Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/04/2024

CD Alaves
21/04/24 - 17:30

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Atletico Madrid

CD Alaves - Atletico Madrid

Spain Primera Liga - Estadio de Mendizorroza

alaves vs atletico madrid predictions
Rodrigo Riquelme scored as Atleti won the reverse fixture 2-1 – Photo by Icon Sport

Alaves and Atletico Madrid clash in La Liga in Vitoria this Sunday. Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction looks at whether the visitors can bolster their top four hopes with three points.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Los Rojiblancos to edge tight game

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Atletico Madrid to win

⚽ Correct score prediction

Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid

⬆️ Over 2.5 goals

No

Key Stats

  • Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account the home team’s recent struggles in front of goal with Luis Garcia’s men scoring just twice in seven league outings.
  • All of Alaves’ last eight league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Atleti’s recent league form has been better with three wins from their last five, a decent return when you consider four of those games were against top half opponents.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti favourites to bounce back from European exit

  • HOME: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
  • AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 51.3% that they win this game to tighten their grip on fourth place.

Atleti are in action for the first time since losing 4-2 to Borussia Dortmund in midweek to crash out of the Champions League, despite a brief rally after the break. Alaves meanwhile were dreadful in their last match, losing 2-0 at relegation-bound Granada.

For more of the best picks, today’s betting tips will guide you through a range of different markets. 

Last five H2Hs: Simeone’s side dominant

Spain Primera Liga 29/10/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 02/04/22

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 25/09/21

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 21/03/21

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 03/01/21

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed up by recent history with the side from the capital winning five of the last six meetings. Atleti did lose on their last visit to Vitoria in 2021 though.

Alaves Preview: Sedlar the only absentee

Long-term absentee Aleksandar Sedlar is the only player likely to be missing for the home team who could make changes after a poor run.

Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Duarte, Abqar, Marin, Gorosabel, Blanco, Guevara, Guridi, Rioja, Omorodion, Vicente

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 18/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 10/05/24

D

Girona

Girona

2

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

W

Valencia

Valencia

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Atletico Madrid Preview: Llorente serves ban

There’ll be no Marcos Llorente for Atletico Madrid with the midfielder suspended. Alvaro Morata may be dropped after Angel Correa’s lively cameo off the bench in Germany.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Gimenez, Witsel, Lino, De Paul, Koke, Barrios, Molina, Correa, Griezmann

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Player to watch – Antoine Griezmann

The man most likely to open this game up is unquestionably Antoine Griezmann who has been excellent once more this season with 13 goals and six assists in La Liga.

alaves vs atletico madrid prediction
Antoine Griezmann has scored 13 times in La Liga – Photo by Icon Sport

Griezmann striking early

Across La Liga and the Champions League, Griezmann is on 19 goals for the season and 37% of those strikes have come in the opening half hour. He has scored the opening goal on seven occasions.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.