge favourites in this clash, they will be wary after their shock at the home of Qarabag last week. Leverkusen are huge favourites for this clash, so instead of backing an outright winner, we have suggested some handicap tips on our betting insights page which you may find useful.

Last five H2H: Qarabag struggle away from home

Despite holding Leverkusen to a draw at home, Qarabag are certainly up against it to keep their Europa League adventure going. The Azerbaijan side have a chance of progressing, but after losing 5-1 the last time they were on German soil, it's very unlikely.

Bayer Leverkusen preview: No slip-ups are predicted

Bayer Leverkusen and Xabi Alonso were certainly left shocked when they could only scrape a draw away to Qarabag in the first-leg, but they should have far too much at home, a place where only two teams have gone this season and been able to take points off of the Bundesliga leaders.

Predicted lineup: Kovar (GK) – Grimaldo, Hincapie, Tapsoba, Kossounou – Xhaka, Palacios – Adli, Wirtz, Frimpong, Schick

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

L

Borussia Dortmund

4

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

D

SC Freiburg

2

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Augsburg

0

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

D

St Pauli

1

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Union Berlin

0

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Qarabag preview: Always the chance for a shock

The only team to have beaten Qarabag when they've been playing away from home in the Europa League this season is Leverkusen. So, while it's not beyond the realms of possibility for them to cause an upset, it looks extremely unlikely.

Predicted lineup: Lunev (GK) – Bayramov, Huseynov, Mustafazada, Vesovic – Andrade, Jankovic – Zoubir, Benzia, Leandro Andrade – Juninho

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

L

Olympiakos

3

FK Qarabag

0

Azerbaijan Premier League 26/01/25

L

PFK Turan Tovuz

2

FK Qarabag

1

UEFA Europa League 23/01/25

L

FCSB

3

FK Qarabag

2

Azerbaijan Premier League 17/01/25

W

Shamakhi FK

2

FK Qarabag

3

Azerbaijan Premier League 22/12/24

W

Araz FK

0

FK Qarabag

2

Player to watch – Patrik Schick

It's been an indifferent personal season for Patrik Schick who's only scored six goals across all competitions, but he's also missed 18 games through different injuries. Schick does have three in his last three Europa League games, which is encouraging for this clash.

Schick finding his feet in Europe

Schick has six goals in 17 Europa League appearances so it's a competition which the Czech Republic international has loved during his career. Leverkusen's big striker netted a second-half stoppage-time equaliser last time out against Qarabag so he will certainly be a feared man on Thursday.