Two winless sides, Atalanta and Lecce, face off in a crucial Serie A clash at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo on Sunday, 14 September, with both desperately targeting a first victory of the season to kickstart their campaign.
Keep close tabs on Serie A predictions after viewing our key Atalanta vs Lecce tips below.
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Atalanta vs Lecce prediction: La Dea to send the Salentini packing without a point
Key stats
- Atalanta are undefeated in 10 of their last 12 Serie A H2Hs against Lecce.
- La Dea are winless in three straight matches in the Italian top-flight (D2, L1).
- Lecce have only two shots on target across their opening two league games (D1, L1).
- The visitors are unbeaten in four straight away fixtures in Serie A (W1, D3).
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 3-1 Lecce
Ivan Juric’s Atalanta have endured a sluggish start following the departure of long-serving coach Gian Piero Gasperini. The giants from Bergamo opened with a 1-1 draw against newly-promoted Pisa, before being held to the same result by Parma prior to the international break. Another draw on Sunday would mark the first time since 1977/78 that La Dea began a season with three consecutive stalemates.
Lecce, meanwhile, arrive in Bergamo also winless and yet to score after outings against AC Milan and Genoa. Failure to find the net this weekend would see them go scoreless in their first three Serie A games for the first time since the 1993/94 season.
With both sides under early pressure, Atalanta’s superior attacking quality should ultimately prove decisive against a Lecce team struggling to convert chances. Everything points toward a home victory at the Gewiss Stadium.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Home favourites
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
- AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Although Atalanta have been dismal on home turf in recent Serie A games, winning twice in 12 matches, they enter this clash as favourites. The hosts are backed to win with 2/5 (1.40) odds – a 71.4% chance of triumph.
Meanwhile, the visitors are in poor form, winning just four of their last 24 top-flight games. Eusebio Di Francesco’s side are priced at 13/2 (7.50) odds, which implies a 13.3% win probability rate.
One can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Atalanta with the H2H advantage
Atalanta have won six of their last 12 H2Hs against Lecce, but they have been less than impressive on home soil against the Salentini, winning just twice in their last seven H2Hs at Gewiss Stadium.
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
Atalanta
Lecce
Italy Serie A 19/08/24
Lecce
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 18/05/24
Lecce
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 30/12/23
Atalanta
Lecce
Italy Serie A 19/02/23
Atalanta
Lecce
Atalanta preview: A first win in front of their home faithful?
La Dea have some major names missing, including Ademola Lookman, Gianluca Scamacca and Mitchel Bakker. Ederson and Sead Kolasinac are also expected to sit this one out.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti, Bellanova, De Roon, Pasalic, Zalewski, De Ketelaere, Sulemana & Krstovic
Last five matches:
- Parma 1-1 Atalanta (Serie A)
- Atalanta 1-1 Pisa (Serie A)
- Atalanta 1-2 Juventus (Club Friendly)
- Atalanta 3-3 Opatija (Club Friendly)
- Koln 4-0 Atalanta (Club Friendly)
Lecce preview: Can they upset the odds?
The visitors have four absentees to take note of: Gaby Jean, Mohamed Kaba, Filip Marchwinski and Balthazar Pierret.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Veiga, Gabriel, Gaspar, Gallo, Coulibaly, Ramadani, Berisha, Pierotti, Camarda & Morente
Last five matches:
- Lecce 0-2 AC Milan (Serie A)
- Genoa 0-0 Lecce (Serie A)
- Lecce 0-2 Juve Stabia (Coppa Italia)
- Monopoli 2-2 Lecce (Club Friendly)
- Lecce 1-0 Carrarese (Club Friendly)
Player to watch: Charles De Ketelaere
Belgian forward De Ketelaere is yet to open his account this season. He is Atalanta's danger man in the final-third, and Di Francesco will need to take his presence into consideration when making tactical decisions. The ex-AC Milan talisman has never tasted a defeat in his four personal H2Hs against Lecce (W3, D1).