Barnet vs Newport County prediction, odds & betting tips 29/07/2025
Barnet will hope for a win on Tuesday
🔥 Our Hot tip

Barnet to concede under 0.5 goals

Barnet have kept eight clean sheets in their last 13 competitive fixtures

In the preliminary round of the EFL Cup, League Two side Barnet will welcome fellow fourth-tier team Newport County to the Hive Stadium on Tuesday for a place in the first round.

The winner will face Championship club Millwall, though it would not be surprising if the hosts were focused on their league performances given they narrowly avoided relegation last term after finishing 22nd, whereas the visitors won the fifth tier and secured promotion.

Barnet vs Newport County: History in the making?

Key stats

  • Barnet kept eight clean sheets in their final 13 fixtures last season, conceding more than on goal just once.
  • Newport ended the 2024-25 season winless in nine games, losing on six occasions.
  • The hosts scored at least two goals in four of their final seven outings last term, while the visitors failed to score in six in their last nine competitive fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Barnet 2-0 Newport

Barnet will be full of confidence following their promotion, though Newport will be dertermined to start 2025-26 positively, so perhaps Tuesday's match will be a close affair.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers favour the hosts

  • HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.8) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 7/2 (4.5) – 22.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Barnet are the expected winner of Tuesday's clash, with the bookmakers giving the home side a win probability of 38.5%, significantly more than Newport's 22.2%

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Even record

Over the last five games between the two sides, both have won two and lost two, with Newport winning 4-1 in December 2023 in their most recent encounter.

England FA Cup 12/12/23

Barnet

Barnet

1
Newport County

Newport County

4

England FA Cup 02/12/23

Newport County

Newport County

1
Barnet

Barnet

1

England League 2 21/04/18

Barnet

Barnet

2
Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 21/11/17

Newport County

Newport County

1
Barnet

Barnet

2

England League 2 21/01/17

Barnet

Barnet

0
Newport County

Newport County

0

Barnet preview: Resilient defence and strong attack

Barnet found the back of the net 10 times in their closing three matches of 2024-25 – conceding just once – and they ended the season as champions with 102 points from 46 league games.

Striker Joe Hugill was brought to the club on loan from Manchester United, and he will almost certainly be stationed up front.

Predicted lineup: Evans (GK), Smith, Collinge, Okimo, Galvin, Hugh, Hartigan, Adeniran, Browne, Hugill & Kanu

UK Friendlies 22/07/25

D

Wycombe

Wycombe

1

Barnet

Barnet

1

UK Friendlies 05/07/25

D

Hemel Hempstead

Hemel Hempstead

2

Barnet

Barnet

2

UK Friendlies 01/07/25

W

Hitchin

Hitchin

0

Barnet

Barnet

3

England National League 05/05/25

W

AFC Fylde

AFC Fylde

0

Barnet

Barnet

3

England National League 26/04/25

W

Aldershot

Aldershot

0

Barnet

Barnet

4

Newport preview: Worrying performances to end the season

Newport finished third last in League Two last season – seven points above the relegation zone – but they conceded 11 goals and only scored three times in their last six outings of the campaign.

Defender Habeeb Ogunneye also joined the club on a temporary deal from Manchester United, and perhaps the visitor will look to give him minutes.

Predicted lineupCarney (GK), Ogunneye, Warner, Evans, Davies, Smith, Antwi, Whitmore, Patten, Garner & Spellman

England League 2 03/05/25

L

Tranmere

Tranmere

4

Newport County

Newport County

1

England League 2 26/04/25

L

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

2

Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 21/04/25

D

Walsall

Walsall

0

Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 18/04/25

D

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

0

Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 12/04/25

L

Colchester

Colchester

2

Newport County

Newport County

0

Player to watch: Joe Hugill

Barnet striker Joe Hugill is embarking on his fifth loan spell since 2023, and now that he is 21 years old, there are fears that his development has stalled.

Manchester United new signings
Joe Hugill will hope his loan spell is successful – Photo by Icon Sport

The forward scored just one goal in his last 13 appearances for Carlisle United, who he played for on loan in 2024-25, so he will be keen to prove his critics wrong.


An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.