Mainz vs Augsburg prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/02/2024

Mainz
17/02/24 - 14:30

Finished

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Augsburg

Mainz - Augsburg

Germany Bundesliga I - Mewa Arena

Mainz vs Augsburg prediction
Augsburg got the better of Mainz earlier in the campaign – Photo by Icon sport

Mainz and Augsburg face off at the MEWA ARENA in the Bundesliga on Saturday in a clash between two sides in the bottom half of the table. Read our expert Mainz vs Augsburg prediction below.

Mainz vs Augsburg predictions: Two teams in patchy form clash

Mainz vs Augsburg predictions
Our pick

⚽ Double Chance prediction

Augsburg

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Mainz 1-1 Augsburg

⚽ Total Goals prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mainz are one of the Bundesliga’s prime relegation candidates and they have lost three of their last four assignments while mid-table Augsburg have avoided defeat in three of their last four league matches.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz a tighter price to succeed

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Mainz have been one of the teams tipped for relegation from the Bundesliga this season and their haul of just one victory on home soil has contributed to their demise. Augsburg beat Mainz 2-1 in September and they could push their current unbeaten run to three games at their host’s expense.

Last five H2Hs: Mixed recent results between the sides

Germany Bundesliga I 23/09/23

Augsburg

Augsburg

2
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/02/23

Mainz

Mainz

3
Augsburg

Augsburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 20/08/22

Augsburg

Augsburg

1
Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 06/04/22

Augsburg

Augsburg

2
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 22/10/21

Mainz

Mainz

4
Augsburg

Augsburg

1

Mainz have won three of their last five meetings with Augsburg, though Die Fuggerstädter edged out Mainz in the clubs’ most recent encounter in September. Augsburg have also won on two of their last four visits to the MEWA Arena.

Team news and form guide

Mainz: Hosts have poor home record to overcome

Mainz, who have gone 11 games without a win in the league, will be without Phillipp Mwene, Karim Onisiwo, Stefan Bell and Nelson Weiper on Saturday. Silvan Widmer has the flu and is doubtful.

Predicted lineup: Zentner – Hanche-Olsen, Guilavogui, van den Berg – Papela, Amiri, Kohr, Caci – Burkardt, Ngankam, Ajorque

Germany Bundesliga I 17/02/24

W

Augsburg

Augsburg

0

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/02/24

L

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

3

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 07/02/24

D

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 03/02/24

L

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

1

Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 26/01/24

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

Mainz

Mainz

0

Augsburg: Two defeats in seven on the road for Augsburg

Dion Beljo and Reece Oxford are missing through injury and illness for Augsburg. The visitors drew each of their last two Bundesliga assignments.

Predicted lineup: Dahmen – Mbabu, Gouweleeuw, Uduokhai, Iago – Jensen, Jakic, Rexhbecaj, Vargas – Tietz, Demirovic

Germany Bundesliga I 17/02/24

L

Mainz

Mainz

1

Augsburg

Augsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 10/02/24

D

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2

Augsburg

Augsburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/02/24

D

Bochum

Bochum

1

Augsburg

Augsburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 27/01/24

L

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Augsburg

Augsburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 21/01/24

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

1

Augsburg

Augsburg

2

Our free expert picks: Augsburg to avoid defeat in 1-1 draw

Don’t forget to take a look at our other free betting tips and predictions when you’re finished with our Mainz vs Augsburg prediction below.

Mainz have been made favourites to harness home advantage this weekend, though Augsburg look like an option with potential in the first team to score market at 8/11 (1.73). That option comes equipped with a 57.9% chance of coming in according to the latest figures.

Hot tip – Augsburg Double Chance

  • Mainz have failed to win nine of their first ten Bundesliga home fixtures.
  • Augsburg have lost only one of their last four matches in the league.

Other tips

Mainz 1-1 Augsburg

  • Mainz conceded one goal in each of their last five home games in the Bundesliga.
  • Three of Augsburg’s last six away matches finished 1-1.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 goals landed in 100% of Mainz’s last six home games.
  • Augsburg have been averaging just 1.10 goals per away fixture this term.
Mainz vs Augsburg prediction
Augsburg's Ermedin Demirovic scored twice against Mainz earlier in the campaign – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Ermedin Demirovic

Ermedin Demirovic is the only Augsburg player sitting in double-figure goals in the Bundesliga this season and the 25-year-old hit his 12th goal of the campaign when he notched against Leipzig last week.

Lethal Demirovic to strike?

Bosnia-Herzegovina forward Demirovic scored both of Augsburg’s goals in their 2-1 win over Mainz in September and he could be a decent anytime goalscorer option again in the rematch.


Avatar of Simon Winter
Simon Winter

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.