Aston Villa will be looking to close the gap on Chelsea to just one point with a win against the Londoners at Villa Park in Saturday's late kick-off in the Premier League.
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Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction: Goals expected at Villa Park
Key Stats
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 64% of Chelsea's Premier League games.
- Chelsea have seen 72% of their league games end with both teams scoring.
- Two of the last three meetings between these two clubs have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals.
- Ollie Watkins top scores for Villa with 12 league goals and has scored five in his last eight appearances in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea
Chelsea are without a win in their last six away games in league and cup, four of which have ended in defeat, while Aston Villa have scored over 1.5 goals in 57% of their home games this season while the Blues have only scored over 1.5 goals in 40% of their league games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the bookmaker's pick
- HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 31/20 (2.55) – 39.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 39.2% but we expect Aston Villa to get something out of this game.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea edge it
Saturday's guests have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five encounters with Aston Villa in league and cup, claiming a 3-0 win when the pair met at Stamford Bridge in December.
England Premier League 01/12/24
Chelsea
Aston Villa
England Premier League 27/04/24
Aston Villa
Chelsea
England FA Cup 07/02/24
Aston Villa
Chelsea
England FA Cup 26/01/24
Chelsea
Aston Villa
England Premier League 24/09/23
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Aston Villa preview: Lost one of last six in all comps
Aston Villa played host to Liverpool on Wednesday night for what turned out to be an action-packed 90 minutes in the Midlands.
Liverpool took the lead through Mo Salah just shy of the half-hour mark but goals from Youri Tielemans and Watkins saw Aston Villa take a one-goal lead into the interval. However, there was just one goal in the second half and it went the way of the visitors as Liverpool managed to equalise just after the hour mark and earn a share of the spoils.
Axel Disasi can't play against his parent club this weekend, while Pau Torres, Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana are expected to miss the game through injury.
Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Digne, Mings, Konsa, García, McGinn, Tielemans, Asensio, Watkins, Rashford & Rogers
England Premier League 10/05/25
W
Bournemouth
0
Aston Villa
1
England Premier League 03/05/25
W
Fulham
0
Aston Villa
1
England FA Cup 26/04/25
L
Crystal Palace
3
Aston Villa
0
England Premier League 22/04/25
L
Man City
2
Aston Villa
1
England Premier League 19/04/25
W
Newcastle
1
Aston Villa
4
Chelsea preview: Struggling on the road
Chelsea were out for revenge against Brighton last Friday night in the Premier League, having been knocked out of the FA Cup by the seagulls a few days earlier.
However, the home side were in top form as they scored twice before the break and added a third in the second 45 to secure a comfortable 3-0 victory against Enzo Maresca's side.
Marc Paz, Nicolas Jackson, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Benoit Badiashile have been ruled out of the trip to Villa Park due to injury, while Omari Kellyman, Chukwunonso Madueke and Noni Madueke are also injury concerns for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Jorgensen (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, Gusto, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Nkunku, Neto & Sancho
England Premier League 11/05/25
L
Newcastle
2
Chelsea
0
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
W
Djurgarden
0
Chelsea
1
England Premier League 04/05/25
W
Liverpool
1
Chelsea
3
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
W
Djurgarden
1
Chelsea
4
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Everton
0
Chelsea
1
Player to watch: Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins had his best season in an Aston Villa shirt last time out scoring 19 Premier League goals, as well as claiming 13 assists which was the highest in the league.
The 29-year-old continues to impress this season, top-scoring for the Villans with 12 Premier League goals and leading the club's assist chart with five.
The Aston Villa striker has 17 PL goal involvements
Watkins heads into Saturday's evening kick-off against Chelsea on the back of five goals in his last eight appearances in league and cup, so you can see why he's our player to watch against the Londoners.