Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/02/2024

Athletic Bilbao
29/02/24 - 20:30

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Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid

Spain Copa del Rey - San Mames Stadium

2nd Round

athletic club vs atletico madrid prediction
Athletic players celebrate the only goal in the 1st Leg three weeks ago – Photo by Icon Sport

Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid clash at San Mames in the second leg of their Copa del Rey Semi-Final on Thursday. Our Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction and Copa del Rey betting picks consider whether the hosts can successfully defend their 1-0 first leg advantage to make the Final.

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Basques to make the Final

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Athletic Club win

⚽ Correct score prediction

Athletic Club 2-1 Atletico Madrid

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Gorka Guruzeta

Key Stats

  • Our Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid betting tips consider the strong home form of Ernesto Valverde’s team with Athletic winning their last nine at San Mames (includes Extra Time win over Barcelona in the Quarter-Finals).
  • Atleti have won just two of their last nine away games in all competitions, losing five.
  • Gorka Guruzeta is having a fine season up top for Athletic, scoring at a rate of a goal every 173 minutes in La Liga.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Tagline related to odds

  • HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The home team are the slight favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win inside 90 minutes while they are 2/9 (1.22) to qualify, a probability of 81.8%.

Both sides are much better at home than away and both had poor road results at the weekend. Athletic lost 3-1 at Betis in La Liga while Atleti could only draw 2-2 at rock bottom Almeria. Our midweek betting tips point towards Diego Simeone’s side struggling away again here.

Last five H2Hs: Athletic targeting third straight win

Spain Copa del Rey 07/02/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain Primera Liga 16/12/23

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/02/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain Primera Liga 15/10/22

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 30/04/22

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Our Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction supports the recent history of this fixture with Athletic winning the two meetings so far this term. They were surprise 1-0 winners at the Estadio Metropolitano in the first leg and were utterly dominant in a 2-0 league win in December when Gorka Guruzeta and Nico Williams both scored.

Athletic Club Preview: Fortress San Mames

Athletic will be backed by a full house in San Mames where they haven’t lost since August. They’ve doubts over the fitness of defenders Yuri and Yeray.

Predicted Lineup: Agirrezabala (GK), Yuri, Vivian, Paredes, De Marcos, Prados, Galarreta, Nico Williams, Sancet, Iñaki Williams, Guruzeta

Spain Copa del Rey 06/04/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

1 (2)

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1 (4)

Spain Primera Liga 31/03/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain Primera Liga 16/03/24

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 10/03/24

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 03/03/24

D

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Atletico Madrid Preview: Visitors sweating over Griezmann fitness

Atleti have a major doubt over key man Antoine Griezmann who picked up an injury last week while Jose Maria Gimenez, Cesar Azpilicueta and Thomas Lemar are definitely out.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Savic, Hermoso, Witsel, Lino, Koke, De Paul, Barrios, Correa, Depay

UEFA Champions League 10/04/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 01/04/24

W

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 17/03/24

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

UEFA Champions League 13/03/24

W

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 09/03/24

L

Cadiz

Cadiz

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Nico Williams
Nico Williams is enjoying a lively season – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Nico Williams

Nico Williams has been one of the standout performers for Athletic this term with the young winger scoring three and assisting six in La Liga while he’s also netted twice in the Copa del Rey.

Nico’s winning record vs Atleti

While Atletico Madrid have been stronger than Athletic Club throughout the Diego Simeone era, Athletic have won more than they’ve lost against them with Nico Williams in the side.

The younger of the two Williams brothers has faced Los Rojiblancos six times, winning three and losing two with two goals scored in the fixture.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.