Lille vs Aston Villa prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/04/2024

18/04/24 - 17:45

Finished

2

-

1

Lille - Aston Villa

UEFA Conference League - Stade Pierre Mauroy

3rd Round

Perhaps the most exciting matchup of the Europa Conference League quarter-finals is the one between Lille and Aston Villa. The second leg of the tie will be played on Thursday, 18 April, in France.

Will Aston Villa be able to go through after a narrow win in the first leg or will Lille overcome this deficit?

Find out by reading our Lille vs Aston Villa prediction and preview, but make sure to also check out our other Conference League predictions.

Lille vs Aston Villa prediction: Villa to win the match with plenty of goals

Key Stats

• Aston Villa have gone over 2.5 total goals in 73% of their UECL matches this season.
• Lille have gone over 2.5 total goals in seven of their last 10 games in all competitions.
• Aston Villa have averaged 3.55 total goals per game in the Premier League so far.

Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites

• HOME: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.60%
• DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
• AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.80%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from the Lille vs Aston Villa odds that the bookies don't see either team as the clear favourites. That being said, Lille are the expected winners by a small margin.

Looking at the first-leg result, that does make sense. After all, Lille have put up a solid fight and despite losing that match, it was only by one goal. Now they get to host the game, so making them favourites is understandable.

Anyhow, if you're interested in more predictions that we have to offer, check out some of our latest football betting tips too.

Last five H2Hs: A very close matchup

Aston Villa and Lille have only met twice before their duel last week and it was in 2002 when they played each other in the Intertoto Cup. After a 1-1 draw in France, Lille then beat Aston Villa 2-0 in England to get to the next stage. So, their overall H2H record now is 1-1-1 and the winner of the second leg will get the advantage.

Lille preview: Can they overcome the one-goal defficit?

Before their loss to Aston Villa in the first leg of EUCL quarter-finals, Lille have been on a great run of seven games without a loss in all competitions. On top of that, they were arguably the better team in their first duel with Aston Villa and had a goal disallowed, so their fans certainly have reasons to feel optimistic ahead of this match.

When it comes to team news, Lille will miss Samuel Umtiti, Andrej Ilic, and Tiago Morais through injuries

Predicted Lineup – Chevalier – Santos, Yoro, Diakite, Ismaily – Bentaleb, Andre – Zhegrova, Cabella, Gudmundsson – David

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

L

Brest

2

Lille

0

France Ligue 1 04/05/25

D

Marseille

1

Lille

1

France Ligue 1 27/04/25

W

Angers

0

Lille

2

France Ligue 1 20/04/25

W

Auxerre

1

Lille

3

France Ligue 1 12/04/25

W

Toulouse

1

Lille

2

Aston Villa: In great mood ahead of the second leg

Not only did Aston Villa win the first leg against Lille in the UECL quarter-finals, they also beat Arsenal in London over the weekend in the Premier League. So, with those two wins under their belts, they enter the second duel with Lille high on confidence as they hope to revive their former European glory.

Meanwhile, Tyrone Mings, Emi Buendia, Boubacar Kamara, and Jacob Ramsey are all on the team's injury list right now.

Predicted Lineup – Martinez – Konsa, Torres, Carlos, Moreno – Bailey, Tielemans, Luiz, Rogers – Diaby, Watkins

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Bournemouth

0

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 03/05/25

W

Fulham

0

Aston Villa

1

England FA Cup 26/04/25

L

Crystal Palace

3

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 22/04/25

L

Man City

2

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Newcastle

1

Aston Villa

4

Player to watch: Ollie Watkins

With 19 goals and 10 assists in the Premier League, Ollie Watkins is having the best season of his career. He's leading Aston Villa to another berth in European competitions. He also has four goals in UECL this season, along with three he scored in the qualifiers.

Watkins to score a header?

As we said above, Watkins has scored seven goals in UECL this season, if we count the qualifiers too, and five of those seven goals Watkins score with his head, including his goal in the first leg against Lille.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Lille

? MATCHDAY ?

A historic match at the Stade Pierre Mauroy as we face Aston Villa ?

We’ll have to be at our best if we want to progress. Allez LOSC! #LOSCAVFC #UECL pic.twitter.com/79Uq2YvqIQ

— LOSC (@LOSC_EN) April 18, 2024

Aston Villa

Back in France and focused on the challenge. ? pic.twitter.com/vG449wDl8P

— Aston Villa (@AVFCOfficial) April 18, 2024