Athletico PR and Sao Paulo will meet in the next round of Serie A on Thursday, 4 July.
With both teams fighting for the top, who will get the important points from this match? Read our Athletico PR vs Sao Paulo prediction to find out, bur remember to also check our other Serie A predictions too.
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Athletico PR vs Sao Paulo prediction: A low-scoring win for the hosts
Key stats
- Athletico Paranaense have averaged just 2.00 total goals per game in the league so far.
- After six games at home in Serie A this season, Athletico PR are still undefeated (four wins and two draws).
- The team that hosted the match has won three of the previous four meetings between Athletico PR and Sao Paulo.
Correct score prediction: Athletico PR 1-0 Sao Paulo
With Athletico PR doing great at home and with their matches usually ending without many goals, we can see this match ending in a minimal win for the hosts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletico Paranaense the more likely winners
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.50%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
- AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
We can see from these Athletico PR vs Sao Paulo odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which is understandable given that Athletico Paranaense are still undefeated at home in the league.
That being said, Sao Paulo are also having a good season and the two teams are separated by just one point in the standings, so the guests are clearly not without a chance.
Anyhow, if you like our predictions for this duel, make sure check out our favourite betting tips for today as well.
Last five H2Hs: A close matchup lately
In the last five duels between these teams, we saw two wins for Sao Paulo, one win for Athletico PR, and a couple of draws. Things are also close when we look at their overall H2H record: 18-19-17 in favour of Sao Paulo.
Brazil Serie A 29/10/23
Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 21/06/23
Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A 31/07/22
Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A 10/04/22
Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A 25/11/21
Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico PR preview: In good form and hoping for more
With one loss in their last six games, Athletico Paranaense have done well recently and they've been doing well since the start of the season too. After all, they are currently fifth in the Serie A standings, but they are also only five points behind Flamingo, the current league leaders.
Meanwhile, Nikao, Tomas Cuello, and Gonzalo Mastriani will miss the next match due to injuries. Also, Bento Krepski and Agustin Canobbio are away on international duty.
Predicted lineup: Linck (GK), Godoy, Rocha, Heleno, Esquivel, Fernandinho, Gabriel, Zapelli, Cardoso, Julimar & Pablo
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
L
Flamengo
1
Athletico Paranaense
0
Copa Sudamericana 27/09/24
L
Racing Club
4
Athletico Paranaense
1
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
D
Criciuma
0
Athletico Paranaense
0
Copa Sudamericana 20/09/24
W
Racing Club
0
Athletico Paranaense
1
Brazil Serie A 14/09/24
D
Fortaleza
1
Athletico Paranaense
1
Sao Paulo preview: Hoping to improve their consistency
While Sao Paulo can be pleased with their season so far since they're currently sixth in the league standings and just six points behind the very top of the table, they have been a bit inconsistent lately with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six games in Serie A.
When it comes to team news, Rafael, James Rodriguez, Nahuel Ferraresi, and Damian Bobadilla are at Copa America at the moment, while Rafinha and Joao Moreira are injured.
Predicted lineup: Jandrei (GK), Vinicius, Arboleda, Franco, Welington, Gustavo, Alisson, Moura, Rato, Calleri & Ferreira
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
W
Corinthians
1
Sao Paulo
3
Copa Libertadores 26/09/24
L
Botafogo
1 (5)
Sao Paulo
1 (4)
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
L
Internacional
3
Sao Paulo
1
Copa Libertadores 19/09/24
D
Botafogo
0
Sao Paulo
0
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
W
Cruzeiro
0
Sao Paulo
1
Player to watch: Pablo
With Athletico's top scorer in Serie A Gonzalo Mastriani not ready for this match, our player to watch is another forward from the team, Pablo, who has two goals in the league this season.
Will Pablo score the first goal?
While he only has two goals in the league so far, both of those goals were the first on the respective matches. Can the experienced forward become the first goalscorer against Sao Paulo too?
