atletico madrid vs celta vigo predictions
Atleti won 1-0 in Vigo earlier this term - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Atletico Madrid & over 2.5 total goals

No side can better Atleti’s return of 30 points from 12 home matches so far this season in La Liga.

Atletico Madrid are targeting another win in their title pursuit at the Estadio Metropolitano this weekend. Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s side will take care of business.

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: Alvarez to strike in comfortable home win

Key stats

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo betting tips take into account that Los Rojiblancos have won 19 of their last 22 games in all competitions.
  • 73% of Celta’s away league games this term have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  • The Galicians have lost 73% of their away fixtures in La Liga.

Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo are conceding too many goals, and don’t tend to travel well, so this is certainly a game that Atletico Madrid should be winning.

The hosts are fresh from a rare midweek rest, and with a full squad expected to be available, they should be too strong for Claudio Giraldez’s team.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo odds, with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this match.

They head into the game following a 1-1 draw in the Madrid derby at the Bernabeu last weekend, with Julian Alvarez scoring a penalty for the visitors.

As for Celta, they staged a brilliant second-half comeback to defeat Betis 3-2 last Saturday, with Fran Beltran, Javi Rodriguez and Williot Swedberg scoring.

For more from the upcoming games, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Atleti the dominant force

Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction suggests Los Rojiblancos can extend a seven-game winning streak against this opposition.

They’ve won all of the last four meetings to nil. Celta last avoided defeat with a 2-2 draw at this stadium in 2021.

Spain La Liga 26/09/24

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 12/05/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain La Liga 21/10/23

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 12/02/23

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 10/09/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Atletico Madrid preview: Full squad available for Simeone

The home team have no notable selection issues here, with Cesar Azpilicueta expected to be fit again.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Lenglet, Gimenez, Llorente, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Griezmann & Alvarez

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 06/04/25

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 29/03/25

D

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 16/03/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Celta Vigo preview: Two missing for the visitors

The away team will have to cope without the injured Franco Cervi and Hugo Alvarez. Iago Aspas is pushing for a start, following his return to fitness.

Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), M. Alonso, Starfelt, J. Rodriguez, Mingueza, Beltran, Ilaix, Carreira, Duran, Alfon & Losada

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

L

Espanyol

Espanyol

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain La Liga 05/04/25

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain La Liga 31/03/25

D

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Spain La Liga 15/03/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

0

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Spain La Liga 08/03/25

W

Leganes

Leganes

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Player to watch – Julian Alvarez

A panenka penalty in the derby was evidence of how confident Alvarez is feeling. He’s now on 17 goals for the season in all competitions for Atleti.

atletico madrid vs celta vigo prediction
Alvarez in action in last weekend's Madrid derby – Photo by IMAGO.

Alvarez striking late

The Argentina international has made some important late contributions for his club. 47% of his goals have come after the 60th minute, while he netted a 94th minute winner in the reverse fixture against Celta.

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Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.