Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 21/01/2023

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Southampton vs Aston Villa: Predictions

Bottom of the Premier League table Southampton have won their last three matches in all competitions and will be feeling confident about their chances of securing 3pts at home to mid-table Aston Villa this weekend. The visitor's form has been mixed of late but Emery's men did beat Leeds in their last league game.

Over 2.5 Goals

We're predicting goals in this game as neither of these two sides have the best defensive record this season. Three of the last seven league meetings between these two clubs have produced 4 or more goals, including a 4-3 win for the Saints back in 2020. Four of Southampton's last six matches in league and cup have witnessed at least three goals scored, while three of Aston Villa's last five fixtures have ended the very same way.

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Both Teams to Score

We can't see either side keeping their clean sheet intact on Saturday and have backed both teams to score in this game. Four of the Saints' last six outings have ended with both teams getting on the scoreboard while four of Aston Villa's last five matches also saw both teams score, adding further weight to our prediction for Saturday's clash.

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Everything you need to know ahead of Southampton vs Aston Villa

Head to Head

16/09/22

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Southampton

Southampton

1

0

05/03/22

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Southampton

Southampton

4

0

05/11/21

England Premier League EPL

Southampton

Southampton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

0

30/01/21

England Premier League EPL

Southampton

Southampton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

1

01/11/20

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Southampton

Southampton

3

4

Last Five - Southampton

17/05/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Southampton

Southampton

1

3

W

12/05/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Southampton

Southampton

0

0

D

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Leeds

Leeds

Southampton

Southampton

1

2

W

27/04/24

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Southampton

Southampton

1

0

L

23/04/24

England Championship CHA

Leicester

Leicester

Southampton

Southampton

5

0

L

Last Five - Aston Villa

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

5

0

L

13/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

3

D

09/05/24

UEFA Conference League CON

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

0

L

05/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

0

L

02/05/24

UEFA Conference League CON

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

2

L

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Southampton vs Aston Villa.

Southampton odds: 31/16 (2.94) – 34%%

Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

Aston Villa odds: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

As you can see, there really isn't much between these two teams in the latest odds but Aston Villa are the slight favourites. The bookmakers also fancy Danny Ings to Score First on Saturday with the Aston Villa striker priced at 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%. Ings is, of course, a former Southampton player and we so often see former employers come back to haunt their old teams.

How will the teams lineup for this Premier League match?

Southampton

Southampton picked up a crucial 3pts from their trip to fellow relegation battlers Everton last weekend, despite not really putting in a good performance. Both teams were poor and lacked quality in the final third but two goals from Ward-Prowse proved enough for the Saints to pinch a late victory. Bella-Kotchap, Larios, Walcott, Livramento and McCarthy all missed the trip to Goodison Park and are unlikely to feature on Saturday either.

Predicted Lineup: Bazunu (GK), Ćaleta-Car, Lyanco, Walker-Peters, Salisu, Elyounoussi, Ward-Prowse, Diallo, Lavia, Adams & Edozie

Aston Villa

Aston Villa played at home to Leeds last Friday where an early goal from Bailey set the hosts on their way to victory. Buendia added a second goal shortly after the hour mark and although Bamford pulled a goal back for Leeds late on, Villa held firm to secure all 3pts. Both Digne and Watkins picked up injuries in that game and could join the likes of Carlos, McGinn, Cash, Augustinsson and Steer on the sidelines this weekend but Dendoncker does return to the squad following a suspension.

Predicted Lineup: Martínez (GK), Young, Moreno, Mings, Konsa, Buendía, Kamara, Luiz, Ramsey, Ings & Bailey

Player to Watch: Danny Ings

Danny Ings wouldn't have been picked to start this game if his strike partner Watkins hadn't have picked up an injury against Leeds last time out. Ings used to play for Southampton and may well return to haunt his former employers this weekend.

Despite falling out of favour somewhat at Villa Park, Ings still tops scores in the league for Aston Villa this season ith 6-goals in the Premier League alone and remains a big threat in the penalty area when provided good service. The former England striker had been linked with a loan move to Everton this month but it looks like he will be needed at his current club while injuries limit Emery's choices up-front.

We're backing Ings as our player to watch this weekend as we have a sneaking suspicion he might just score against Southampton and keep his former club on at the foot of the table for at least another week.

Premier League Standings

Premier League
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Man City

Man City

38 28 7 3 62 91
2 Arsenal

Arsenal

38 28 5 5 62 89
3 Liverpool

Liverpool

38 24 10 4 45 82
4 Aston Villa

Aston Villa

38 20 8 10 15 68
5 Tottenham

Tottenham

38 20 6 12 13 66
6 Chelsea

Chelsea

38 18 9 11 14 63
7 Newcastle

Newcastle

38 18 6 14 23 60
8 Man Utd

Man Utd

38 18 6 14 -1 60
9 West Ham

West Ham

38 14 10 14 -14 52
10 Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

38 13 10 15 -1 49
11 Brighton

Brighton

38 12 12 14 -7 48
12 Bournemouth

Bournemouth

38 13 9 16 -13 48
13 Fulham

Fulham

38 13 8 17 -6 47
14 Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

38 13 7 18 -15 46
15 Everton

Everton

38 13 9 16 -11 40
16 Brentford

Brentford

38 10 9 19 -9 39
17 Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

38 9 9 20 -18 32
18 Luton

Luton

38 6 8 24 -33 26
19 Burnley

Burnley

38 5 9 24 -37 24
20 Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

38 3 7 28 -69 16

Your Questions for Southampton vs Aston Villa

southampton vs aston villa

  • Who are the favourites to win? – Aston Villa are the slight favourite with most bookmakers.
  • What was the score when these two teams last met? – Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton.
  • What time is kick-off? – 15:00 GMT, 16:00 CET.

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.