Atletico Baleares will welcome Atletico Madrid to Estadio Balear for their Copa del Rey encounter on Wednesday, 17 December 2025.
View our free Baleares vs Atletico Madrid predictions below.
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Baleares vs Atletico Madrid predictions: Hosts to find the net
Key stats
- Atletico Baleares have scored at least one goal in seven consecutive matches across all competitions.
- There were at least 11 corners in six of Atletico Madrid's last eight games.
- Baleares have already eliminated a La Liga team from the Copa del Rey this season.
Correct score prediction: Baleares 1-3 Atletico Madrid
There is a huge difference in quality between these squads, as fourth-tier minnows Baleares ply their trade in the Segunda Federacion, which is a tier below Atletico Madrid's reserve team.
However, it is important to note that this isn't Baleares' first rodeo against a top-flight team, as they knocked Espanyol out of the previous round of the Copa del Rey.
That said, Atletico Madrid are a much bigger fish to fry, and despite Baleares' best efforts, we are confident that the visitors will secure a fairly comfortable victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid clearly favoured
- HOME: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atletico Madrid were one of La Liga's top four teams last season, and as a result, they did not get to participate in the previous rounds of the Copa del Rey.
On the other hand, Baleares have been impressive in this competition, eliminating Gimnastic de Tarragona and Espanyol in the previous rounds, despite being the underdogs.
Ahead of this clash, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 2/9 (1.22). Teams with these odds generally have an 81.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Baleares vs Atletico Madrid predictions.
It is also important to note that Atletico Madrid have averaged 7.0 corners per game in La Liga, which is more than any other team in the Spanish top flight. Considering the strength of their opponents, over 6.5 Atletico Madrid corners has an appealing look at 6/5 (2.20). That one has a 45.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First encounter
Atletico Baleares and Atletico Madrid will square off against each other for the first time on Wednesday. However, it is worth mentioning that Baleares have met Atletico Madrid's reserve side six times, winning none of them (D2, L4).
Baleares preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins against top-flight opposition
One of the shocking outcomes from the last round of the Copa del Rey was Atletico Baleares taking out Espanyol through a lone goal from Jaume Tovar a couple of minutes into the second half of that contest. This time, the Segunda Federacion outfit will have to put in an extra effort if they are to repeat that feat against Atletico Madrid.
Head coach Luis Blanco could name a similar side to the one he fielded against Espanyol earlier this month, with Axel Bejarano and Tovar as attacking pairs up front.
Predicted lineup: Rivas (GK), Perez, Taffertshofer, Castell, Pol, Morillo, Miguelito, Bonet, Clara, Tovar & Bejarano.
Last five matches
- Terrassa 3-1 Baleares
- Baleares 1-0 Porreres
- Baleares 1-0 Espanyol
- Atletic Lleida 0-1 Baleares
- Baleares 2-1 Poblense
Atletico Madrid preview: No new injury concerns
Having not led Atleti to Copa del Rey success since 2013 when they defeated city rivals Real Madrid in the final, Diego Someone will leave no stone unturned this season, as he eyes another triumph with his star-studded side. He is expected to line up a strong starting XI for this game.
However, there is still no comeback for Marcos Llorente and Jose Maria Gimenez due to injury, while Alejandro Baena and Clement Lenglet could return to the team after recovering from their health setbacks.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Ruggeri, Hancko, Pubill, Molina, Gallagher, Koke, Barrios, Simeone, Sorloth & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia
- PSV 2-3 Atletico Madrid
- Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Atletico Madrid
- Barcelona 3-1 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 2-0 Real Oviedo
Player to watch: Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann returned to scoring ways last weekend, netting the winner in Atletico Madrid's clash with Valencia. The former Barcelona forward will look to score in back-to-back games for the first time since September.