Sparks will fly as two Basque sides go toe-to-toe with each other at San Mames in the fourth round of La Liga on Saturday, 13 September 2025.
View our free Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves predictions below.
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Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Eleven consecutive encounters between these teams went below the 2.5-goal mark.
- Alaves have no wins in their last 11 trips to this stadium.
- Five of Alaves’ last six games produced fewer than three goals.
Correct score prediction: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Alaves have lost three consecutive trips to this stadium without scoring, two of which ended 2-0.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic Bilbao are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Athletic Bilbao have had a perfect start to their La Liga campaign and are tied on points with league leaders Real Madrid. They are up against 11th-placed Alaves, who have a 1-1-1 win-draw-loss record.
Ahead of this skirmish, Athletic Bilbao are the expected winners at 4/7 (1.57). Teams with these odds usually have a 63.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves predictions.
It is also important to note that Alaves conceded first in five of their last seven matches, and in six of their last seven encounters with Athletic Bilbao.
Keeping in mind that they also trailed at half-time in five of those clashes, HT Athletic Bilbao to win has an appealing look at 6/5 (2.20). That one has a 45.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided contest
Deportivo Alaves have not won a competitive clash against Athletic Bilbao in five years. They have won only one of the last 10 meetings between these sides and have not won at this stadium since November 2005.
Elite Club Friendlies 22/07/25
CD Alaves
Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
Athletic Bilbao
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 15/12/24
CD Alaves
Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 16/03/24
Athletic Bilbao
CD Alaves
Spain Copa del Rey 16/01/24
Athletic Bilbao
CD Alaves
Athletic Bilbao preview: Looking to maintain their perfect start
Athletic Club come into this clash on the back of a brilliant start to the season, once again under former Barcelona boss Ernesto Valverde, who has overseen three consecutive wins for the Basque outfit.
Eyeing a fourth consecutive victory in La Liga, Nico Williams, Inigo Galarreta and Unai Eguiluz are out injured for Athletic, while goalkeeper Alex Padilla misses out through suspension.
Predicted lineup: Simon (GK), Areso, Vivian, Paredes, Berchiche, Prados, Jauregizar; I. Williams, Sancet, Berenguer & Sannadi.
Last five matches
- Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Osasuna
- Real Betis 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
- Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Sevilla
- Arsenal 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alaves preview: A few absentees
Deportivo Alaves have began their La Liga campaign well, picking four points in three matches, but they will face a sterner test at the San Mames in this Basque derby.
The visitors jave some injury concerns ahead of this clash, with Carlos Benavidez, Nikola Maras and new signing Lucas Boye all lacking full match fitness.
Predicted lineup: Sivera (GK), Jonny, Garces, Tenaglia, Yusi, Vicente, Ibanez, Blanco, Alena, Guridi & Martinez.
Last five matches
- Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- Real Betis 1-0 Deportivo Alaves
- Deportivo Alaves 2-1 Levante
- Eibar 0-0 Deportivo Alaves
- Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Huesca
Player to watch: Oihan Sancet
Oihan Sancet had an impressive campaign last season, scoring 15 goals and providing an assist in 29 league assignments. The 25-year-old has scored once in two appearances this season and will fancy his chances against Alaves.