Atletico Madrid are targeting another win in their title pursuit at the Estadio Metropolitano this weekend. Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s side will take care of business.
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Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: Alvarez to strike in comfortable home win
Key stats
- Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo betting tips take into account that Los Rojiblancos have won 19 of their last 22 games in all competitions.
- 73% of Celta’s away league games this term have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- The Galicians have lost 73% of their away fixtures in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo are conceding too many goals, and don’t tend to travel well, so this is certainly a game that Atletico Madrid should be winning.
The hosts are fresh from a rare midweek rest, and with a full squad expected to be available, they should be too strong for Claudio Giraldez’s team.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the red hot favourites
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo odds, with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 1-1 draw in the Madrid derby at the Bernabeu last weekend, with Julian Alvarez scoring a penalty for the visitors.
As for Celta, they staged a brilliant second-half comeback to defeat Betis 3-2 last Saturday, with Fran Beltran, Javi Rodriguez and Williot Swedberg scoring.
For more from the upcoming games, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Atleti the dominant force
Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction suggests Los Rojiblancos can extend a seven-game winning streak against this opposition.
They’ve won all of the last four meetings to nil. Celta last avoided defeat with a 2-2 draw at this stadium in 2021.
Spain La Liga 26/09/24
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 12/05/24
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga 21/10/23
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 12/02/23
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 10/09/22
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid preview: Full squad available for Simeone
The home team have no notable selection issues here, with Cesar Azpilicueta expected to be fit again.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Lenglet, Gimenez, Llorente, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Griezmann & Alvarez
Spain La Liga 14/04/25 W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 W Sevilla 1 Atletico Madrid 2 Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 D Espanyol 1 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 L Barcelona 4 Atletico Madrid 2
Celta Vigo preview: Two missing for the visitors
The away team will have to cope without the injured Franco Cervi and Hugo Alvarez. Iago Aspas is pushing for a start, following his return to fitness.
Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), M. Alonso, Starfelt, J. Rodriguez, Mingueza, Beltran, Ilaix, Carreira, Duran, Alfon & Losada
Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Espanyol 2 Celta Vigo 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 W Mallorca 1 Celta Vigo 2 Spain La Liga 31/03/25 D Las Palmas 1 Celta Vigo 1 Spain La Liga 15/03/25 W Valladolid 0 Celta Vigo 1 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 W Leganes 1 Celta Vigo 2 
Player to watch – Julian Alvarez
A panenka penalty in the derby was evidence of how confident Alvarez is feeling. He’s now on 17 goals for the season in all competitions for Atleti.
Alvarez striking late
The Argentina international has made some important late contributions for his club. 47% of his goals have come after the 60th minute, while he netted a 94th minute winner in the reverse fixture against Celta.