Sparks will fly as Atletico Madrid and Deportivo Alaves draw swords in the 20th round of La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Sunday, 18 January 2026.
View our free Atletico Madrid vs Alaves predictions below.
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Atletico Madrid vs Alaves predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in five of Atletico Madrid's last seven matches.
- Four of the last six encounters between these sides produced goals at both ends.
- There were at least 11 corners in five of Alaves’ last seven games.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Alaves
Atletico Madrid have a near-perfect home record in La Liga, with eight wins and a draw in their nine league matches at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. They are up against an Alaves side that lost seven of nine away games.
Keeping in mind that Alaves have lost seven consecutive trips to this stadium, this should be business as usual for Atletico.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico priced as favourites
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atletico Madrid bounced back from their Spanish Super Cup semifinal defeat with a 1-0 win at Deportivo La Coruna in the Copa del Rey a few days ago. Diego Simeone's troops will turn their attention to La Liga, where they are trailing league leaders Barcelona by 11 points.
Alaves, on the other hand, eliminated Rayo Vallecano from their Copa del Rey earlier this week. However, they are without a win in their last four league matches (D1, L3) and have a 1-1-7 win-draw-loss record away from home.
Ahead of this skirmish, Atletico Madrid and Alaves are fourth and 16th in La Liga, respectively.
Keeping that in mind, it is unsurprising that Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 1/3 (1.33). Teams with these odds generally have a 75% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Alaves predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that both teams found the net in four of the last six H2Hs, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 6/5 (2.20). That one has a 45.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Atletico Madrid have bragging rights
Atletico Madrid have lost only once in their last six meetings with Deportivo Alaves. They have also won seven consecutive clashes between these sides at this stadium.
Spain La Liga 30/08/25
CD Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
CD Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 23/11/24
Atletico Madrid
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 21/04/24
CD Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 29/10/23
Atletico Madrid
CD Alaves
Atletico Madrid preview: No new absentees
Atletico Madrid will enter this clash with Clement Lenglet and veteran midfielder Koke ruled out due to injury, while Nico Gonzalez could be back in the fold after a hamstring problem.
Coach Simeone will rely on the services of Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez up front which could mean a bench role for Antoine Griezmann.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri, Simeone, Barrios, Gallagher, Baena, Sorloth & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Deportivo 0-1 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid
- Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- Girona 0-3 Atletico Madrid
- Baleares 2-3 Atletico Madrid
Alaves preview: Eyeing their biggest win of the season
As for Alaves, there are currently no new injuries, even as Lucas Boye is close to making full recovery from a groin problem.
Midfielder Carlos Benavidez, who was suspended against Villarreal last time out, will be available this weekend for the visitors. However, Facundo Garces remains suspended until September due to a FIFA ban.
Predicted lineup: Sivera (GK), Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada, Blanco, Calebe, Ibanez, Suarez, Rebbach & Martinez.
Last five matches
- Alaves 1-3 Villarreal
- Alaves 1-1 Real Oviedo
- Osasuna 3-0 Alaves
- Alaves 1-0 Sevilla
- Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid
Player to watch: Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann has been in sensational form, scoring five goals in his last six appearances across all competitions. The former Barcelona forward scored the only goal in Atletico Madrid's victory at Deportivo La Coruna earlier this week and will fancy his chances against Alaves.