Augsburg vs St Pauli prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/09/2024

Augsburg vs St. Pauli prediction
St. Pauli could lose for the third time in a row when they visit Augsburg. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Augsburg to win

St. Pauli lost each of their first two Bundesliga matches of the new campaign.

Augsburg welcome struggling St Pauli to the WWK Arena in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 15 September. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.

Augsburg vs St Pauli prediction: St Pauli could struggle again

Key Stats

  • St. Pauli lost each of their first two Bundesliga matches of the new season.
  • St. Pauli failed to score in each of their first two assignments of the new Bundesliga campaign.
  • Over 3.5 cards were brandished in each of St. Pauli’s first two matches of the season.
  • Samuel Essende has scored twice in three appearances in league and cup since signing for Augsburg in the summer.

Correct score prediction: Augsburg 2-0 St Pauli

St. Pauli have made a sluggish start to life back in the Bundesliga and beaten to nil in their first two fixtures of the campaign, they could suffer the same fate against Augsburg on Sunday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Augsburg listed as favourites

  • HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Augsburg entered the international break on the back of a humbling 4-0 loss at in-form Heidenheim, though they should be a more formidable prospect back on home soil and the 11/10 favourites could have too much quality for St. Pauli.

St. Pauli have been dogged in their Bundesliga endeavours so far, however, they are pointless and goalless after two games and have just a 29.4% chance of posting a first win of the season on Saturday according to the latest probability figures. Read more of our latest football tips and German Bundesliga analysis via the link.

Most recent H2Hs: Teams haven’t met since 2010

Augsburg and St. Pauli haven’t crossed paths since 2010. The teams were regular opponents in the German second tier back then, but haven’t played each other in 14 years.

Augsburg preview: Dahmen and Gumny out

Reece Oxford, Finn Dahmen and Robert Gumny are all out of action for Augsburg at present. Augsburg boss Jess Thorup might be tempted to ring the changes following his team's 4-0 loss at Heidenheim before the international break.

Predicted lineup: Labrovic (GK), Pedersen, Gouweleeuw, Schlotterbeck, Giannoulis, Breithaupt, Rexhbecaj, Jensen, Maier, Tietz, Essende

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

L

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

4

Augsburg

Augsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 20/09/24

L

Mainz

Mainz

3

Augsburg

Augsburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 15/09/24

W

St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Augsburg

Augsburg

3

Europe Friendlies 05/09/24

W

SSV Ulm 1846

SSV Ulm 1846

1

Augsburg

Augsburg

4

Germany Bundesliga I 01/09/24

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

4

Augsburg

Augsburg

0

St Pauli preview: Five players absent through injury

Connor Metcalfe, Eric Smith, Simon Zoller, Sascha Burchert and Soren Ahlers are sidelined through injury though Andreas Albers should shake off illness in time to feature. St. Pauli are one of just two teams in the Bundesliga yet to score a goal this season.

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Mets, Irvine, Treu, Wagner, Metcalfe, Ritzka, Egggestein, Guilavogui

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

W

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

St Pauli

St Pauli

3

Germany Bundesliga I 22/09/24

D

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 15/09/24

L

Augsburg

Augsburg

3

St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/08/24

L

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 25/08/24

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

2

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Player to watch – Samuel Essende

Augsburg lost talismanic striker Ermedin Demirovic to Stuttgart in the summer, though Samuel Essende was signed from Vizela to fill the void and the Congolese attacker has made a bright start to his career in Germany.

Augsburg vs St Pauli prediction
Samuel Essende has made a promising start to his career with Augsburg. (Photo by Imago)

Essende already up and running

Essende scored six times in 13 appearances last season for previous club Vizela (Portugal) and the 26-year-old has already showcased his sharp finishing skills in Germany, netting in back-to-back fixtures in league and up for is new employers. Essende could be a good anytime scorer candidate again on Sunday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.