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Cadiz - Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga - Estadio Ramon de Carranza
Cadiz and Atletico Madrid meet in an important game for both sides at the Nuevo Mirandilla this Saturday. Our Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga weekend betting tips consider whether there’s any end in sight for the away day blues of Los Rojiblancos.
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Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Hosts to grind out draw
🔥Hot tip Cadiz-Draw Double Chance ⚽ Correct score prediction Cadiz 1-1 Atletico Madrid Under 2.5 Goals⬇️ Under 2.5 goals
Key Stats
- Our Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account the vast difference between the home and away results of Atleti this term with just 27% of their La Liga points coming away.
- Atleti average just 1.15 points per away game, with only nine teams having picked up less than their tally of 15 points on the road.
- 74% of Cadiz games in La Liga 2023/24 have served up under 2.5 goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites
- HOME: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the clear favourites according to the Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 57.1% that they win the game to boost their top four hopes.
Cadiz picked up a 1-1 draw in the midst of a fierce hailstorm in their last game away at Rayo Vallecano, scoring a Stoppage Time leveller for the second weekend in a row. Atleti meanwhile were 2-1 winners at home to Real Betis in their last game, but they continue to struggle to replicate their brilliant home form when they play away.
For more picks, today’s football tips guide you through the best bets from a range of other markets across Europe.
Last five H2Hs: Atleti the dominant force in recent meetings
Spain La Liga 01/10/23 Atletico Madrid Cadiz Spain La Liga 03/05/23 Atletico Madrid Cadiz Spain La Liga 29/10/22 Cadiz Atletico Madrid Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/22 Cadiz Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga 11/03/22 Atletico Madrid Cadiz
Our Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction goes against the recent history of this fixture which has been surprisingly high scoring. Cadiz were 3-2 winners the last time the sides met in Andalusia but they’ve lost four out of five overall and have struggled badly in the final third this term with the worst goalscoring record in the division.
Cadiz Preview: Back-to-back draws offer a glimmer of hope
Recently appointed Mauricio Pellegrino will take heart from two improved performances but Roger Marti, Fede San Emeterio and Luis Hernandez are still out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Ledesma (GK), Javi Hernandez, Chust, Fali, Iza, Alcaraz, Kouame, Juanmi, Navarro, Sobrino, Maxi Gomez
Spain Segunda 09/05/25
W Almeria 1 Cadiz 2 Spain Segunda 02/05/25
L Cordoba 4 Cadiz 2 Spain Segunda 25/04/25
W Sporting Gijon 0 Cadiz 1 Spain Segunda 19/04/25
D Burgos 2 Cadiz 2 Spain Segunda 12/04/25
L Elche 1 Cadiz 0
Atletico Madrid Preview: Griezmann still a major doubt
With Inter to come in the Champions League next week, Atleti may not risk Antoine Griezmann who has been struggling with an injury. Jose Maria Gimenez is the other big injury doubt with some rotation likely.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Witsel, Savic, Lino, Barrios, Koke, Da Paul, Llorente, Morata, Depay
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
Player to watch – Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino has been one of the real positives for Atletico Madrid this season. The 24 year old has been successfully converted into a wing back by Diego Simeone and has contributed six goals and five assists in all competitions.
Lino making key contributions
It’s rare that a wing back makes as many as many decisive attacking contributions but Samuel Lino has been one of the driving creative forces for Diego Simeone’s team. He averages 1.0 key passes per game, the third most in the Atleti squad in La Liga this term, behind only Antoine Griezmann and Rodrigo De Paul.
