Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction, odds & betting tips – 12/05/2024

Atletico Madrid
12/05/24 - 15:15

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Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid - Celta Vigo

Spain Primera Liga - Civitas Metropolitano

atletico madrid vs celta vigo predictions
Atleti won 3-0 in Vigo earlier this term – Photo by Icon Sport

Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo clash at the Estadio Metropolitano this Sunday in La Liga. Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction considers whether the hosts can close in on Champions League qualification with three points.

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: Hosts to triumph in high scoring game

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Both teams to score

⚽ Correct score prediction

Atletico Madrid 3-2 Celta Vigo

⚡ Special Combo

Atletico Madrid to win & Over 2.5 goals

Key Stats

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo betting tips take into account that 82% of Atleti home games this season in La Liga have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Diego Simeone’s team average a very impressive 2.71 points per home game this term.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals in five of Celta’s six matches since they appointed Claudio Giraldez.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the clear favourites

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The home team are the big favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo odds with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this game to edge closer to clinching Champions League football for the 2024/25 season.

Atletico Madrid come into this one following a relatively rare road success in the form of a 1-0 win at Mallorca. Rodrigo Riquelme scored the only goal early in that game.

Celta came from behind to beat Villarreal 3-2 in their last match. Goals from Iago Aspas, Jorgen Strand Larsen and Anastasios Douvikas sealed the deal against their 10-man opponents and the Galicians are virtually safe as a result.

For more of the latest picks, today’s free betting tips will take you through the best bets from this weekend’s football action.

Last five H2Hs: Atleti dominant in recent times

Spain Primera Liga 21/10/23

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 12/02/23

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 10/09/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Spain Primera Liga 26/02/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain Primera Liga 15/08/21

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction of a home win is strongly backed up by recent history. The side from the capital has won all of the last five meetings, scoring 12 goals in the process.

Atletico Madrid Preview: Simeone to stick with new system

Atleti have made some slight tweaks to their system of late with a 3-4-2-1 system likely to be used again here. Antoine Griezmann returns from a ban and should start but Thomas Lemar and Nahuel Molina are both injured still.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Gimenez, Witsel, Riquelme, Barrios, Koke, Llorente, Correa, Lino, Griezmann

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Celta Vigo Preview: Aidoo the only absentee

The visitors also play a similar way with Jorgen Strand Larsen leading the line. They are likely to be only missing long-term injury absentee Joseph Aidoo.

Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), Jailson, Starfelt, Mingueza, Alvarez, Beltran, Rodriguez, Manquillo, Swedberg, Larsen, Aspas

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Valencia

Valencia

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

W

Villarreal

Villarreal

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Player to watch – Jorgen Strand Larsen

This is something of a golden age for Norwegian strikers with Erling Haaland dominant in the Premier League while Alexander Sorloth and Jorgen Strand Larsen are both in double figures in La Liga. The latter is Celta’s top scorer with 12 league goals this term.

atletico madrid vs celta vigo prediction
Jorgen Strand Larsen has had a much better second season in Spain – Photo by Icon Sport

Larsen’s aerial threat

Two of Jorgen Strand Larsen’s last four goals have been headers and that includes his strike against Villarreal just last weekend. He averages 2.1 aerial duels won per game in La Liga this term.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.