Auxerre and Toulouse shared a similar fate on matchday four, both conceding late goals to suffer defeats, and will now aim to rebound when they face off at the Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps on Sunday, 21 September.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Auxerre vs Toulouse tips below.
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Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction: Le Tefece to beat AJA
Key stats
- Auxerre have lost three Ligue 1 games on the trot.
- AJA haven’t scored more than once in each of their last six home league games.
- Toulouse have scored eight goals in their last five games.
- The visitors have lost back-to-back league outings.
Correct score prediction: Auxerre 1-3 Toulouse
Auxerre began their season with a 1-0 win over Lorient, but have since slumped to three consecutive defeats, including a late loss to AS Monaco, where super-sub George Ilenikhena’s header sealed their fate. Toulouse were dealt with a similar fate last matchday, but perhaps worse: leading 1–0 until the 90th minute, they conceded twice in stoppage time to fall 2–1 to Lille
Notably, both sides have lost a joint-league-high five matches after scoring first since the start of last season, highlighting recurring issues with closing out games. Given Toulouse’s stronger attacking form – scoring at least twice in each of their last three matches – they are slight favourites to edge past a vulnerable Auxerre side.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Identical odds
- HOME: 13/8 (2.62) – 38.1%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Auxerre have lost four of their previous seven home league games, one more than in their previous 21 on home turf. They are backed by 13/8 (2.62) odds, implying a 38.1% chance of success, similar to that of Toulouse.
The visitors are priced at 8/5 (2.60) odds, with their superior recent H2H record perhaps an indicator for their positive win probability rate.
Visit our football betting tips page for more free predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: A long way to go for Auxerre
Auxerre are winless in six straight H2Hs across Ligue 1 and Ligue 2, with their previous win over Toulouse coming in the second division back in February 2021. The visitors are undefeated at Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps in their last three trips.
France Ligue 1 09/02/25
Auxerre
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 01/12/24
Toulouse
Auxerre
France Ligue 1 27/05/23
Toulouse
Auxerre
France Ligue 1 11/01/23
Auxerre
Toulouse
France Ligue 2 19/03/22
Auxerre
Toulouse
Auxerre preview: A whole list of absentees
Josue Casimir was sent off against Monaco, while Clement Akpa, El Azzouzi, Kevin Danois, Francisco Sierralta and Ryan Mandengue are all sidelined with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Leon (GK), Sy, Senaya, Siwe, Mensah, Sinayoko, Owusu, Danois, Osman, Mara & Coulibaly
Last five matches:
- Auxerre 1-2 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- Nantes 1-0 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
- Nice 3-1 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
- Auxerre 1-0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
- Auxerre 0-2 Levante (Club Friendly)
Toulouse preview: Can they get back to winning ways?
Carles Martinez Novell is without a clean bill of health as well, with Ilyas Azizi, Rafik Messali and Niklas Schmidt struggling with fitness issues. Alexis Vossah, meanwhile, is serving a one-match suspension after his red card against Lille.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), McKenzie, Cresswell, Nicolaisen, Donnum, Casseres, Sauer, Methalie, Hidalgo, Magri & Gboho
Last five matches:
- Lille 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 3-6 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-0 Brest (Ligue 1)
- Nice 0-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 1-1 Sevilla (Club Friendly)
Player to watch: Frank Magri
Magri has been a gamechanger for Toulouse this term so far, netting three goals for Le Tefece already in four games. He netted a match-winning brace against Brest, before finding the back of the net against Lille – earning the joint-top scorer title already.
Remarkably, all of his strikes have arrived in the span of 20 minutes after half-time.