Aston Villa will take on Chelsea on Wednesday, 4 March, in a huge match in the race for Champions League football next season.
As things stand, Chelsea sit six points behind Aston Villa in the Premier League table, meaning that the Villans can put daylight between themselves and the Blues with a win at Villa Park.
With Manchester United and Liverpool hitting form, Chelsea must treat this match as a must-win fixture, which sets us up for a potential thriller on Wednesday night.
As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction below.
Contents
Key stats
- Aston Villa have only won one of their last six matches in all competitions.
- Chelsea have only won one of their last four Premier League matches.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between Aston Villa and Chelsea.
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-2 Chelsea
Neither of these teams are in the kind of form that justifies backing them to get the win here, particularly in a game of this magnitude. Goals could be the order of the day, though, and a draw that would suit the hosts more than the visitors.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Too close to call
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Aston Villa vs Chelsea odds illustrate just how evenly matched these two sides are. Ladbrokes have given the Villains a 38.5% chance of winning the match, while Chelsea have been given a 40% chance of victory, making them the narrow favourites.
We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: Nothing to split them
Across the last five meetings between Aston Villa and Chelsea, both sides have enjoyed two wins apiece, which doesn't exactly make the task of splitting them any easier. In the reverse fixture at Stamford Bridge this season, Villa came back from a goal down to defeat the Blues 2-1.
England Premier League 27/12/25
Chelsea
Aston Villa
England Premier League 22/02/25
Aston Villa
Chelsea
England Premier League 01/12/24
Chelsea
Aston Villa
England Premier League 27/04/24
Aston Villa
Chelsea
England FA Cup 07/02/24
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa preview: In the midst of a midfield crisis
Unai Emery is struggling for bodies in the middle of the park, and it's unlikely that any of his injured players will return in time for Wednesday night. As a result, Emery will be unable to call upon John McGinn, Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans and Harvey Elliott.
Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen, Onana, Luiz, Rogers, Buendia, Sancho, Abraham
Last five matches
- 27/02/26: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa (Premier League)
- 21/02/26: Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds (Premier League)
- 14/02/26: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle (FA Cup)
- 11/02/26: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (Premier League)
- 07/02/26: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa (Premier League)
Chelsea preview: Neto misses out
Pedro Neto will have to sit this one out after the Portuguese winger was sent off against Arsenal last time out. Neto joins Estevao, Jamie Gittens and Levi Colwill in the treatment room, but there is a chance that Marc Cucurella could return. Wesley Fofana is also available for selection after missing the match on Sunday due to suspension.
Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), James, Chalobah, Fofana, Hato, Santos, Caicedo, Palmer, Fernandez, Garnacho, Pedro
Last five matches
- 01/03/26: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 21/02/26: Chelsea 1-1 Burnley (Premier League)
- 13/02/26: Hull City 0-4 Chelsea (FA Cup)
- 10/02/26: Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United (Premier League)
- 07/02/26: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Chelsea (Premier League)
Player to watch: Cole Palmer
Although there is still plenty to play for before June, a lot of England players will now be thinking about the World Cup and whether they will be on the plane or not. While it would be a surprise if Palmer isn't selected, he will want to use the next two months to prove to Thomas Tuchel that he should be a starter in his team this summer.