Atletico Madrid return to a ground where they lost twice last season on Saturday. Our Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they’ll have any more luck this time around.
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Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Low-scoring draw in Bilbao
Key stats
- Our Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that four of the Basque team’s last five in La Liga have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- It’s four draws in six at home in the league for Athletic.
- Diego Simeone’s side only won 42% of their away league fixtures last season.
Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Athletic are unbeaten at home since the opening day of last season and they were too good for Atleti in the two meetings in Bilbao last term. However, they’ve not been at their best so far this term, and a draw could well be the outcome here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the slight favourites
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win the game.
Athletic head into this after picking up their first win of the season in midweek with Benat Prados heading home in a 1-0 win over Valencia.
It was a frustrating midweek for Atleti though, as they were held to a 0-0 draw at home by newly promoted Espanyol.
For more picks, today’s football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe.
Most recent H2Hs: Happy memories for Athletic
Our Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests it’ll be tighter than the two meetings in Bilbao last term with Athletic convincing winners in the league and cup. They’ve won four of their last five at home to this opposition overall.
Spain Primera Liga 27/04/24
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Spain Copa del Rey 29/02/24
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
Spain Copa del Rey 07/02/24
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Spain Primera Liga 16/12/23
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
Spain Primera Liga 19/02/23
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Club preview: Trio ruled out
Unai Simon, Aitor Paredes and Inigo Ruiz de Galarrreta are all out injured. Yuri is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Agirrezabala (GK), Yuri, Vivian, Yeray, De Marcos, Prados, Vesga, Sancet, Nico Williams, Guruzeta & Inaki Williams
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 L Atletico Madrid 1 Athletic Bilbao 0 Spain Primera Liga 28/08/24 W Valencia 0 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 L Barcelona 2 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain Primera Liga 15/08/24 D Getafe 1 Athletic Bilbao 1 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 L VfB Stuttgart 4 Athletic Bilbao 0
Atletico Madrid preview: Regulars to return
Simeone should recall his regular starters after rotating against Espanyol. Thomas Lemar is the only injury concern.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Azpilicueta, Le Normand, Gimenez, Lino, De Paul, Koke, Barrios, Llorente, Sorloth & Griezmann
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 W Athletic Bilbao 0 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain Primera Liga 28/08/24 D Espanyol 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain Primera Liga 25/08/24 W Girona 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain Primera Liga 19/08/24 D Villarreal 2 Atletico Madrid 2 Elite Club Friendlies 11/08/24 W Juventus 0 Atletico Madrid 2 
Player to watch – Marcos Llorente
Perhaps Atleti’s best player so far this term has been Marcos Llorente. He has really impressed from right wing-back with two goals and an assist in three matches.
Llorente’s all-action displays
The 29-year-old is known for his high energy levels and ability to get up and down the pitch. As well as his attacking contribution, he averages 2.0 tackles and 1.3 clearances per game so far in La Liga 2024/25.
