Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo – prediction, preview & betting tips – 17/05/2026
Athletic Bilbao are bookies' favourites - Photo by IMAGO / Zuma Press Wire
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 3.5 goals

Two of each teams' last four games have produced over 3.5 goals.

Both Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo still have ambitions of finishing in the European places as they meet at the Estadio San Mames in LaLiga on Sunday evening.

The hosts are outside of those places, but a win here could propel them into them if other results go their way.

Meanwhile, the visitors are in sixth place and in pole position to qualify for Europe, but will want to avoid any slip-ups here ahead of their final league game this season.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo key stats

  • Bilbao have lost three of their last four games (W1).
  • Celta have an identical record in their previous four away matches in all competitions.
  • Both teams have shared two wins each across the last four H2Hs.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo preview: Both sides to share the spoils?

Bilbao vs Celta — Tale of the Tape

Bilbao vs Celta
9thPosition6th
44Points50
40Goals For51
53Goals Against47
6Clean Sheets9
10thHome / Away Rank3rd

This will be Ernesto Valverde's final home game in charge of Bilbao, as he will be replaced by Edin Terzic from next season.

There was speculation that Andoni Iraola could return to his former club after he leaves Bournemouth, but Bilbao have decided on the former Borussia Dortmund boss instead.

It has not been a great season by Bilbao's lofted standards, as having qualified for the Champions League last season, they now face the real possibility of missing out on Europe altogether.

They face a Celta side determined to hold onto sixth place, and without the likes of key stars Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet through injury, the hosts may find it difficult to win here.

As for the visitors, they will be sweating on the fitness of Matias Vecino and Ilaix Moriba, but they have positioned themselves well to qualify for at least the Europa League.

Claudio Giraldez has led the team well, and they are above more established sides in Europe like Valencia, Sevilla and Bilbao themselves.

However, Celta have struggled on their travels of late, losing three of their last four away matches across all competitions.

As such, it will not be easy for them to get even just the point needed to secure European football for next term.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo form guide & betting tips

Bilbao vs. Celta — Last 5 Form Guide
Bilbao vs Celta
WLWLL
Form
LLWWL
6Points6
14thForm Table13th
7Goals For7
8Goals Against7
WLWLL
Form (All Comps)
LLWWL

Whispers predicts: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Celta Vigo

Bilbao are 5/4 favourites to win, but given their identical form to Celta over the last five games, we are backing the visitors to pick up a result.

In the end, both sides may have to settle for a Draw at 23/10.

We are also backing BTTS – Yes at 10/11, which has come through in five of the last six H2Hs.

Over 3.5 goals at 3/1 is our final pick, with 19 goals scored over the previous five meetings at an average of 3.8 goals per game.

Overall, we are predicting a 2-2 draw, which can be backed at 16/1.

📈 Bilbao vs. Celta — Whispers' Tips

> BTTS – Yes at 10/11 | Likelihood: Probable

> Draw at 23/10 | Likelihood: Possible

> Over 3.5 goals at 3/1 | Likelihood: Possible

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Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.