Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon prediction, odds and betting tips – 14/03/2024

14/03/24 - 20:00

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Atalanta - Sporting

UEFA Europa League - Gewiss Stadium

4th Round

Atalanta will face Sporting Lisbon on Thursday, 14 March in the second leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie. The match is in the balance after a 1-1 draw in the Portuguese capital last week which sets us up perfectly for a nervy, high-stakes match in Italy. Who will come out on top and progress through to the quarter-finals? As part of our latest round of Europa League betting tips, check out our Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon prediction below.

Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon prediction: Will recent form be the deciding factor?

Key stats

• Atalanta are without a win in their last five matches in all competitions.
• Sporting Lisbon have won three of their last four matches and are unbeaten since 23 January.
• Atalanta are looking to reach the quarter-finals of the Europa League for just the third time in their history.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Too close to call

• HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon odds illustrate that Atalanta are the favourites to win on the night and, therefore, favourites to qualify for the last eight. However, the bookies aren't totally convinced on the Italians with the pricing of evens, and understandably so when you consider they haven't won a football match in nearly a month.

Sporting Lisbon, on the other hand, are playing their best football of the season and are in the midst of an 11-match unbeaten run in all competitions. If they can avoid defeat on Thursday night then they will, as an absolute minimum, take the match to extra time and possibly even penalties. At that point, the match becomes a lottery.

Given these two teams are very evenly matched, there is some good value to be had across the board. Other free betting tips include both teams to score at 8/15 (1.53) and Sporting Lisbon to score first at 13/10 (2.30).

Last five H2Hs: A fourth match-up of the season awaits

Three of the last five meetings between Atalanta and Sporting Lisbon have come this season with two matches finishing as a draw and one finishing 2-1 to Atalanta. Interestingly, the one game Atalanta won came away from home so Sporting have already come to the Geswiss Stadium this season and got a positive result.

UEFA Europa League 06/03/24

Sporting

1

Atalanta

1

UEFA Europa League 30/11/23

Atalanta

1

Sporting

1

UEFA Europa League 05/10/23

Sporting

1

Atalanta

2

Atalanta preview: Low on confidence

Atalanta haven't been playing well recently and they went to Turin at the weekend and effectively stole two points from Juventus in a 2-2 draw. Manager, Gian Piero Gasperini, made a couple of changes for the match against Juve which means the likes of De Roon and Lookman come into this one with fresh legs. Their only injury concern is Francesco Rossi.

Predicted lineup: Musso (GK), Holm, Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac, Ruggeri, Ederson, de Roon, Miranchuk, Scamacca, Lookman

Italy Serie A 08/02/25

W

Verona

0

Atalanta

5

Coppa Italia 04/02/25

L

Bologna

1

Atalanta

0

Italy Serie A 01/02/25

D

Torino

1

Atalanta

1

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

D

Barcelona

2

Atalanta

2

Italy Serie A 25/01/25

W

Como

1

Atalanta

2

Sporting Lisbon preview: Looking to reach the quarter-finals once again

Sporting Lisbon recorded a famous round of 16 victory last season when they defeated Arsenal over two legs so they will have belief they can progress on Thursday night. Ruben Amorim went with a strong team at the weekend with his key decision revolving around whether to play Trincao or Edwards in his front three alongside Goncalves and Gyokeres

Predicted lineup: Israel (GK), Quaresma, Coates, Diomande, Catamo, Hjulmand, Morita, Reis, Trincao, Goncalves, Gyokeres

UEFA Champions League 11/02/25

L

Borussia Dortmund

3

Sporting

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/02/25

D

FC Porto

1

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/02/25

W

SC Farense

1

Sporting

3

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

D

Bologna

1

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/01/25

W

Nacional

0

Sporting

2

Player to watch: Pedro Goncalves

While a lot of the attention has been on Viktor Gyokeres this season, Pedro Goncalves has also been excellent in the forward positions for Sporting Lisbon and will be a huge threat on Thursday night.

A player that has it all

Goncalves has been linked with a move to the Premier League in recent seasons and he will again this summer, as he has enjoyed a fine season in Portugal. He has scored 11 goals and provided 12 assists for teammates so far and is showing no signs of slowing down.