Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips 06/12/2025
Atletico Madrid won 10 of their last 13 league games. - Photo by IMAGO/Jan Huebner
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Over 4.5 total cards

At least five cards were awarded in four of the last five meetings between these teams.

Athletic Bilbao will welcome Atletico Madrid to San Mames for their La Liga encounter on Saturday, 6 December 2025.

View our free Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid predictions below.

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid predictions: Visitors to emerge victorious

Key stats

  • Atletico Madrid won five of their last six La Liga encounters with Athletic Bilbao.
  • Bilbao failed to score in three of their last four games.
  • Atletico Madrid have drawn first blood in eight consecutive matches across all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao have been going through a rough patch, losing five of their last eight games across all competitions. The Basque giants have also struggled in front of goal, failing to score five times in that eight-game stretch.

On the other hand, although Atletico Madrid lost to La Liga leaders Barcelona earlier this week, they have won seven of their last eight matches in all competitions.

Keeping in mind that Atleti came out on top the last three times these teams squared off against each other, we believe the visitors will reign supreme after all is said and done.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Atletico

  • HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
  • AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Athletic Bilbao's woes continued with a disappointing 3-0 home defeat at the hands of Real Madrid earlier this week. Ernesto Valverde’s men have now won only one of their last four games, failing to score in three of them.

On the other hand, Atletico Madrid's seven-match winning streak ended against Barcelona a few days ago. They are fourth in La Liga ahead of their clash with eighth-placed Athletic Bilbao.

With that in mind, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds usually have a 45.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid predictions.

Also, keeping in mind that Atletico Madrid opened the scoring in each of their last eight matches across all competitions, Atletico Madrid to score first has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Atletico Madrid’s dominance to continue?

Atletico Madrid were victorious in their last three meetings with Athletic Club. They also won five of the last six La Liga clashes between these outfits.

Spain La Liga 01/03/25

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 01/03/25

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 31/08/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 27/04/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain Copa del Rey 29/02/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Athletic Bilbao preview: Injury woes continue

Athletic Club will remain without long-term absentees Benat Prados and Unai Eguiluz, as both players are sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, Maroan Sannadi is also sidelined because of a knee issue, while Inaki Williams and Robert Navarro remain doubtful for this encounter.

Valverde's troops side will be boosted by the return of Oihan Sancet and Inigo Galarreta, after both players were suspended against Real Madrid last time out.

Predicted lineup: Simon (GK), Berchiche, Paredes, Vivian, Gorosabel, Juaregizer, Vesga, N. Williams, Navarro, Berenguer & Guruzeta.

Last five matches

  • Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Real Madrid
  • Levante 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
  • Slavia Prague 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
  • Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
  • Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Oviedo

Atletico Madrid preview: Looking to return to winning ways

As for Atleti, up to five players are sidelined with injuries, including Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, Jose Maria Gimenez, Johnny Cardoso and Alejandro Baena, increasing Diego Simeone’s headache in recent weeks.

However, with Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez expected to line up together for this San Mames showdown, the visitors will look to return to winning ways after their run of seven consecutive wins across all competitions was snapped by Barcelona.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Hancko, Lenglet, Pubill, Molina, Gallagher, Koke, Barrios, Simeone, Sorloth & Alvarez.

Last five matches

  • Barcelona 3-1 Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid 2-0 Real Oviedo
  • Atletico Madrid 2-1 Inter Milan
  • Getafe 0-1 Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante

Player to watch: Julian Alvarez

Juan Alvarez player to watch (Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid)
Julian Alvarez has nine goal contributions in La Liga this season. – Photo by IMAGO/HMB-Media

Julian Alvarez will look to return to winning ways after failing to score in his last two appearances for Atletico Madrid. The former Manchester City player scored the only goal in the last encounter between these sides.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed