Aston Villa will welcome Newcastle to Villa Park on Saturday, 16 August, in one of the standout matches of the Premier League's opening weekend.
Both of these teams were involved in the race for the top five last season, with the Magpies pipping Villa to the post on the final day of the campaign.
Although neither side has had the summer they would have hoped for, there is still an expectation that they will both be in and around the top five this season.
As part of our first round of Premier League betting tips for the 2025/26 season, check out our Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction below.
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Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction: Expect goals at Villa Park
Key Stats
- A total of 18 goals have been scored across the last four Premier League clashes between Aston Villa and Newcastle.
- Newcastle have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches against Aston Villa.
- Ollie Watkins has scored four goals in four games during pre-season.
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-2 Newcastle
Although draws in matches between these two teams are rare, that will have to change at some point, just purely based on how evenly matched they both are. Both of their strengths lie in attacking areas, and both are best in transition, which means it is likely to be an end-to-end affair with action at both goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa are marginal favourites
- HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Aston Villa vs Newcastle odds are illustrative of how closely matched these two teams are on paper. Ladbrokes have made the hosts the slight favourites, giving Aston Villa a 43.5% chance of winning the match, while Newcastle have been given a 34.8% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Newcastle
Newcastle have enjoyed themselves against Aston Villa in recent seasons and famously beat them 5-1 on the opening day of the season two years ago. The Magpies have won three of their last four matches against the Villains, scoring three or more goals on each of those occasions. It's not all bad news for Villa, though, as they defeated Newcastle 4-1 in April.
England Premier League 19/04/25
Aston Villa
Newcastle
England Premier League 26/12/24
Newcastle
Aston Villa
England Premier League 30/01/24
Aston Villa
Newcastle
England Premier League 12/08/23
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Elite Club Friendlies 24/07/23
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Aston Villa preview: Starting the season without their goalkeeper
Aston Villa will be forced to start the new Premier League season without their goalkeeper, Emiliano Martinez, after the Argentinian shot stopper was red-carded on the final day of the 2024/25 season. Villa could also be without Morgan Rogers, who is nursing an ankle injury, and Jacob Ramsey, who is on the brink of joining Newcastle.
Predicted lineup: Bizot (GK), Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne, Kamara, Tielemans, Rogers, Malen, McGinn, Watkins
England Premier League 10/05/25
W
Bournemouth
0
Aston Villa
1
England Premier League 03/05/25
W
Fulham
0
Aston Villa
1
England FA Cup 26/04/25
L
Crystal Palace
3
Aston Villa
0
England Premier League 22/04/25
L
Man City
2
Aston Villa
1
England Premier League 19/04/25
W
Newcastle
1
Aston Villa
4
Newcastle preview: Struggles up front
With Alexander Isak AWOL as he looks to push through a move to Liverpool, Eddie Howe is short of options up front. Howe will likely start with Anthony Gordon in a false nine role, with new signing Anthony Elanga out wide.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento, Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton, Elanga, Gordon, Barnes
England Premier League 11/05/25
W
Chelsea
0
Newcastle
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Brighton
1
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Ipswich
0
Newcastle
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Aston Villa
4
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 16/04/25
W
Crystal Palace
0
Newcastle
5
Player to watch: Anthony Elanga
When Anthony Elanga signed for Newcastle at the beginning of the window, it looked as if it was going to be a smooth summer for the Magpies, but it has turned out to be anything but. Regardless, that shouldn't mask the fact that Elanga is a terrific player, who has the pace to exploit Villa's high line on Saturday.