Atletico Madrid are back at the Civitas Metropolitano on Sunday. Our Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s team will have the edge.
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Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction: Los Che to sink to another defeat
Key stats
- Our Atletico Madrid vs Valencia betting tips take into account that Simeone’s men have won 23 of their 29 home matches in all competitions since the start of last term.
- Los Che are rock bottom of La Liga with just one point from four matches so far this season.
- Since conceding twice in the first half of the opening day, Atleti have scored five league goals without conceding.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Valencia
The summer addition of Robin Le Normand looks to have helped solidify this Atletico Madrid defence. They have more options at both ends of the pitch now, and with Valencia in such poor form overall and struggling for goals, this should end in a solid home win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the red hot favourites
- HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the clear favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia odds with an implied probability of 73.3% that they win this match.
They come into this after snatching a dramatic late 1-0 win in Bilbao thanks to a goal from Angel Correa.
Valencia picked up their first point of the campaign in their last outing, drawing 1-1 against the 10 men of Villarreal with Hugo Duro on target.
Today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks from the upcoming action around the world.
Most recent H2Hs: Four wins out of five for Simeone’s men
Our Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction points to a home win and Atleti have won the last four meetings in Madrid, with three of those victories coming by at least a two goal margin. They were surprisingly beaten 3-0 at Mestalla last term though.
Spain La Liga 28/01/24
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Spain La Liga 16/09/23
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 18/03/23
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Spain La Liga 29/08/22
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 22/01/22
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid preview: Lemar the only doubt
The hosts are in good shape on the selection front, with Thomas Lemar the only doubt, assuming no players return back from international duty with fresh issues.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Witsel, Gimenez, Le Normand, Lino, Gallagher, Koke, Barrios, Llorente, Sorloth & Griezmann
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 W Athletic Bilbao 0 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain Primera Liga 28/08/24 D Espanyol 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain Primera Liga 25/08/24 W Girona 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain Primera Liga 19/08/24 D Villarreal 2 Atletico Madrid 2 Elite Club Friendlies 11/08/24 W Juventus 0 Atletico Madrid 2
Valencia preview: Key players missing
The visitors are missing captain Jose Gaya and main goal threat Hugo Duro to injuries. Dani Gomez and Fran Perez are expected to be fit though.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Vazquez, Tarrega, Mosquera, Correia, Pepelu, Guillamon, Almeida, Rioja, Dani Gomez & Diego Lopez
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 D Villarreal 1 Valencia 1 Spain Primera Liga 28/08/24 L Athletic Bilbao 1 Valencia 0 Spain Primera Liga 23/08/24 L Celta Vigo 3 Valencia 1 Spain Primera Liga 17/08/24 L Barcelona 2 Valencia 1 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 W Eintracht Frankfurt 2 Valencia 3 
Player to watch – Marcos Llorente
One of the standout performers so far this season for Atletico Madrid has been Marcos Llorente. The Spaniard has scored two and assisted one from the right flank.
Can Llorente sustain his goal threat?
Often a victim of his own versatility, Llorente has struggled to repeat the stunning form he showed in the 2020/21 La Liga season when he reached double figures for goals and assists. He’d score just once in the following two campaigns, but seems to have rediscovered his eye for a goal of late, despite operating as a wing-back.
