Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips 03/12/2023

Barcelona
03/12/23 - 20:00

Finished

1

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Atletico Madrid

Barcelona - Atletico Madrid

Spain Primera Liga - Camp Nou

This is the big game this weekend in Spain as the teams in third and fourth face off at the Estadi Olimpic. Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction analyses which of these La Liga giants may come out on top, so read our preview to learn more about the game and check our football betting tips for it.

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Draw

  • Atletico Madrid never won away to Barcelona in La Liga during Diego Simeone’s 12-year reign.
  • However, they have been the more convincing of the two sides in recent weeks and have lost just two of their 18 competitive matches this term.

Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid betting tips suggest the visitors should be very competitive in this game, and they’ll approach it with confidence after an impressive 3-1 win away to Feyenoord in the Champions League in midweek.

Latest odds

Head to Head

23/04/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

08/01/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

1

06/02/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

2

02/10/21

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

0

08/05/21

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

0

Last Five - Barcelona

24/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Getafe

Getafe

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

4

W

21/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

it

Napoli

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

1

D

17/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

2

W

15/02/24

Others Others

Inter Miami CF

Inter Miami CF

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

0

D

11/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Granada

Granada

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

3

D

Last Five - Atletico Madrid

24/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

2

D

20/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

17/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

5

W

11/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

07/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

Win probability

  • HOME: Evens (2.00) – 50.0%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

The Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid odds make the home team favourites, but you can back Atletico Madrid-Draw Double Chance at 5/6 (1.83), with an implied probability of 54.5%.

In terms of goalscorers, in-form Antoine Griezmann can be backed to score anytime against his old club at 5/2 (3.50), a probability of 28.6%, while Robert Lewandowski is the favourite to score anytime at 13/10 (2.30), a probability of 43.5%.

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Other tips

Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid

  • This Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction takes into account the low-scoring nature of this fixture in recent times with eight of the last 10 league meetings producing two or fewer goals.
  • Barcelona have not won any of their last 13 matches in all competitions by more than a single goal.

Half Time – Draw

  • One of the key trends when looking for La Liga tips involving Barcelona this season is their inability to score early goals, with the Catalans netting before the break in just 29% of their home games.
  • Barcelona have scored more than once on just one occasion against current top-half opposition this season.

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid team news

Barcelona

There is more uncertainty for the hosts regarding the Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid lineups, with a series of unconvincing displays giving Xavi plenty to ponder. He won’t be able to call upon Gavi, who is a long-term absentee. At the same time, keeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen is an injury doubt, with the inexperienced Inaki Pena on standby again.

Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Balde, Martinez, Araujo, Kounde, Gundogan, De Jong, Pedri, Felix, Lewandowski, Cancelo

Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone has settled upon a 3-5-2 system and has a pretty clear idea of his strongest XI right now. He may be able to field it here with Thomas Lemar and Pablo Barrios, neither of whom are guaranteed starters, their only injury absentees.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Witsel, Gimenez, Lino, Llorente, Koke, De Paul, Moilina, Griezmann, Morata

Confirmed Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Barcelona

Barcelona
4-3-3
13
Inaki Pena
es
21
Frenkie De Jong
nl
23
Jules Kounde
fr
11
Raphinha
br
14
Joao Felix
pt
2
Joao Cancelo
pt
4
Ronald Araujo
uy
8
Pedri
es
9
Robert Lewandowski
pl
22
Ilkay Gundogan
de
15
Andreas Christensen
dk
Substitutes
5
Inigo Martinez
es
20
Sergi Roberto
es
27
Lamine Yamal Nasraqui Ebana
es
7
Ferran Torres
es
18
Oriol Romeu
es
3
Alejandro Balde
es
31
Diego Kochen
us
32
Fermin Lopez Marin
es
26
Ander Astralaga Aranguren
es

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid
3-5-2
16
Nahuel Molina
ar
25
Rodrigo Riquelme
es
13
Jan Oblak
si
20
Axel Witsel
be
19
Alvaro Morata
es
5
Rodrigo De Paul
ar
7
Antoine Griezmann
fr
2
Jose Maria Gimenez
uy
22
Mario Hermoso
es
6
Koke
es
14
Marcos Llorente
es
Substitutes
31
Antonio Gomis Aleman
es
15
Stefan Savic
me
8
Saul Niguez
es
3
Cesar Azpilicueta
es
12
Lino
pt
9
Memphis Depay
nl
1
Ivo Grbic
hr
10
Angel Correa
ar
17
Javi Galan
es
23
Reinildo Mandava
mz
4
Caglar Soyuncu
tr

Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski

Robert Lewandowski’s time in Barcelona has divided opinion to some extent. There have been many games where he has made little impact and almost appeared a little lost, yet his goal return is still quite impressive and he averages one every 133 minutes this season in La Liga in what hasn’t always been a convincing Barca side.

 


Avatar of Vladimir Kovacevic
Vladimir Kovacevic

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.