* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Southampton vs Aston Villa: Predictions
Bottom of the Premier League table Southampton have won their last three matches in all competitions and will be feeling confident about their chances of securing 3pts at home to mid-table Aston Villa this weekend. The visitor's form has been mixed of late but Emery's men did beat Leeds in their last league game.
Contents
Over 2.5 Goals
We're predicting goals in this game as neither of these two sides have the best defensive record this season. Three of the last seven league meetings between these two clubs have produced 4 or more goals, including a 4-3 win for the Saints back in 2020. Four of Southampton's last six matches in league and cup have witnessed at least three goals scored, while three of Aston Villa's last five fixtures have ended the very same way.
Both Teams to Score
We can't see either side keeping their clean sheet intact on Saturday and have backed both teams to score in this game. Four of the Saints' last six outings have ended with both teams getting on the scoreboard while four of Aston Villa's last five matches also saw both teams score, adding further weight to our prediction for Saturday's clash.
Everything you need to know ahead of Southampton vs Aston Villa
Head to Head
16/09/22
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Southampton
1
0
05/03/22
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Southampton
4
0
05/11/21
England Premier League EPL
Southampton
Aston Villa
1
0
30/01/21
England Premier League EPL
Southampton
Aston Villa
0
1
01/11/20
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Southampton
3
4
Last Five - Southampton
18/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Tottenham
Southampton
3
3
D
15/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Brentford
Southampton
2
0
L
12/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Man Utd
Southampton
0
0
D
04/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Leicester
Southampton
0
1
W
01/03/23
England FA Cup FA Cup
Grimsby
Southampton
2
1
L
Last Five - Aston Villa
18/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
0
3
W
12/03/23
England Premier League EPL
West Ham
Aston Villa
1
1
D
04/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
0
1
W
25/02/23
England Premier League EPL
Everton
Aston Villa
0
2
W
18/02/23
England Premier League EPL
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4
2
L
Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Southampton vs Aston Villa.
Southampton odds: 31/16 (2.94) – 34%%
Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
Aston Villa odds: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
As you can see, there really isn't much between these two teams in the latest odds but Aston Villa are the slight favourites. The bookmakers also fancy Danny Ings to Score First on Saturday with the Aston Villa striker priced at 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%. Ings is, of course, a former Southampton player and we so often see former employers come back to haunt their old teams.
How will the teams lineup for this Premier League match?
Southampton
Southampton picked up a crucial 3pts from their trip to fellow relegation battlers Everton last weekend, despite not really putting in a good performance. Both teams were poor and lacked quality in the final third but two goals from Ward-Prowse proved enough for the Saints to pinch a late victory. Bella-Kotchap, Larios, Walcott, Livramento and McCarthy all missed the trip to Goodison Park and are unlikely to feature on Saturday either.
Predicted Lineup: Bazunu (GK), Ćaleta-Car, Lyanco, Walker-Peters, Salisu, Elyounoussi, Ward-Prowse, Diallo, Lavia, Adams & Edozie
Aston Villa
Aston Villa played at home to Leeds last Friday where an early goal from Bailey set the hosts on their way to victory. Buendia added a second goal shortly after the hour mark and although Bamford pulled a goal back for Leeds late on, Villa held firm to secure all 3pts. Both Digne and Watkins picked up injuries in that game and could join the likes of Carlos, McGinn, Cash, Augustinsson and Steer on the sidelines this weekend but Dendoncker does return to the squad following a suspension.
Predicted Lineup: Martínez (GK), Young, Moreno, Mings, Konsa, Buendía, Kamara, Luiz, Ramsey, Ings & Bailey
Player to Watch: Danny Ings
Danny Ings wouldn't have been picked to start this game if his strike partner Watkins hadn't have picked up an injury against Leeds last time out. Ings used to play for Southampton and may well return to haunt his former employers this weekend.
Despite falling out of favour somewhat at Villa Park, Ings still tops scores in the league for Aston Villa this season ith 6-goals in the Premier League alone and remains a big threat in the penalty area when provided good service. The former England striker had been linked with a loan move to Everton this month but it looks like he will be needed at his current club while injuries limit Emery's choices up-front.
We're backing Ings as our player to watch this weekend as we have a sneaking suspicion he might just score against Southampton and keep his former club on at the foot of the table for at least another week.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 |  Man City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 |  Man Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 |  Newcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 |  Brighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 |  Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 |  Wolverhampton | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |  Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 |  Nottm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 |  Leicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 |  Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -23 | 23 |
Your Questions for Southampton vs Aston Villa
- Who are the favourites to win? – Aston Villa are the slight favourite with most bookmakers.
- What was the score when these two teams last met? – Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton.
- What time is kick-off? – 15:00 GMT, 16:00 CET.
