Azerbaijan are set to take on Estonia Gabala on Saturday, 16 November in a match that could confirm the hosts' relegation to Group D of the Nations League.
Neither side has any hope of promotion going into the final two fixtures in their group but this fixture will go a long way to determining which side automatically gets relegated to Group D and which side faces a playoff to retain their Group C status.
As part of our latest round of Nations League betting tips, here is our Azerbaijain vs Estonia prediction.
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Azerbaijan vs Estonia prediction: Estonia to complete a double of Azerbaijan
Key stats
- Estonia defeated Azerbaijan 3-1 in the reverse fixture.
- Estonia have won three of their last six matches in all competitions.
- Azerbaijan have lost all four of their Nations League fixtures this season.
- Each of Estonia's last three matches have produced more than two goals
Correct score prediction: Azerbaijan 1-2 Estonia
Estonia have pulled off a shock result to down Azerbaijan before and we are backing them to do the same on Saturday night. They have put up a better fight in this group than their opponents and have scored at least once in four of their last six away matches. Azerbaijan look a beaten side but should at least score on home soil.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Azerbaijan
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Azerbaijan vs Estonia odds illustrate that there is fantastic value on an Estonia win on Saturday night. Ladbrokes consider Azerbaijan as the favourites and have given them a 63.6% of winning the match while Estonia have been given just a 17.4% chance of taking away all three points.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Nations League predictions this week.
Most recent H2Hs: Nothing to split them
Azerbaijan and Estonia have played each other three times over the 18 months. From those three fixtures, both teams have won one game apiece and the other finished in a draw. The most recent clash came last month when Estonia ran out as 3-1 winners in a result that has left Azerbaijan facing relegation in the face.
UEFA Nations League C 11/10/24
Estonia
Azerbaijan
Euro 2023 Qualifying 13/10/23
Estonia
Azerbaijan
Euro 2023 Qualifying 17/06/23
Azerbaijan
Estonia
Azerbaijan preview: A sorry campaign nears its end
Azerbaijan will be looking forward to the Nations League being over so they can wipe the slate clean and focus on the World Cup qualifiers next year. They have lost all four of their matches in Group C, League Four but they can still restore some pride, and perhaps even steal a relegation playoff match, with a big win here.
Predicted Lineup: Cennetov (GK), B.Huseynov, Mustafazada, A.Huseynov, Cafarguliyev, Diniyev, Isayev; Bayramov, Mahmudov, Sheydayev, Dadashov
International Match 25/03/25
L
Belarus
2
Azerbaijan
0
International Match 22/03/25
L
Haiti
3
Azerbaijan
0
UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24
L
Sweden
6
Azerbaijan
0
UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24
D
Estonia
0
Azerbaijan
0
UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24
L
Slovakia
3
Azerbaijan
1
Estonia preview: Making progress
Estonia are used to being minnows in European football but they can take pride in what they have achieved over the past couple of years. They were just one win away from qualifying for Euro 2024 last year and have since won three of the six matches they've played. Picking up a point or more here means that their fate Group C fate remains in their hands.
Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Paskotsi, Tamm, Mets, Schjonning-Larsen, Miller, Palumets, Shein, Sinyavskiy, Vetkal, Yakloev
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
W
Moldova
2
Estonia
3
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25
L
Israel
2
Estonia
1
UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24
L
Slovakia
1
Estonia
0
UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24
D
Azerbaijan
0
Estonia
0
UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24
L
Sweden
3
Estonia
0
Player to watch: Ioan Yakovlev
This isn't a match that is blessed with well-known superstars from across the world but that isn't always a bad thing. One player who is worth keeping an eye on is Estonian forward, Ioan Yakovlev who has that bit of extra something that could prove to be the difference on Saturday. The 26-year-old has five goals and six assists so far this season at club level.