Two Champions League hopefuls clash at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday night. Our Man City vs Aston Villa prediction and Premier League betting tips consider whether either side can take a big step towards securing a top-five finish.
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Man City vs Aston Villa prediction: Goals to flow and visitors to leave with a point
Key stats
- Villa take great form into this, with maximum points from their last five Premier League fixtures.
- Our Man City vs Aston Villa betting tips take into account that 75% of league games at the Etihad this term have served up over 2.5 goals.
- 75% of Villa’s away Premier League fixtures have also produced over 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Man City 2-2 Aston Villa
While Man City’s form has picked up of late, they’re in for a real test here against an Aston Villa side that is absolutely flying under Unai Emery, with no sign of a European hangover as they demolished Newcastle on Saturday.
There is real depth to the visiting squad now, and they have quality to bring in to freshen things up here. That suggests they should be very competitive again in another game against a direct rival for Champions League qualification.
Pre-game odds and win probability: City the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 5/6 (1.83) – 54.5%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Man City vs Aston Villa odds, with an implied probability of 54.5% that they win this match.
They head into this following a 2-0 win at Everton on Saturday, sealed by late goals from Nico O’Reilly and Mateo Kovacic.
As for Villa, they stunned Newcastle with a 4-1 win at Villa Park later that day, with Amadou Onana’s screamer capping an excellent performance.
For more from the midweek matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage normally counts
Our Man City vs Aston Villa prediction suggests this could buck the recent trend that has seen the home team win all of the last nine meetings at the Etihad.
Villa have won two of the last three meetings overall though, including a 2-1 triumph in Birmingham back in December.
England Premier League 21/12/24
Aston Villa
Man City
England Premier League 03/04/24
Man City
Aston Villa
England Premier League 06/12/23
Aston Villa
Man City
England Premier League 12/02/23
Man City
Aston Villa
England Premier League 03/09/22
Aston Villa
Man City
Man City preview: Pep missing five
City are set to be without the injured Rodri, Ederson, Erling Haaland, Nathan Ake and John Stones. Phil Foden and Mateo Kovacic both look likely to rotate in.
Predicted Lineup: Ortega (GK), Lewis, Dias, Gvardiol, O'Reilly, De Bruyne, Kovacic, McAtee, Foden, Doku & Marmoush
England Premier League 10/05/25 D Southampton 0 Man City 0 England Premier League 02/05/25 W Wolverhampton 0 Man City 1 England FA Cup 27/04/25 W Nottm Forest 0 Man City 2 England Premier League 22/04/25 W Aston Villa 1 Man City 2 England Premier League 19/04/25 W Everton 0 Man City 2
Aston Villa preview: Emery to rotate again?
The visitors are currently dealing with a very busy schedule, but with few injury concerns, Emery has been able to rotate his team effectively. That trend should continue here, with Lucas Digne, Marcus Rashford, Amadou Onana and Jacob Ramsey likely to return. Pau Torres is a fitness doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Martinez (GK), Digne, Mings, Konsa, Cash, Onana, Kamara, Ramsey, Tielemans, Rogers & Rashford
England Premier League 10/05/25 W Bournemouth 0 Aston Villa 1 England Premier League 03/05/25 W Fulham 0 Aston Villa 1 England FA Cup 26/04/25 L Crystal Palace 3 Aston Villa 0 England Premier League 22/04/25 L Man City 2 Aston Villa 1 England Premier League 19/04/25 W Newcastle 1 Aston Villa 4
Player to watch – Youri Tielemans
One player who is perhaps due a rest is Youri Tielemans, but on current form, Emery may feel as though he simply has to keep picking the Belgian. The ex-Leicester man has scored or assisted in each of his last five Villa appearances.
Tielemans enjoying his most creative season
The midfielder is now on seven Premier League assists, more than he has ever previously managed since moving to England in 2018. He averages 1.8 key passes per game in the league this term.