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Aston Villa or draw

Aston Villa unbeaten in their last five Premier League matches.

Aston Villa will welcome Man City to Villa Park on Sunday, 26 October, in a match between two of the most in-form teams in the top flight.

Villa are fighting back after a dismal start to the campaign, while Man City are beginning to build momentum as they look to close the gap on Arsenal at the top of the league table.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Aston Villa vs Man City prediction below.

Aston Villa vs Man City prediction: The hosts to take something from the match

Key Stats

  • Aston Villa have won their last three matches at Villa Park.
  • Man City have failed to win in each of their last three visits to Villa Park.
  • More than two goals have been scored in four of Aston Villa's last five matches.

Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-2 Man City

Aston Villa have a strong recent record against Man City at home, and although they suffered a shock European defeat on Thursday, Unai Emery will feel that his side can at least get a point here.

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Pre-game odds and win probability: Man City go in as odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 3/1 (4.0) – 25%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Aston Villa vs Man City odds are weighted in favour of the visitors, who have been priced as the odds-on favourites but a lot of top bookies. Ladbrokes have given Man City a 55.6% chance of winning the match, while Aston Villa have been given just a 25% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: A good fixture for whoever plays at home

Each of the last five meetings between Aston Villa and Man City have been won by whichever of the two teams were playing at home on the day. This bodes well for Aston Villa, who haven't lost a home game to Man City since December 2021.

England Premier League 22/04/25

Man City

Man City

2
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 21/12/24

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2
Man City

Man City

1

England Premier League 03/04/24

Man City

Man City

4
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 06/12/23

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 12/02/23

Man City

Man City

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

Aston Villa preview: Fresh legs to come in

Unai Emery will lean heavily on the players who didn't start Thursday night's debacle in the Netherlands, which should mean starts for the likes of Morgan Rogers, Boubacar Kamara and John McGinn. Youri Tielemans and Andres Garcia will both miss out due to injuries.

Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne, Onana, Kamara, Malen, Rogers, McGinn, Watkins

Last five results

  • GA Eagles 2-1 Aston Villa
  • Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley
  • Feyenoord 0-2 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham

Man City preview: Nico a doubt

Nico Gonzalez is a doubt for this one after he was forced off in the week with a foot injury. If the Porto man doesn't make it, then Guadiola will have a dilemma, as Rodri also isn't available due to a hamstring injury. City's only other absentee this weekend is Abdukodir Khusanov.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Nunes, Stones, Dias, Gvardiol, Kovacic, Cherki, Foden, Reijnders, Doku, Haaland

Last five results

  • Villarreal 0-2 Man City
  • Man City 2-0 Everton
  • Brentford 0-1 Man City
  • Monaco 2-2 Man City
  • Man City 5-1 Burnley

Player to watch: Erling Haaland

Erling Haaland is on a quest to break the record for goals scored in consecutive Premier League matches, which currently belongs to Jamie Vardy with 11. Haaland will move onto six if he finds the back of the net here, and you would be foolish to bet against him given his record this season.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.