Chelsea - Aston Villa
England Premier League - Stamford Bridge
Prediction 1
Over 2.5 Goals
7/8 (1.88)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
BTTS
5/6 (1.83)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Free Betting Tips
Here are our Premier League predictions for what should be an entertaining 90-minutes between Chelsea and Aston Villa. These two sides both have 38pts on the board with 27-games played in the Premier League this season, and Chelsea are only ahead of Aston Villa on goal difference. Chelsea have the home advantage this weekend and head into this game as the clear favourite to win with most bookmakers but we're predicting a close and competitive game.
Contents
Over 2.5 Goals
Our first Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction concerns the total goals scored by both teams. Three of the last five competitive meetings between these two clubs have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored, including Aston Villa's last trip to Stamford Bridge in the league which ended in a 3-0 home win. Chelsea's last two league games have witnessed over 2.5 goals scored, while three of Aston Villa's last six matches have produced at least three goals.
Both Teams to Score
Our second Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction delves into the both teams to score market. Both teams have scored in four of the last six competitive encounters between these two sides, and we're expecting more of the same in Saturday's late kick-off. Chelsea's last two matches along with three of Aston Villa's last six outings have also ended with both teams getting on the scoreboard, adding further weight to our prediction.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Odds
Head to Head
11/12/22
Elite Club Friendlies Elite
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
0
16/10/22
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
2
26/12/21
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
22/09/21
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
1
11/09/21
England Premier League EPL
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
Last Five - Chelsea
18/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Everton
Chelsea
2
2
D
11/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Leicester
Chelsea
1
3
W
07/03/23
UEFA Champions League UCL
Borussia Dortmund
Chelsea
0
2
W
04/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
W
26/02/23
England Premier League EPL
Tottenham
Chelsea
2
0
L
Last Five - Aston Villa
18/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
0
3
W
12/03/23
England Premier League EPL
West Ham
Aston Villa
1
1
D
04/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
0
1
W
25/02/23
England Premier League EPL
Everton
Aston Villa
0
2
W
18/02/23
England Premier League EPL
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4
2
L
Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Chelsea vs Aston Villa.
Chelsea odds: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
Draw odds: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
Aston Villa odds: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
As you might expect, Chelsea are the favourite to win this weekend at home to Aston Villa but if you want more of our football betting tips for this game then why not check out the First Goalscorer market? Despite not playing regularly for Chelsea, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has odds of 9/2 (5.50) to score first on Saturday with a probability of 18.2%, while teammates David Fofana and Joao Felix are priced at 11/2 (6.50) and have probabilities of 15.4%. Ollie Watkins is the best-priced Aston Villa player to score first at 9/1 (10.00) and that has a probability of just 10%.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Lineups
Chelsea
Chelsea played host to struggling Everton before the international break where despite taking the lead twice, the Londoners were held to a draw. Felix fired the hosts in front after a poor clearance from Keane in the Everton defence but Everton equalised from a set-piece. A 76th-minute penalty from Havertz looked to have won the game for the hosts but Everton substitute Simms scored an excellent equaliser in the 89th-minute, his first goal for the club. Broja and Silva have been ruled out of this weekend's game and there are also doubts over Havertz, Azpilicueta, Mount, Mendy, Sterling, Aubameyang, Wesley Fofana and James.
Predicted Lineup – Kepa (GK), Koulibaly, Chilwell, James, Badiashile, Fofana, Kovačić, Pulišić, Havertz, Fernández & Félix
Aston Villa
Aston Villa put in a great performance at home to relegation-battling Bournemouth last time out, running out comfortable 3-0 winners. Luiz opened the scoring in the 7th minute but had to wait until 10-minutes from time to make sure of the points when Ramsey scored. Buendia made it 3-0 late on, putting the cherry on the top of the cake for Unai Emery's men. Jed Steer is still injured and there are doubts over the fitnesses of Matty Cash, Philippe Coutinho, Leander Dendoncker and Boubacar Kamara or the trip to Stamford Bridge.
Predicted Lineup – Martínez (GK), Moreno, Mings, Konsa, Cash, McGinn, Buendía, Luiz, Ramsey, Watkins & Bailey
Starting Lineups
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: João Félix
Joao Felix seems to be getting better and better with each game that passes and soon we're sure he will start scoring and assisting in more goals for Chelsea, though, he has never been a high scorer of goals having only hit double figures in his last season at Benfica.
The Portuguese international took his goal well against Everton and looked like a threat all through the game. Being suspended for as long as he was early in his Chelsea career hasn't helped the player settle in but he has become a regular under Potter of late and we're backing the 23-year-old to have another good game this weekend.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 |  Man City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 |  Man Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 |  Newcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 |  Brighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 |  Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 |  Wolverhampton | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |  Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 |  Nottm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 |  Leicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 |  Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 |  Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -23 | 23 |
Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Your Questions
- Who are the favourite to win? – Chelsea are the clear favourite to beat Aston Villa.
- What was the score when these two teams last met? – Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea.
- What time is the kick-off? – 17:30 GMT, 18:30 CET.
