Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, odds & betting tips – 22/05/2024

22/05/24 - 20:00

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Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen

UEFA Europa League - Aviva Stadium

1st Round

It’s the UEFA Europa League Final on Wednesday night at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin. Our Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction looks at which team is most likely to leave with the trophy.

Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Scamacca to score first, but German champions to triumph

Key Stats

• Our Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen betting tips take into account the stunning season Xabi Alonso’s side are having with no defeats in 51 matches in all competitions.
• Bayer Leverkusen have won 75% of their Europa League matches, scoring two or more goals in 83% of their fixtures in the competition.
• It has been a fine season for Atalanta too but they have been defeated on 13 occasions in all competitions, the most recent being their Coppa Italia Final defeat last week.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Leverkusen the clear favourites

• BAYER LEVERKUSEN: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
• ATALANTA: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Bundesliga side are the favourites according to the Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen odds with an implied probability of 55.6% that they win this without any need for Extra time or penalties.

Bayer Leverkusen have long since wrapped up the Bundesliga title but they completed an invincible league season by defeating Augsburg 2-1 at the weekend thanks to goals from Victor Boniface and Robert Andrich.

Atalanta were also winners on Saturday with goals from Gianluca Scamacca and Charles De Ketelaere sealing a 2-0 win at Lecce and with it Champions League qualification.

For more picks from this week’s action, today’s football betting tips will guide you around a number of different markets.

Last two H2Hs: Atalanta victors two years ago

UEFA Europa League 17/03/22

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Atalanta

1

UEFA Europa League 10/03/22

Atalanta

3

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Our Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction suggests we’ll get a different outcome to the only two previous competitive meetings. The Italians won both legs of a Europa League Last 16 tie in 2022 to secure a 4-2 aggregate win.

Atalanta Preview: Marten de Roon misses out

The Serie A outfit will have to cope without the injured Marten de Roon. They are also likely to be missing Sead Kolasinac while Emil Holm is rated doubtful.

Predicted Lineup: Musso (GK), Toloi, Djimsiti, Hien, Koopmeiners, Ederson, Ruggeri, Zappacosta, Lookman, De Ketelaere, Scamacca

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

W

Roma

1

Atalanta

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Monza

0

Atalanta

4

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

D

Lecce

1

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

W

AC Milan

0

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

W

Bologna

0

Atalanta

2

Bayer Leverkusen Preview: Key men to return after weekend rests

Xabi Alonso opted to rest some of his key players on Saturday but should recall the likes of Granit Xhaka and Josip Stanisic here. Florian Wirtz should be fit following a thigh injury with no major selection issues for the Bundesliga champions.

Predicted Lineup: Kovar (GK), Kossonou, Tapsoba, Tah, Frimpong, Andrich, Xhaka, Grimaldo, Wirtz, Schick, Adli

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

L

Borussia Dortmund

4

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

D

SC Freiburg

2

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Augsburg

0

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

D

St Pauli

1

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Union Berlin

0

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Player to watch – Gianluca Scamacca

Bayer Leverkusen will have to keep an eye on Gianluca Scamacca who is having a brilliant season in this competition. The former West Ham striker averages a goal every 102 minutes in the Europa League and has scored eight in his last ten games in all competitions.

Scamacca striking early

The 25 year old has been particularly dangerous in the early stages. 27% of his Serie A goals this term have come in the opening 15 minutes while four of his six strikes in the Europa League have come before the break. Scamacca scored first in the away legs in the previous two rounds against Liverpool and Marseille.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Atalanta

It all comes down to this ?@johnsportraits x #UELfinal pic.twitter.com/X7thHzRD94

— UEFA Europa League (@EuropaLeague) May 22, 2024

Bayer Leverkusen

#ForOurDream ? pic.twitter.com/XPjtYO2uyi

— Edmond Tapsoba (@12Tapsoba) May 22, 2024