Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction
Aston Villa in action against Chelsea - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

65% of Aston Villa's league games have produced over 2.5 goals and 69% have ended with both teams scoring.

Aston Villa will be looking to close the gap on Chelsea to just one point with a win against the Londoners at Villa Park in Saturday's late kick-off in the Premier League.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction: Goals expected at Villa Park

Key Stats

  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 64% of Chelsea's Premier League games.
  • Chelsea have seen 72% of their league games end with both teams scoring.
  • Two of the last three meetings between these two clubs have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals.
  • Ollie Watkins top scores for Villa with 12 league goals and has scored five in his last eight appearances in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea

Chelsea are without a win in their last six away games in league and cup, four of which have ended in defeat, while Aston Villa have scored over 1.5 goals in 57% of their home games this season while the Blues have only scored over 1.5 goals in 40% of their league games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the bookmaker's pick

  • HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 31/20 (2.55) – 39.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 39.2% but we expect Aston Villa to get something out of this game.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea edge it

Saturday's guests have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five encounters with Aston Villa in league and cup, claiming a 3-0 win when the pair met at Stamford Bridge in December.

England Premier League 01/12/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 27/04/24

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2
Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England FA Cup 07/02/24

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England FA Cup 26/01/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 24/09/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

Aston Villa preview: Lost one of last six in all comps

Aston Villa played host to Liverpool on Wednesday night for what turned out to be an action-packed 90 minutes in the Midlands.

Liverpool took the lead through Mo Salah just shy of the half-hour mark but goals from Youri Tielemans and Watkins saw Aston Villa take a one-goal lead into the interval. However, there was just one goal in the second half and it went the way of the visitors as Liverpool managed to equalise just after the hour mark and earn a share of the spoils.

Axel Disasi can't play against his parent club this weekend, while Pau Torres, Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana are expected to miss the game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Digne, Mings, Konsa, García, McGinn, Tielemans, Asensio, Watkins, Rashford & Rogers

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 03/05/25

W

Fulham

Fulham

0

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England FA Cup 26/04/25

L

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

3

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 22/04/25

L

Man City

Man City

2

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

Chelsea preview: Struggling on the road

Chelsea were out for revenge against Brighton last Friday night in the Premier League, having been knocked out of the FA Cup by the seagulls a few days earlier.

However, the home side were in top form as they scored twice before the break and added a third in the second 45 to secure a comfortable 3-0 victory against Enzo Maresca's side.

Marc Paz, Nicolas Jackson, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana and Benoit Badiashile have been ruled out of the trip to Villa Park due to injury, while Omari Kellyman, Chukwunonso Madueke and Noni Madueke are also injury concerns for the visitors.

Predicted lineup: Jorgensen (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, Gusto, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Nkunku, Neto & Sancho

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Player to watch: Ollie Watkins

Ollie Watkins had his best season in an Aston Villa shirt last time out scoring 19 Premier League goals, as well as claiming 13 assists which was the highest in the league.

Ollie Watkins player to watch
Ollie Watkins in action against Arsenal – Photo by Imago

The 29-year-old continues to impress this season, top-scoring for the Villans with 12 Premier League goals and leading the club's assist chart with five.

The Aston Villa striker has 17 PL goal involvements

Watkins heads into Saturday's evening kick-off against Chelsea on the back of five goals in his last eight appearances in league and cup, so you can see why he's our player to watch against the Londoners.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.