Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid – prediction, preview & betting tips – 20/09/2026
Atletico Madrid are unbeaten at home this season. - Photo by IMAGO/Guillermo Martinez
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 1.5 Atletico Madrid goals

Atletico Madrid have scored at least twice in each of their home games this season.

Sparks will fly as two fierce rivals clash in a high-stakes Madrid derby at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Sunday.

Real Madrid aim to extend their winning streak as they chase down leaders Barcelona.

Atletico, meanwhile, will look to preserve an impressive unbeaten home run against their cross-town rivals.

Read our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction, preview and betting tips below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid key stats

  • Both teams were on the scoresheet in 13 of the last 14 Madrid derbies.
  • Four of Real Madrid's last five La Liga fixtures went above the 3.5-goal line.
  • There were at least 11 corners in five of Real Madrid's last six outings.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid preview: Can Los Blancos end their Metropolitano curse?

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid — Tale of the Tape

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
4thPosition2nd
13Points15
14Goals For17
6Goals Against6
3Clean Sheets1
5thHome / Away Rank4th

*These figures were accurate at the time of publishing.

Atletico Madrid followed last weekend's 3-0 win at Real Sociedad with a comfortable 4-0 victory over Osasuna on Wednesday.

Diego Simeone's troops have won four of their six league matches so far and are fourth in the Spanish top flight, having earned 13 points with 14 total goals scored.

Los Colchoneros will certainly overtake their biggest rivals if they win this game, but securing a top-two spot before the international break will also depend on the outcome of Real Betis' trip to Deportivo La Coruna.

It is important to note that Atleti are unbeaten at home this season (W2, D1). They also have a solid track record against Real Madrid at this stadium, having remained undefeated in Los Blancos' last five visits across all competitions.

Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth have both recovered from their respective injuries and will be available for selection, so Pablo Barrios (muscular injury) is the only player ruled out for the hosts.

On the other hand, Real Madrid survived a late scare against Elche on Tuesday after nearly letting a comfortable win slip away. Los Blancos blew a two-goal lead in the closing stages, but Carlos Espi came to the rescue with a stoppage-time winner.

With those hard-fought three points in the bag, Mourinho's troops managed to stay in close pursuit of league leaders Barcelona. They have now won nine of their last 10 matches across all competitions, with their only defeat during that stretch coming at Real Betis two weeks ago.

Real Madrid have no new injury concerns, but Brazilians Rodrygo Goes and Eder Militao will continue their special recovery sessions with the club's physios following their long-term injury rehabilitation; both stars are expected to be back in the squad in October.

Kylian Mbappe is expected to lead the line once again as Los Blancos look to halt their winless streak at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The French forward has eight goal contributions across all competitions (8 goals, 2 assists) and is currently on a three-game scoring run.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid form guide & betting tips

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid — Last 5 Form Guide
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
D W L W W
La Liga Form
W W L W W
10Points12
4thForm Table2nd
12Goals For15
6Goals Against5
W L L W W
Form (All Comps)
W L W W W

Whispers Predicts: Atletico Madrid 3-2 Real Madrid

Priced at 21/20 (2.05), Real Madrid are considered favourites by the bookmakers ahead of this clash.

Los Blancos have looked vulnerable away from the Bernabeu. Out of three away games so far, they lost one and needed late interventions from Carlos Espi to salvage all three points in the remaining two.

Moreover, Real Madrid hav lost four of their last five trips to this stadium, so we believe that Atleti will emerge victorious in a high-scoring clash.

At least four goals were scored in four of Real Madrid's last five league matches, and this can be backed at 11/10 (2.10).

We also fancy over 1.5 Atletico Madrid goals at 5/4 (2.25). The hosts have scored multiple goals in each of their home games this season.

📈 Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid — Whispers' Tips

> Over 3.5 total goals at 11/10 (2.10) | Likelihood: Probable

> BTTS – Yes at 9/20 (1.45) | Likelihood: Probable

> Match result: Atletico Madrid at 5/2 (3.50) | Likelihood: Possible

> Atletico Madrid & BTTS – Yes at 41/10 (5.10) | Likelihood: Possible

> Correct Score: 3-2 at 25/1 (26.00) | Likelihood: Outsider

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed