Valentine's Day has conjured up an all-Premier League blockbuster clash in the fourth round of the FA Cup as Aston Villa welcome Newcastle to Villa Park on Saturday evening. Both teams knocked out Premier League opposition in the third round to get here.
Indeed, Villa dispatched of Tottenham 2-1 away from home, while Newcastle needed a penalty shootout to beat Bournemouth on home soil after a 3-3 draw in normal time. Nonetheless, this is all set up to be an interesting contest.
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Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction: Villans to knock out Magpies?
Key stats
- Villa have only lost once in six games in all competitions, winning four.
- By contrast, Newcastle have won just once in six matches across all competitions, losing four.
- Villa are also unbeaten in three previous H2Hs, winning twice.
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Newcastle
Given their home advantage and superior form of late, we are backing Villa to win this one and progress into the next round. Newcastle will not be expected to make it easy for them though.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Villa are the favourites with bookmakers to win on home soil. Newcastle can still be backed at just over 33%, while a draw in normal time is rated at 27%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page for more of our expert FA Cup predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Villa aiming for four unbeaten
As mentioned previously, Villa are unbeaten in the last three meetings between the two sides, winning twice. This includes twice in the Premier League already this season, drawing 0-0 at Villa Park before winning 2-0 at St. James' Park.
England Premier League 25/01/26
Newcastle
Aston Villa
England Premier League 16/08/25
Aston Villa
Newcastle
England Premier League 19/04/25
Aston Villa
Newcastle
England Premier League 26/12/24
Newcastle
Aston Villa
England Premier League 30/01/24
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa preview: No fresh concerns
Villa have reported no fresh concerns in their squad ahead of this one. However, Matty Cash, Andres Garcia, Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans and John McGinn are all still available through injury.
Predicted lineup: Martínez (GK); Bogarde, Konsa, Mings, Maatsen; Onana, Luiz; Sancho, Rogers, Buendia & Watkins
Last five results:
- 11/02/26: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton (Premier League)
- 07/02/26: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa (Premier League)
- 01/02/26: Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford (Premier League)
- 29/01/26: Aston Villa 3-2 RB Salzburg (Europa League)
- 25/01/26: Newcastle 0-2 Aston Villa (Premier League)
Newcastle preview: Will Bruno miss out?
Bruno Guimaraes may not be risked for this one as he continues to build up his fitness. Joelinton, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Emil Krafth and Lewis Miley are all injured.
Predicted lineup: Pope (GK); Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Burn; Willock, Tonali, Ramsey; Barnes, Woltemade & Gordon
Last five results:
- 10/02/26: Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle (Premier League)
- 07/02/26: Newcastle 2-3 Brentford (Premier League)
- 04/02/26: Manchester City 3-1 Newcastle (Carabao Cup)
- 31/01/26: Liverpool 4-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
- 28/01/26: PSG 1-1 Newcastle (Champions League)
Player to watch: Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers scored in the third round against Tottenham, and has since netted twice and produced one assist for Villa. Should he start, he could cause Newcastle plenty of problems.