Barcelona travel to the Estadio Metropolitano for the second leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final. Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction considers which side is most likely to progress after an eight-goal thriller in the first leg ended level.
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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction: Hosts to strike first, but visitors to force extra time
Key stats
- Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that seven of the last 10 matches involving Diego Simeone’s side have seen both teams score.
- Barcelona are unbeaten in 20 competitive fixtures so far in 2025.
- Six of their last seven matches have served up over 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-2 Barcelona
Barcelona are certainly the form team coming into this match, with Atleti exiting the Champions League and falling out of league title contention in recent weeks.
However, that only adds to the importance of this game from a home perspective, and in front of a packed crowd at the Metropolitano, Los Rojiblancos will be highly motivated and should make a real game of this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the slight favourites
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona odds, with an implied probability of 43.5% that they win this match.
They head into this game after scoring three goals in the final 30 minutes to ultimately breeze past Girona 4-1 in La Liga on Sunday.
As for Atleti, they dropped points again on Saturday, with Cesar Azpilicueta on target in a 1-1 draw at Espanyol.
For more from the upcoming games in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: 17 goals in three meetings this term
Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction suggests we’ll get plenty of goalmouth action again here, with all three meetings so far this season seeing both teams score, with three or more goals.
Atleti have taken two-goal leads in both meetings so far in 2025, but they failed to win either match.
Spain La Liga 16/03/25
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Spain Copa del Rey 25/02/25
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 21/12/24
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 17/03/24
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 03/12/23
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid preview: South American contingent to return
Rodrigo De Paul, Julian Alvarez and Jose Maria Gimenez should return to the side having been left on the bench at the weekend. Koke remains a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Lenglet, Gimenez, Molina, Gallagher, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Alvarez & Griezmann
Spain La Liga 14/04/25 W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 W Sevilla 1 Atletico Madrid 2 Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 D Espanyol 1 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 L Barcelona 4 Atletico Madrid 2
Barcelona preview: Raphinha to return?
Raphinha has been rested for Barca’s last two matches, but he is likely to come back in here. Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Marc Bernal, Dani Olmo and Marc Casado are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Balde, Cubarsi, Martinez, Kounde, Pedri, De Jong, Gavi, Raphinha, Lewandowski & Yamal
Spain La Liga 12/04/25 W Leganes 0 Barcelona 1 UEFA Champions League 09/04/25 W Borussia Dortmund 0 Barcelona 4 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 D Real Betis 1 Barcelona 1 Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25 W Atletico Madrid 0 Barcelona 1 Spain La Liga 30/03/25 W Girona 1 Barcelona 4
Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski
It was a fine strike from Robert Lewandowski that sparked Barca’s comeback victory on this ground in the league in March. La Liga’s top scorer takes great form into this with five goals in his last five games for club and country.
Lewandowski enjoying life against Atleti
The Poland international has scored in three of his last four matches against Atletico Madrid. He netted to put Barca 4-2 up in the first leg, but two late goals for the visitors ensured we would be level heading into this week's second leg.