Aston Villa vs Liverpool – prediction, preview & betting tips – 15/05/2026

With Aston Villa and visitors Liverpool still battling to guarantee their place in the Premier League‘s top five, they could be at risk of missing out on Champions League football if they suffer defeat on Friday at Villa Park.

The two teams are fifth and fourth respectively, but both head into matchweek 37 with 59 points, and they will be wary of the fact that sixth-placed Bournemouth only trail them by four points.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool key stats

• Liverpool have conceded first in six of their past eight away fixtures.
• Five of Villa’s last seven games produced three or more goals.
• Liverpool have scored at least two goals in each of their past eight league matches at Villa Park.
• Four of Villa’s last five home league matches saw both teams score.

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool preview: Liverpool's opportunity to capitalise?

Aston Villa were held to a frustrating 2-2 draw by relegated Burnley on Sunday, though the result is perhaps understandable given they had played against Nottingham Forest in Europe three days prior.

The hosts come into this weekend's clash having failed to win any of their past three Premier League outings, drawing once and losing twice, though a win on Friday would guarantee a spot in the top five.

Boss Unai Emery does boast a safety net considering his team will be competing in the Europa League final against Freiburg on May 20, and winning that game would secure the club Champions League football irrespective of league placement.

Even though that match will be played on Wednesday, it would not be surprising if Villa made numerous changes to their usual lineup, but if Emery selects stars like Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins in the XI, the chances of them playing more than an hour are slim.

In any other season, Liverpool's 1-1 draw with Chelsea on Saturday may have been seen in a more positive light, but the Reds drew with a team that had suffered defeats in their prior six Premier League fixtures.

Arne Slot's job is reportedly not under any threat, though how long the Anfield hierarchy can ignore the cries of fans remains to be seen, with thousands of supporters booing the head coach during and after Saturday's game.

It will concern the manager that he has overseen five losses in his side's six most recent away outings, and they have also been beaten in five, drawn one and won just three of their last nine games in all competitions.

Winger Mohamed Salah is nearing a return, and he will be keen to make an appearance in what would be his final ever away game for the Reds.

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool form guide & betting tips

Whispers predicts: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool

Liverpool are seen by the bookmakers as favourites, with odds of 6/5, though any victory is sure to be tense, and it would be premature to expect a comfortable win.

The first goal in the game will be important, and though the hosts may field a somewhat weakened team, their opponents have frequently conceded first away from home, so backing Aston Villa to Score First at 11/10 would be sensible.

However, seeing as both teams have scored in four of Aston Villa’s last five Premier League matches at home, it makes sense to back Both Teams to Score at 10/21.

Liverpool have found goalscoring somewhat straightforward when travelling to Villa Park, and since Villa will be focused on their upcoming Europa League final, there could be value in predicting Liverpool to Score Over 1.5 Goals at 4/5.

England Premier League 01/11/25

Liverpool

2

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 19/02/25

Aston Villa

2

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 09/11/24

Liverpool

2

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 13/05/24

Aston Villa

3

Liverpool

3

England Premier League 03/09/23

Liverpool

3

Aston Villa

0