Sparks will fly as Atletico Madrid and Sevilla draw swords in the 11th round of La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday, 1 November 2025.
View our free Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla predictions below.
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Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla predictions: A card fest
Key stats
- At least five cards were awarded in six of Sevilla's last eight matches.
- Four of Atletico Madrid's last five games went below the 2.5-goal line.
- Atletico Madrid have a near-perfect home record in La Liga this season (W4, D1).
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla
Atletico Madrid won four of their last five meetings with Sevilla by one-goal margins, three of which ended 1-0.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
After losing back-to-back league games, Sevilla returned to winning ways with a 4-1 victory over Toledo in the Copa del Rey a few days ago.
Matias Almeyda’s men have been one of the best travellers in La Liga this season, earning nine points from a possible 15 on the road. They are 11th in the Spanish top flight ahead of their clash with fourth-placed Atletico, who have a 5-4-1 win-draw-loss record.
With that in mind, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 7/20 (1.35). Teams with these odds usually have a 74.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla predictions.
We have established that four of Atletico Madrid's last five games went below the 2.5-goal threshold. On that note, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 13/10 (2.30). That one has a 43.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Atletico?
Atletico Madrid came out on top the last two times these teams squared off against each other. They also won four of their last five meetings with Sevilla and have lost only once in their last nine clashes (W6, D2).
Spain La Liga 06/04/25
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 08/12/24
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 11/02/24
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Spain Copa del Rey 25/01/24
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 23/12/23
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid preview: A clean bill of health
Diego Simeone’s troops registered their first win on the road this season across all competitions, as they defeated Real Betis 2-0 last Monday to bring themselves within three points of second-placed Barcelona.
At the time of writing, Los Colchoneros have a healthy group of players, with no injuries in the squad. This should give Atleti a huge boost as they look to string together a fifth straight league win at home this coming Saturday.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Hancko, Gimenez, Le Normand, Llorente, Gonzalez, Koke, Barrios, Simeone, Griezmann & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Real Betis 0-2 Atletico Madrid
- Arsenal 4-0 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
- Atletico Madrid 1-1 Inter Milan (4-2 AP)
- Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Sevilla preview: A fair few absentees
As for Sevilla, Cesar Azpilicueta and Batista Mendy are both out this weekend with groin injuries. Former Barcelona star Alexis Sanchez is unavailable due to a new hamstring injury, while Lucien Agoume is suspended having accumulated yellow cards.
Moreover, Joan Jordan and Tanguy Nianzou have returned to training after some time on the sidelines, but their availability for this encounter remains questionable.
Predicted lineup: Vlachodimos (GK), Suazo, Marcao, Cardoso, Carmona, Gudelj, Sow, Vargas, Gonzalez, J. Sanchez & Romero.
Last five matches
- Toledo 1-4 Sevilla
- Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
- Sevilla 1-3 Mallorca
- Sevilla 4-1 Barcelona
- Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Sevilla
Player to watch: Julian Alvarez
Julian Alvarez set up the second goal in Atletico Madrid's 2-0 victory at Real Betis, bringing his tally of goal contributions in La Liga to eight in just 10 appearances. The Argentine forward will be called upon to provide goals this weekend.