Three points will be up for grabs when Atletico Madrid host Mallorca in the 21st round of La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Sunday, 25 January 2026.
View our free Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca predictions below.
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Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca predictions: Low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Fewer than three goals were scored in five consecutive encounters between these sides.
- Four of Atletico Madrid's last five matches went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Atletico Madrid have a near-perfect home record in La Liga this season.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca
Mallorca have been one of La Liga's worst travellers this season with a 1-2-7 win-draw-loss record away from home. They are up against an Atletico Madrid side that earned 28 points from a possible 30 at home.
Interestingly, Atletico Madrid won five of the last six meetings between these teams, keeping four clean sheets in the process. On that note, we are confident that the hosts will win without conceding.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico clearly favoured
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atletico Madrid played out a 1-1 draw with Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League earlier this week. They will now turn their attention to La Liga, where they trail leaders Barcelona by eight points.
On the other hand, Mallorca’s winless streak ended with a 3-2 win against Athletic Bilbao last weekend. They are still without a win in their last four away league matches.
Ahead of this clash, Atletico Madrid and Mallorca are fourth and 15th in La Liga, respectively.
Considering their near-perfect home record, it is no surprise that Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.30). Teams with these odds usually have a 76.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that the last five skirmishes between these outfits went below the 2.5-goal mark, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 6/5 (2.20). That one has a 45.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Atletico?
Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last six meetings with Mallorca, winning five of those clashes while keeping four clean sheets.
Spain La Liga 21/09/25
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 01/02/25
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 10/11/24
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 04/05/24
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 25/11/23
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid preview: Clean bill of health
Diego Simeone will be pleased to have no new injuries ahead of this clash. This means that only Clement Lenglet, who has not featured at all this year for Atleti, is currently sidelined.
Giuliano Simeone and Alejandro Baena should start as wingers for Atleti on Sunday afternoon, while Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez spearhead the attack in a 4-4-2 formation.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri, Simeone, Barrios, Cardoso, Baena, Sorloth & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Galatasaray 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid
Mallorca preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins
Going into this game, Mallorca have fitness issues with Manu Morlanes, Toni Lato, and Marash Kumbulla.
Head coach Jagoba Arrasate will be pleased to have Pablo Maffeo back for this game after the defender was suspended last weekend for accumulated yellow cards.
Jan Virgili and Vedat Muriqi are set to line up in the final third for Mallorca, with both players determined to cause problems for their hosts.
Predicted lineup: Roman (GK), Lato, Raillo, Valjent, Maffeo, Darder, Mascarell, Costa, Sanchez, Virgili & Muriqi.
Last five matches
- Mallorca 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
- Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
- Mallorca 1-2 Girona
- Valencia 1-1 Mallorca
- Deportivo 1-0 Mallorca
Player to watch: Vedat Muriqi
Mallorca have scored 24 goals in La Liga this season, and 14 of them came from Vedat Muriqi. The former Lazio forward put in a man-of-the-match performance last weekend, scoring a hat-trick in their 3-2 win against Athletic Bilbao. He is currently on a three-game scoring run and will look to extend that streak on Sunday afternoon.