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Bayer Leverkusen welcome Hamburger SV to the BayArena this Saturday as they look to secure Champions League football in their final game of the season.
Die Werkself have an outside chance of making the top four, but only a victory will keep them in the hunt for elite European football.
Hamburger SV, on the other hand, are looking to end a successful season with their third straight Bundesliga victory.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV key stats
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored 11 goals this season in the opening 15 minutes of matches – more than any other Bundesliga team.
- Hamburg have the third-worst defensive record in the Bundesliga, with three wins from 16 games.
- Leverkusen have scored the opening goal in 22 of their 33 Bundesliga matches this season.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV preview: Hosts chase Champions League football
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV — Tale of the Tape
| Bayer Leverkusen | vs | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 11th |
| 58 | Points | 37 |
| 67 | Goals For | 39 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6th/4th | Home / Away Rank | 9th/16th |
The final round of games in the Bundesliga is typically a procession, but that is not the case this season, given there is still plenty on the line at both ends of the table.
Bayer Leverkusen, for instance, are one of three clubs still battling for fourth spot as they look to bag Champions League football for the fourth time in five seasons.
As things stand, Die Werkself are the rank outsiders in the race for fourth, with the team trailing both Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart by three points.
In order to come out on top, Leverkusen will need to win Saturday’s game with Hamburger SV and also hope that their two rivals lose in their respective games against Borussia Monchengladbach and Eintracht Frankfurt.
There is no doubt that Leverkusen are in a tough predicament, but they can only blame themselves after losing 3-1 to Stuttgart last weekend – a result which could ultimately cost them elite European football.
The hosts will be hoping for another top performance from striker Patrik Schick, who has rattled the net nine times in seven Bundesliga outings.
In terms of absentees, Martin Terrier, Christian Kofane and Nathan Tella are all expected to miss the season finale.
Hamburg are also dealing with a handful of injuries, as Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit, Robert Glatzel and Miro Muheim miss out.
Thankfully for HSV, the club have already secured their Bundesliga status for next season, courtesy of back-to-back league victories.
Hamburg powered past Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg over the last two weeks, and they are now setting their sights on a third straight win.
In order to complete a hat-trick of Bundesliga victories, Die Rothosen will have to shake off a dreadful run of results against Leverkusen.
Merlin Polzin’s men have only managed one win in eight previous meetings, while their last three matches have all ended in defeats.
Another concern for the visitors is the fact they boast the third-worst away record in the competition, having won just three of 16 games on the road.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV form guide & betting tips
| Bayer Leverkusen | vs | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
WLWWL |
Form | LLLWW |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 6th | Form Table | 10th |
| 9 | Goals For | 7 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 12 |
LLWWL |
Form (All Comps) | LLLWW |
Whispers predicts: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Hamburger SV
There is a lot at stake for Bayer Leverkusen in this game, but there is no hiding their poor defence record which has seen them ship nine goals across five matches.
With that in mind, backing both teams to score at around the ⅗ mark is the smart play here – especially if you are considering a bet builder.
Over 2.5 goals is another bet that deserves consideration after landing in Leverkusen’s last four matches. This selection also proved successful in Hamburg’s previous five outings.
If you are looking for big odds, you may want to consider the correct score market. The bookmakers are offering 18/1 odds for Saturday’s game to end in a 2-2 draw.
> Both teams to score – Yes at 3/5 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 2.5 Goals at 3/10 | Likelihood: Probable
> Correct score 2-2 at 18/1 | Likelihood: Outsider