It’s all square heading into the second leg of Sunday’s Nations League play-off tie in Belgrade. Our Serbia vs Austria prediction considers whether the hosts can make home advantage count.
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Serbia vs Austria prediction: Bore draw in Belgrade
Key stats
- Our Serbia vs Austria betting tips take into account that nine of the last 10 internationals involving the hosts have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Austria have only won one of their last four away games.
- They’ve drawn three of their seven fixtures in the 2024/25 season.
Correct score prediction: Serbia 0-0 Austria
Austria caused more problems in the first leg, but they couldn’t secure a lead to take to Belgrade, and everything points to this being another really close affair.
The visitors were much the more impressive side at Euro 2024 last summer, and they’ve only lost once since that tournament, but Serbia didn’t concede a home goal in the group phase of this competition.
Two of their home fixtures ended 0-0 in the autumn and a repeat is certainly possible here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Austria the slight favourites
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the slight favourites according to the Serbia vs Austria odds, with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.
They took the lead through Michael Gregoritsch in the first leg in Vienna on Thursday.
However, Serbia struck back after the break through Lazar Samardzic as the game finished 1-1.
For more from the upcoming internationals, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage normally counts
Our Serbia vs Austria prediction suggests this could go the way of the first leg, and finish up all square.
All of the four previous meetings had ended in victories for the team playing at home though, with Austria losing World Cup qualifiers in Serbia in 2009 and 2016.
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
Austria
Serbia
International Match 04/06/24
Austria
Serbia
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 06/10/17
Austria
Serbia
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 09/10/16
Serbia
Austria
Serbia preview: More options for Stojkovic
Nikola Milenkovic, Aleksa Terzic, Strahinja Pavlovic and Andrija Zivkovic are all available again following bans, so the home team should make a number of changes.
Predicted Lineup: Rajkovic (GK), Gudelj, Milenkovic, Pavlovic, Zivkovic, Maksimovic, Lukic, Terzic, Samardzic, Jovic & Vlahovic
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W Austria 0 Serbia 2 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D Austria 1 Serbia 1 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
D Denmark 0 Serbia 0 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
D Switzerland 1 Serbia 1 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
L Spain 3 Serbia 0
Austria preview: Sabitzer sidelined
Key midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is out of the squad due to an injury. Austria can at least call upon Konrad Laimer’s services again following suspension.
Predicted Lineup: Schlager (GK), Wimmer, Alaba, Lienhart, Mwene, Seiwald, Laimer, Schmid, Gregoritsch, Baumgartner & Arnautovic
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L Serbia 2 Austria 0 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D Serbia 1 Austria 1 UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24
D Slovenia 1 Austria 1 UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24
W Kazakhstan 0 Austria 2 UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24
W Norway 1 Austria 5 
Player to watch – Dusan Vlahovic
Serbia will be looking to their star striker Dusan Vlahovic to pinch a goal that could settle this tie. He’s having a decent season with Juventus, scoring nine times in 22 Serie A appearances.
Vlahovic bidding to end international goal drought
The 25-year-old made a flying start to his international career and his return of 13 goals from 33 caps is not terrible. However, he hasn’t scored for his country in nearly two years since a brace against Montenegro in March 2023.