Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction, odds & betting tips 07/03/2026
Atletico Madrid have scored four goals in three consecutive home games. - Photo by IMAGO/Guillermo Martinez
🔥 Our Hot tip

HT Atletico Madrid to win

Atletico Madrid had the lead at the half-time break in four of the last five H2Hs.

Real Sociedad will look to extend their unbeaten run when they take on Atletico Madrid in the 27th round of La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday, 7 March 2026.

View our free Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions below.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions: Hosts to claim all the spoils

Key stats

  • Atletico Madrid have won 11 of their 13 home games in La Liga this season.
  • Real Sociedad have no wins in nine consecutive clashes between these sides.
  • Three or more goals were scored in six of Atletico Madrid's last seven matches.

Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Real Sociedad

Not only have Atletico Madrid won their last three home games, but they also scored at least four goals in each victory. Diego Simeone's troops are up against a Real Sociedad side that have managed only three wins in 13 away matches.

Moreover, Atleti are unbeaten in their last nine meetings with Real Sociedad and have not lost a home game against the Basque side since March 2013.

On that note, we are confident that the hosts will emerge victorious after 90 minutes.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid clearly favoured

  • HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Sociedad defeated local rivals Athletic Bilbao earlier this week, securing a place in the Copa del Rey final, where they will meet this weekend's opponents, Atletico Madrid.

Pellegrino Matarazzo's side have been tough to beat, losing only once in their last 15 games across all competitions.

Similarly, Atletico Madrid advanced to the Copa del Rey final, despite their 3-0 defeat against Barcelona a few days ago. They will turn their attention to La Liga, where they have been the second-best home team, having won 11 of their 13 league games at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

At the time of publishing, Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad are third and eighth in the Spanish top flight, respectively.

Bearing that in mind, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 3/5 (1.60). Teams with these odds usually have a 62.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions.

Also, considering that six of Atletico Madrid's last seven matches went above the 2.5-goal threshold, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Atletico Madrid?

Real Sociedad are without a win in their last nine encounters with Atletico Madrid and have not beaten their hosts since January 2022. They have also lost their last three trips to this stadium and have not won there in 13 years.

Spain La Liga 04/01/26

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 06/10/24

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 25/05/24

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 08/10/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

Atletico Madrid preview: Simeone sidelined

Giuliano Simeone was injured in Atletico Madrid's 3-0 defeat against Barcelona on Tuesday and is unavailable for this fixture.

Jan Oblak is expected to be back in goal for this game at the expense of Juan Musso, who was between the sticks for the team on Tuesday. Alexander Sorloth, Antoine Griezmann, and Ademola Lookman are also expected to start.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Molina, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri, Almada, Llorente, Koke, Lookman, Griezmann & Alvarez

Last five matches

  • 03/03/26: Barcelona 3-0 Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
  • 28/02/26: Real Oviedo 0-1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
  • 24/02/26: Atletico Madrid 4-1 Club Brugge (UEFA Champions League)
  • 21/02/26: Atletico Madrid 4-2 Espanyol (La Liga)
  • 18/02/26: Club Brugge 3-3 Atletico Madrid (UEFA Champions League)

Real Sociedad preview: Eyeing their third consecutive victory

Real Sociedad will have to do without former Real Madrid players Takefusa Kubo (hamstring) and Alvaro Odriozola (ACL), with the latter effectively ruled out for the remainder of the campaign, while Orri Stein Oskarsson's status is questionable.

Predicted lineup: Remiro (GK), Aramburu, Caleta-Car, Herrera, Gomez, Gorrotxategi, Turrientes, Guedes, Soler, Mendez & Oyarzabal

Last five matches

  • 04/03/26: Real Sociedad 1-0 Athletic Bilbao (Copa del Rey)
  • 28/02/26: Mallorca 0-1 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
  • 21/02/26: Real Sociedad 3-3 Real Oviedo (La Liga)
  • 14/02/26: Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
  • 11/02/26: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Real Sociedad (Copa del Rey)

Player to watch: Mikel Oyarzabal

Mikel Oyarzabal player to watch (Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
Mikel Oyarzabal is Real Sociedad's top scorer across all competitions this season. – Photo by IMAGO/Pressinphoto

Mikel Oyarzabal scored the only goal in Real Sociedad's victory over Athletic Bilbao earlier this week. The 28-year-old, who has 13 goal contributions in 23 league assignments, will be called upon to provide goals on Saturday evening.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed