Bahia will host Juventude in the next round of Serie A on Thursday, 4 July.
Can Bahia stay perfect at home this season in Serie A or will Juventude spoil their record? Read our Bahia vs Juventude prediction to find out, but don't forget to also take a look at our other Serie A predictions.
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Bahia vs Juventude prediction: A confident win for the hosts
Key stats
- Juventude have lost three times in a row away from home in the league.
- Bahia have averaged 2.33 goals per game at home this season in Serie A.
- Four of the previous five duels between Bahia and Juventude have gone under 2.5 total goals.
Correct score prediction: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Given that we rarely see more than two goals when these two teams meet and that Bahia have been amazing at home this season, we can see this match ending 2-0 for the hosts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bahia the clear favourites
- HOME: 6/11 (1.55) – 64.70%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.80%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.30%
We can see from these Bahia vs Juventude odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise given that Bahia are currently eight points ahead of Juventude in the standings.
On top of that, Bahia have been perfect at home so far, at least in the league, while Juventude are without a win in their six away matches in Serie A this season.
In any case, if you like our predictions for this game, make sure check out some of our favourite betting tips for today as well.
Last five H2Hs: No wins for Juventude
We saw three wins for Bahia and a couple of draws in the last five duels between these teams. Meanwhile, Bahia also have an advantage over Juventude when we look at their overall H2H record: 4-4-2.
Bahia preview: Hoping to stay in pursuit of the top
To the surprise of many, Bahia are currently one of the teams in the title race. At the moment, they're fourth in the standings, just three points behind league leaders Flamengo. The main reason why they're so high is their perfect record at home, so if they want to stay close to the top, Bahia will have to do better in away matches this season too.
Meanwhile, Santiago Arias is away on international duty, but Bahia otherwise have no injury problems or suspensions to worry about.
Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Junior, Xavier, Kanu, Luciano, Alexandre, Lucas, Ribeiro, Souza, Everaldo & Thaciano
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
W
Criciuma
0
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
L
Fortaleza
4
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
W
Atletico Mineiro
0
EC Bahia
3
Copa do Brasil 13/09/24
L
Flamengo
1
EC Bahia
0
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
L
Bragantino
2
EC Bahia
1
Juventude preview: Doing well this season
As a newly promoted team, Juventude are doing as expected and probably a bit better. Overall, they have 16 points from 12 games, which puts them in the 12th spot in the Serie A standings. However, it's important to note that Juventude are also just five points ahead of the first team in the relegation zone, so there is no room for complacency, especially this early in the season.
When it comes to team news, Kleiton, Edson Carioca, and Marcelinho are all injured.
Predicted lineup: Gabriel (GK), Ewerton, Boza, Marcos, Inocencio, Caique, Jadson, Jean, Farias, Bill & Barbosa
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
D
Bragantino
1
EC Juventude
1
Brazil Copa Gaucho 26/09/24
L
Passo Fundo RS
4
EC Juventude
0
Brazil Serie A 21/09/24
L
Vitoria
1
EC Juventude
0
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
W
Fluminense
1
EC Juventude
2
Copa do Brasil 12/09/24
L
Corinthians
3
EC Juventude
1
Player to watch: Everaldo
The experienced forward is one of the main reasons for Bahia's great season so far since he has contributed with five goals in Serie A, so he's our player to watch in this match.
Will Everaldo score first?
We saw Everaldo become the first goalscorer twice this season already, so can he score the first goal of the game against Juventude as well?