Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds & betting tips – 31/01/2024

Atletico Madrid
31/01/24 - 20:00

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Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Primera Liga - Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano clash in a derby in the Spanish capital in La Liga on Wednesday. Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction considers whether the hosts can keep their strong home form going.

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Atletico Madrid to Win to Nil

  • Atleti have the best home record in La Liga with an average of 2.82 points per game in front of their own fans.
  • Rayo have failed to score in 6 of their last 7 league matches.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips suggest the visitors will misfire again with star striker Raul De Tomas yet to score in La Liga 2023/24 while fellow forward Sergio Camello only has 2 goals.

Latest odds

Head to Head

28/08/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

7

09/04/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

2

18/10/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

1

19/03/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

1

02/01/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

0

Last Five - Atletico Madrid

03/03/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Betis

Real Betis

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

2

W

29/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

0

L

24/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

2

D

20/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

17/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

5

W

Last Five - Rayo Vallecano

02/03/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Cadiz

Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

1

D

26/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Girona

Girona

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

3

0

L

18/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

1

D

11/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Mallorca

Mallorca

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

1

L

05/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

1

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 12/25 (1.48) – 67.6%
  • DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

The Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano odds point towards a home win in this derby clash, although a repeat of Atleti’s stunning 7-0 win in the reverse fixture looks unlikely.

You can back Atletico/Atletico Half-Time/Full-Time at 5/4 (2.25), an implied probability of 44.4%. Meanwhile Antoine Griezmann is priced at 9/2 (5.50) to score first, a probability of 18.2%.

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction – Other tips

Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction considers Rayo’s inability to score goals with their season tally of 18, the second worst record in the division.
  • Atleti still have ground to make up on title favurites Real Madrid and surprise contenders Girona, but their home form has been near flawless with 15 wins out of 16 at the Civitas Metropolitano this term (includes an Extra Time Copa del Rey victory over Los Blancos).

Under 2.5 Goals

  • There have been just 6 goals in Rayo Vallecano’s last 6 league matches.
  • Atleti have been a bit tighter defensively in recent games, winning 1-0 or 2-0 in 3 of their last 4 league outings.

atletico madrid vs rayo vallecano prediction

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano team news

Atletico Madrid

The Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano lineups are likely to see a bit of rotation, particularly from the hosts who are in the midst of a really busy month of league and cup action. Cesar Azpilicueta and Thomas Lemar are out while Jose Maria Gimenez and Alvaro Morata are doubts.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Witsel, Savic, Riquelme, Koke, De Paul, Saul, Llorente, Griezmann, Depay

Rayo Vallecano

Unai Lopez is suspended for Rayo Vallecano. Diego Mendez is carrying an injury. Bebe and Pathe Ciss are in AFCON Round of 16 action on Monday and are unlikely to feature in this game even if their respective teams are knocked out.

Predicted Lineup: Dimitrievski (GK), Espino, Lejeune, Aridane, Ratiu, Kike Perez, Valentin, Alvaro Garcia, Trejo, Isi Palazon, Camello

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid
3-5-2
13
Jan Oblak
si
20
Axel Witsel
be
22
Mario Hermoso
es
23
Reinildo Mandava
mz
14
Marcos Llorente
es
24
Pablo Barrios Rivas
es
18
Arthur Vermeeren
be
8
Saul Niguez
es
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
es
9
Memphis Depay
nl
10
Angel Correa
ar
Substitutes
16
Nahuel Molina
ar
7
Antoine Griezmann
fr
15
Stefan Savic
me
5
Rodrigo De Paul
ar
12
Lino
pt
31
Antonio Gomis Aleman
es
1
Horatiu Moldovan
ro
30
Salim El Jebari El Hannouni
es
6
Koke
es
4
Gabriel Paulista
br

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano
4-4-2
1
Stole Dimitrievski
mk
2
Andrei Ratiu
ro
5
Aridane
es
24
Florian Lejeune
fr
12
Alfonso Espino
uy
7
Isi Palazon
es
14
Kike Perez
es
23
u00d3scar Valentu00edn
es
3
Pep Chavarria
es
34
Sergio Camello
es
18
Alvaro Garcia
es
Substitutes
22
Raul De Tomas
es
9
Falcao
co
16
Abdul Mumin
gh
20
Ivan Balliu
al
13
Dani Cardenas
es
6
Jose Pozo
es
19
Jorge De Frutos Sebastian
es
4
Martin Pascual
es
8
Oscar Trejo
ar
15
Miguel Crespo
pt

Player to watch – Antoine Griezmann

Antoine Griezmann remains very much the talisman for this Atleti side and he’s a player that Diego Simeone seems very reluctant to rest despite the hectic schedule.

The Frenchman has 18 goals for Atleti in all competitions this term, spread across 4 different competitions.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.