Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/03/2024

Cadiz
09/03/24 - 15:15

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Atletico Madrid

Cadiz - Atletico Madrid

Spain Primera Liga - Estadio Ramon de Carranza

cadiz vs atletico madrid prediction
Atleti won the reverse fixture – Photo by Icon Sport

Cadiz and Atletico Madrid meet in an important game for both sides at the Nuevo Mirandilla this Saturday. Our Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga weekend betting tips consider whether there’s any end in sight for the away day blues of Los Rojiblancos.

Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Hosts to grind out draw

Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Cadiz-Draw Double Chance

⚽ Correct score prediction

Cadiz 1-1 Atletico Madrid

⬇️ Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 Goals

Key Stats

  • Our Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account the vast difference between the home and away results of Atleti this term with just 27% of their La Liga points coming away.
  • Atleti average just 1.15 points per away game, with only nine teams having picked up less than their tally of 15 points on the road.
  • 74% of Cadiz games in La Liga 2023/24 have served up under 2.5 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites

  • HOME: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the clear favourites according to the Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 57.1% that they win the game to boost their top four hopes.

Cadiz picked up a 1-1 draw in the midst of a fierce hailstorm in their last game away at Rayo Vallecano, scoring a Stoppage Time leveller for the second weekend in a row. Atleti meanwhile were 2-1 winners at home to Real Betis in their last game, but they continue to struggle to replicate their brilliant home form when they play away.

For more picks, today’s football tips guide you through the best bets from a range of other markets across Europe.

Last five H2Hs: Atleti the dominant force in recent meetings

Spain Primera Liga 01/10/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
Cadiz

Cadiz

2

Spain Primera Liga 03/05/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

5
Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Spain Primera Liga 29/10/22

Cadiz

Cadiz

3
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/22

Cadiz

Cadiz

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 11/03/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Our Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid prediction goes against the recent history of this fixture which has been surprisingly high scoring. Cadiz were 3-2 winners the last time the sides met in Andalusia but they’ve lost four out of five overall and have struggled badly in the final third this term with the worst goalscoring record in the division.

Cadiz Preview: Back-to-back draws offer a glimmer of hope

Recently appointed Mauricio Pellegrino will take heart from two improved performances but Roger Marti, Fede San Emeterio and Luis Hernandez are still out injured.

Predicted Lineup: Ledesma (GK), Javi Hernandez, Chust, Fali, Iza, Alcaraz, Kouame, Juanmi, Navarro, Sobrino, Maxi Gomez

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Cadiz

Cadiz

0

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Cadiz

Cadiz

0

Spain Primera Liga 28/04/24

D

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Atletico Madrid Preview: Griezmann still a major doubt

With Inter to come in the Champions League next week, Atleti may not risk Antoine Griezmann who has been struggling with an injury. Jose Maria Gimenez is the other big injury doubt with some rotation likely.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Witsel, Savic, Lino, Barrios, Koke, Da Paul, Llorente, Morata, Depay

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 27/04/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Player to watch – Samuel Lino

Samuel Lino has been one of the real positives for Atletico Madrid this season. The 24 year old has been successfully converted into a wing back by Diego Simeone and has contributed six goals and five assists in all competitions.

Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino in action against Inter – Photo by Icon Sport

Lino making key contributions

It’s rare that a wing back makes as many as many decisive attacking contributions but Samuel Lino has been one of the driving creative forces for Diego Simeone’s team. He averages 1.0 key passes per game, the third most in the Atleti squad in La Liga this term, behind only Antoine Griezmann and Rodrigo De Paul.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.