Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/04/2024

Aston Villa
27/04/24 - 20:00

Finished

2

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2

Chelsea

Aston Villa - Chelsea

England Premier League - Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction
Aston Villa's Matty Cash (left) and Chelsea's Ben Chilwell battle for the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our Premier League predictions for Saturday's late kick-off between Aston Villa and Chelsea. These two sides know each other very well having met three times already this season, once in the league where Villa beat Chelsea in their own backyard 1-0 and twice in the FA Cup where they first played out a goalless draw at Stamford Bridge before Chelsea won 3-1 in the reply at Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea predictions: Possible home win on the cards

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Aston Villa to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Ollie Watkins

Key Stats

  • Aston Villa have won three of their last five competitive and non-competitive meetings with Chelsea. The hosts have won three of their last four matches in all competitions, while Chelsea are without a win in any of their last five away games in league and cup, losing the last two.
  • The hosts have scored at least two goals in four of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period, while Chelsea have only failed to score in two of their last six matches which is why a 2-1 scoreline in favour of Aston Villa looks like a good shout.
  • Ollie Watkins was on target again for Aston Villa at the weekend, making it 19 goals in the Premier League this season, and heads into Saturday's clash with Chelsea having scored four times in his last five appearances in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa backed by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
  • DRAW: 32/11 (3.91) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Aston Villa are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 44.4%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Saturday's hosts claimed a 3-1 win against Bournemouth last time out, while Chelsea suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat against Arsenal.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 21/50 (1.42) which has a probability of 70.4%, or you could go the other way and bet on BTTS – No at 2/1 (3.00) with a probability of 33.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Chelsea lead

England FA Cup 07/02/24

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England FA Cup 26/01/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 24/09/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 01/04/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

Elite Club Friendlies 11/12/22

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Chelsea's 3-1 win at Villa Park in the FA Cup in February made it 65 wins, 34 draws and 55 defeats in their last 154 games against Aston Villa in all competitions.

Team news and form guide

Aston Villa: Won three of last four

Nicolo Zaniolo, Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey and Alex Moreno look set to miss the Chelsea game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Martínez (GK), Digne, Torres, Konsa, Cash, McGinn, Tielemans, Bailey, Watkins, Diaby & Rogers

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

5

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 13/05/24

D

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

UEFA Conference League 09/05/24

L

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

2

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 05/05/24

L

Brighton

Brighton

1

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

UEFA Conference League 02/05/24

L

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

4

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

Chelsea: No wins in five on the road

Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Lesley Ugochukwu, Reece James, Robert Sanchez, Christopher Nkunku and Levi Colwill are the main injury concerns for the visitors ahead of their trip to Villa Park this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Cucurella, Disasi, Badiashile, Gilchrist, Gallagher, Mudryk, Fernández, Caicedo, Madueke & Jackson

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

England Premier League 02/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Player to watch – Leon Bailey

Aston Villa's Jamaican winger Leon Bailey is in great form right now and has been included in Unai Emery's starting lineup a lot more of late.

leon bailey player to watch
Leon Bailey has linked up well with Ollie Watkins this season – Photo by Icon sport

The 26-year-old has only started 19 of his 32 appearances in the Premier League this season but despite that the former Leverkusen man has scored 10 goals and provided nine assists.

Starting more games in the second half of the season

We're backing Bailey to have fun against Chelsea's leaky defence this weekend and wouldn't be surprised to see the Jamaican on the scoresheet or setting up a goal for one of his teammates, most likely Ollie Watkins.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Aston Villa

Chelsea


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.