Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips 03/12/2025

Real Madrid will make the trip to San Mames for their La Liga encounter with Athletic Bilbao on Wednesday, 3 December 2025.

View our free Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid predictions below.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid predictions: Visitors to claim all the spoils

Key stats

• Real Madrid have nine wins in their last 11 La Liga encounters with Athletic Bilbao.
• Fewer than three goals were scored in four of Athletic Bilbao's last five matches across all competitions.
• There were at least 11 corners in six of the last seven meetings between these sides.

Correct score prediction: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Real Madrid

This will be Real Madrid's sixth consecutive away game in all competitions, and they have managed to win only one of their previous five, while averaging exactly one goal per game in their last three La Liga games.

However, Athletic Bilbao have not fared much better than their visitors, having lost four of their last seven matches across all competitions (W2, D1). They also have a poor track record against Real Madrid, especially in this competition, where they have lost nine of the last 11 H2Hs.

Despite their recent shortcomings, we are leaning toward Real Madrid for the win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Madrid priced as favourites

• HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
• DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
• AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Madrid's disappointing 1-1 draw with Girona last weekend was their third consecutive stalemate in La Liga. With six points dropped in their last three league games, Los Blancos surrendered their lead at the top of the Spanish top flight to arch-rivals Barcelona.

Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, secured their first away win in three months last weekend. They have struggled to find their best form of late, winning only two of their last seven games in all competitions.

As things stand, Real Madrid are second in La Liga, while Athletic Bilbao are eighth with a modest 6-2-6 win-draw-loss record.

On that note, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 3/4 (1.75). Teams with these odds generally have a 57.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid predictions.

Moreover, keeping in mind that six of the last seven skirmishes between these outfits produced at least 11 corners, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Madrid's dominance to continue?

Real Madrid have been the dominant side in recent clashes between these two, winning four of their last six encounters (D1, L1). However, it is worth mentioning that Los Blancos lost their last trip to this stadium.

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

Real Madrid

1

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 04/12/24

Athletic Bilbao

2

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 31/03/24

Real Madrid

2

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 12/08/23

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 04/06/23

Real Madrid

1

Athletic Bilbao

1

Athletic Bilbao preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time in three months

Athletic Club will remain without long-term absentees Benat Prados and Unai Eguiluz, as both players are sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, while Maroan Sannadi and Aymeric Laporte could also miss out.

Oihan Sancet will serve the last of his two-match ban in this game, while Inigo Galarreta will make a return to action after serving a one-match ban last time out for accumulated yellow cards.

Predicted lineup: Simon (GK), Berchiche, Paredes, Vivian, Gorosabel, Juaregizer, Vesga, N. Williams, Navarro, Berenguer & Guruzeta.

Last five matches

• Levante 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
• Slavia Prague 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
• Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
• Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Oviedo
• Newcastle 2-0 Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid preview: Looking to return to winning ways

As for Real Madrid, captain Dani Carvajal remains sidelined with an injury alongside compatriot Raul Asencio.

Also, doubts linger on the availability of David Alaba, Franco Mastantuono, and Dean Huijsen due to fitness concerns.

Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Militao, Carreras, Tchouameni, Valverde, Guler, Bellingham, Vinicius & Mbappe.

Last five matches

• Girona 1-1 Real Madrid
• Olympiacos 3-4 Real Madrid
• Elche 2-2 Real Madrid
• Rayo 0-0 Real Madrid
• Liverpool 1-0 Real Madrid

Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe

Kylian Mbappe opened the scoring in Real Madrid's 1-1 draw at Girona last weekend, marking his eighth goal contribution in his last four appearances for club and country. The former PSG star will fancy his chances against Athletic Club.